Hello everyone, I'm your self-leading writer Xiao Ming. Today I want to share with you a blockbuster news about the price of pigs, you must read it!
Pig price refers to the first grade of raw pork, which is affected by many factors, such as supply and demand, seasonal changes, policy regulation, market competition and so on. Pig prices are important for farmers, slaughterers, consumers and the country.
The fluctuation of live pigs is a normal market phenomenon, which reflects the balance of supply and demand in the market and the formation mechanism. In general, ** decreases when supply increases or demand decreases;When supply decreases or demand increases, it will.
So, why is there a rapid increase in the number of live pigs in the near future?There are several main reasons:
Insufficient domestic and foreign market demand。Due to the impact of the new crown pneumonia epidemic, the demand for raw pork in both domestic and foreign markets has been suppressed to a certain extent. Especially in the domestic market, due to the decline in consumer income, the disruption of the catering industry, and the change of residents' eating habits, the consumption of raw pork has decreased.
There is a surplus in the domestic and foreign markets。As domestic and foreign farmers have invested a lot of money and manpower in breeding expansion in 2022 and 2023, it has led to an increase in the number of live pigs and production capacity. At the same time, in foreign markets, due to the implementation of strict inspection, quarantine and export restrictions in major producing areas such as the United States, some high-quality raw pork cannot enter the domestic market.
** Intensified regulation and control。In order to stabilize market expectations and ensure food safety, a series of measures have been taken to regulate the trend of live pigs. For example, between the end of 2022 and the beginning of 2023, the "purchase restriction action" was implemented to restrict or punish farmers who exceed the specified quantity or quality standardsBetween June and July 2023, the "Production and Sales Restriction Action" was implemented, restricting or punishing farmers who exceed the specified quantity or quality standardsBetween August and September 2023, ** implemented the "Purchase Restriction Action" to restrict or punish farmers who exceed the specified quantity or quality standards.
In the face of such a complex and volatile market environment, how should we look at the future?Actually, it's not optimistic.
Due to the slowdown in the production progress of pig farms in the winter season, some farmers choose to slaughter or resell meat pigs in order to reduce costs, resulting in an increase in the market. Demand side: Due to the weak consumer demand for pork, especially around the holiday season, some farmers choose to reduce prices in order to avoid inventory backlog or losses**123. Epidemic side: Due to the recent occurrence and spread of a number of African swine fevers, some farmers choose to suspend or reduce production in order to prevent the spread of the epidemic and affect production safety.
The specific value of today's daily pig price is as follows: Wai Sanyuan (including domestic and foreign markets): 1427 yuan kg, a year-on-year increase of **3205%, 09%。Within the ternary (including the domestic market): 1398 yuan kg, a year-on-year increase of **3096%, month-on-month**099%。Miscellaneous pigs (including domestic and foreign markets): 1351 yuan kg, a year-on-year increase of **3104%, month-on-month **103%。
To sum up, today's sharp decline in daily pig prices reflects the imbalance and expected change in both ends of supply and demand in the market. On the one hand, the increase in the first end has led to the inventory backlog and pressure in the market;On the other hand, the sluggish demand side has led to sluggish consumption and inhibition in the market. At the same time, factors such as swine fever in Africa have also brought uncertainty and risks to the market. In the coming period, whether there will be ** or a recovery still needs to observe relevant data and policy trends.