Putin is now stable, and a new pattern is opening

Mondo Technology Updated on 2024-01-28

For a long time after the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the world's eyes were mainly focused on Europe. Because the Russia-Ukraine conflict has pressed the fast-forward button of the world's changes, it has become the first episode of the drama of the great changes in a century.

The outbreak of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict and the beginning of the second episode of a century of changes, the world's main focus has shifted to the Middle East.

The Asia-Pacific region has remained stable as a whole because of China's dominance. If a relatively serious conflict breaks out in the neighborhood, it will naturally be detrimental to China. No one wants to star in the first episode first.

Anyone who has always followed geopolitics knows that Europe, the Middle East, and the Western Pacific are the three key strategic regions of US global hegemony. The U.S. security dominance in these three places jointly underpins global hegemony. Without one of them, the global hegemony of the United States will shrink into a regional power.

As a result, the major conflicts in the changing world will be concentrated in these three priority regions. Conflicts elsewhere, such as those in Africa and South America, are subferred.

Although the battlefield in Ukraine is still rumbling with artillery, with the outbreak of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the outcome of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict can basically be determined in advance. Therefore, Putin has a "leisurely and leisurely" visit to the Middle East and begins to plan a layout in the Middle East.

With Putin's successful foreign visit, the Middle East has become a new main battlefield of the game, and it seems to be becoming more and more stable. This is the last thing the United States wants.

As long as we can make good use of the big hole dug by Israel for the United States and drag the United States in the Middle East, the initiative in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict will be in the hands of Russia, and Putin naturally does not want to let go of such a good opportunity.

As soon as the Palestinian-Israeli conflict began, Russia could immediately feel the pressure on itself.

The military, economic, financial and humanitarian aid promised to Ukraine by the United States and Europe between August and October this year has dropped by nearly 90% compared with the same period last year, and the Democratic-controlled Senate has just stopped another $60 billion in aid to Ukraine.

Zelensky has long warned that Ukraine will lose the war without US assistance. Now it's time to move forward.

The current Ukraine is like a chicken rib, it is a pity to abandon it and eat it tastelessly, and the use value is getting lower and lower.

The United States will find a way to find a more decent step and stop losses in time.

The European moment of great change will be replaced by the Asian moment. The Asia-Pacific region and the Middle East are located at the eastern and western ends of Asia, respectively, and are home to two of the most important material bases of the US dollar: the world's strongest industrial capacity and the most abundant energy resources.

It is very likely that the hegemony of the United States and the position of the dollar will end in one of the Middle East and the Asia-Pacific region.

The current situation in the Middle East is very unfavorable to the United States, and in turn, it is very favorable to China and Russia. It is entirely possible that the global hegemony of the United States will fall early in the Middle East, and it is a win-win-win situation in which China, Russia and Islam can achieve a win-win situation without much effort, leaving the United States the only loser.

Of course, whether it is the Russia-Ukraine conflict or the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, it will not affect the status of the Sino-US game as the main thread of the game in the whole process of world changes. China is not a party to the conflict, but its role can be everywhere.

At least, without the important condition of China's rapid development of strength, it would be very difficult for Russia to withstand the joint attack of the United States and the West, the United States' control of the Middle East would not get out of control, and the Palestinian-Israeli conflict would not have occurred.

The outbreak of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict this time was not at all expected by the United States and completely disrupted the deployment of the United States.

The Russia-Ukraine conflict is planned by the United States, so the United States has to take the initiative to deal with it calmly. Even if the Russian-Ukrainian conflict did not develop exactly as expected by the United States, and Russia was not dragged down by Ukraine and was not defeated by the joint sanctions of the United States and its allies, the United States still gained some benefits: after all, it interrupted the trend of escalating Russian-European cooperation, and also knocked out the possibility of "Russian-German union" that Brzezinski feared. U.S. oil and gas companies have also made a lot of money from Europe's energy crisis, and the repatriation of U.S. funds from Europe has also coincided with the dollar's interest rate hikes.

Although the United States has also forced Russia to the east, achieved the upgrading of Sino-Russian cooperation, and further promoted the alliance between China, Russia and Iran (although it is still preliminary), although it is still a net loss after the break-even, after all, there are still income inputs, and the account book is not too ugly.

But in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the United States does not see any gains, only pays. And the United States is not active, only passive. In the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the United States is a chess player;In the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the United States is just a pawn. The difference is too great.

On the 8th local time, the United States vetoed a draft resolution of the Security Council calling for an immediate humanitarian ceasefire between Israel and Hamas in Gaza.

This time, the hardcore United Kingdom of the United States was embarrassed to vote against it, and used an abstention to settle the difference. After all, accompanying Israel to become the public enemy of the world referred to by thousands of people is a particularly dirty job, and no one wants to splash themselves with a stain, or the kind that can never be washed off.

But the United States has no choice, after the outbreak of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the United States has pinched its nose and done such a dirty job several times. Every time it does it, the image and soft power of the United States are seriously damaged.

Moreover, the poor performance of the United States in the Middle East by Iran and the Houthis has greatly reduced the confidence of Sunni countries such as Saudi Arabia, which originally counted on the United States to provide military protection to offset the military superiority of the Shiite resistance arc. The U.S. military has to endure humiliation and beatings itself, and dare to expect it to be a qualified bodyguard when it needs it?

In this way, the biggest obstacle to the escalation of the Sino-Russian-Iranian (Lang) alliance to the China-Russia-Iran (Lang) alliance due to Saudi Arabia and other countries entrusting their security to the United States has been eliminated by almost half.

At this moment, Putin's visit to the Middle East to visit Saudi Arabia, the boss of the GCC, and the United Arab Emirates, the second boss, has given the world more room for imagination.

Not particularly important, not worth Putin's trip. If it's just a reduction in oil production or something like that, a deputy prime minister in charge of energy can do it.

The difference in attitude and stance between the meeting between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates and Putin is too great compared to the visit of the Israeli minister invited by Saudi Arabia before the outbreak of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. As for the extent to which this shows that Saudi Arabia has changed from riding the wall between China and Russia and the United States to a more inclined side, we need not rush to conclusions, but can be observed through time.

Naturally, the United States is particularly unhappy. Originally, the United States and its allies have been trying to isolate Russia diplomatically, and issued an arrest warrant for Putin through the International Criminal Court, one of the purposes of which is to cooperate with the restriction of Putin's diplomacy abroad. Previously, apart from the Russian-dominated countries of the Eurasian Union, only China broke the isolation of the United States and the West from Putin's foreign visit. Now that Saudi Arabia is doing this, what do you make the United States think?

So this time the American ** fryer is up. Everyone can be keenly aware of the changes in the trend.

Moreover, just after Putin's visit to Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, he returned to Russia to meet with Iran.

From the perspective of the United States, looking at Putin's lightning diplomacy, it is easy to be anxious, and Americans will naturally think like this first: 1. Putin must be going to the Middle East this time to make a big deal. 2. It's definitely aimed at me.

What Americans fear most now is that a major power will intervene more directly in the affairs of the Middle East, because the Middle East has the lifeline of the dollar.

Now the resistance groups supported by Iran alone are a headache for the Americans, and the two aircraft carriers have been sent over, and the expected deterrent effect has not been seen, but Iran has dared to use drones to fly over the deck of the aircraft carrier at a low altitude, and the Houthis have launched direct attacks on US ships, and intercepted merchant ships related to Israel under the noses of the US military.

If any major powers stand up and provide endorsement and support to Islamic countries, the anti-Israel united front will not only be consolidated, but it will seem to be less difficult to rise to the anti-US united front.

The United States originally wanted to lead Sunni countries to normalize relations with Israel through the reconciliation between Israel and Saudi Arabia, once again provoke a struggle between Sunnis and Shiites, isolate the Shiite resistance arc led by Iran, and let Saudi Arabia always stand on its side, at least to ensure that half of the Middle East is still under its control, and can barely maintain petrodollars. These follow-up plans are naturally slim.

If this is the case, the United States will have no chance of winning in the Middle East, and the only option left for the United States is how much to lose.

The current strength of the United States can only pull one faction to fight another, and it has no spare resources to forcibly suppress Iran, at most it can bully Syria. Therefore, the United States is particularly afraid that the Sunnis and Shiites will abandon their past grievances in order to deal with Israel, even if it is temporary, and this will pose a great challenge to the US strategic interests in the Middle East.

Therefore, we say that it is not that we are afraid of US imperialism, but that US imperialism is afraid of us.

As long as all parties cooperate tacitly and play their respective roles well, it will not be too difficult to drag the United States in the Middle East and rub it on the ground.

In any case, the United States has not been less troublesome around us.

In terms of economy and trade, through Moody's credit rating, with the United States** and ** to sing down and short China, is just one of them.

On December 1, the U.S. Department of the Treasury and the Department of Energy issued interim guidance that will not qualify for a tax credit of up to $7,500 starting in 2024 for electric vehicles containing battery components manufactured or assembled by so-called "Foreign Entities of Concern" (FEOCs). According to U.S. documents, the FEOC targets companies in China, Russia, North Korea and Iran. The directiveness of the U.S. regulation could not be more obvious.

On December 2, U.S. Secretary of Commerce Raimondo publicly called China the biggest threat to the United States and not a friend, declaring that "we must not allow China to obtain cutting-edge chips and provide them with the most cutting-edge technology."

It can be seen that the United States does not want to open the American market to China's outstanding enterprises, nor does it want to give up containing China. ** war, science and technology war, and financial war, but the United States has not stopped any of them.

On the military front, the United States has made a lot of moves:

On December 4, the U.S. littoral combat ship intruded into the waters near Ren'ai Jiao in Nansha to help the Philippines repair its position at Ren'ai Jiao.

Then, on December 6, a U.S. P-8A patrol plane sailed through the Taiwan Strait again and made a public hype.

And recently Taiwan's defense department announced that the United States and Taiwan have reached an agreement on the purchase of missiles, with an amount of up to 5$5.1 billion.

These actions of the United States are enough to show that the United States is still in the nature of a bandit who pays lip service but does not give up on it, and has no intention of easing Sino-US relations at all, still less will it give up containing China.

Therefore, there is no need to be influenced by some superficial postures made by the United States, seize the weakness and lifeline of the United States, unite with anti-hegemonic forces, and do a few more articles in the Middle East, so that the United States can expose the essence of its paper tiger in front of the whole world more quickly and thoroughly.

Only when the United States really has no choice but to reason will the United States be reasonable.

The cowardice exposed by the United States in the Middle East is the real mentality of the United States now, and the United States has shown a little toughness in the Asia-Pacific region from time to time because it feels that we will not be serious with it, and this is what we call psychological warfare. The United States wants to cover up its cowardice in the Middle East through its tough performances in the Asia-Pacific region, and the United States wants to use psychological tactics to get what it does not deserve, and this opportunity cannot be given to it.

Tai Chi is our strong point, time is on our side, and the United States is indeed afraid of dragging it out now, but it is also necessary to give it a few blows from time to time to sweep with an iron rod, so that the world can see more clearly that the United States is strong and inward, and that it is strong and capable of doing things in the middle.

The world has been suffering for a long time, and the world needs confidence. We should give the world such credit, and then we can strive to achieve "the time and the earth will work together", and the United States will be isolated as soon as possible, and the time and cost of the rise of the Chinese nation will be reduced. Isn't it beautiful?

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