The Ukraine crisis has been going on for almost a decade, from the annexation of Crimea to Russia in 2014, to the Minsk agreements in 2015, to the latest developments in 2023, and this conflict involving European security and geopolitics has not found an effective solution.
There is a constant war between Ukraine** and the Russian-backed east** forces, and Western countries and NATO are also constantly providing military and economic aid to Ukraine in an attempt to curb Russia's expansion. However, recently, Ukraine's "financiers" - the United States and the European Union have shown signs of "cutting off supply", causing Ukraine to fall into a double dilemma of internal and external pressure.
At the same time, the Russian side also directly gave the conditions for a lasting peace, that is, Ukraine will be able to achieve lasting peace only if the West stops supplying ** to Ukraine, and Ukraine accepts new territorial realities. So, is this condition justified by Russia?Will it be possible to break the impasse in the Ukrainian crisis?
The Ukraine crisis was set against the backdrop of Ukraine's refusal to sign an agreement with the European Union in 2013 in favor of strengthening relations with Russia, which sparked a pro-European and anti-Russian movement within Ukraine, culminating in the pro-Russian Yanukovych, as well as Russia's annexation of Crimea and intervention in eastern Ukraine.
Since then, Western countries and NATO have been supporting Ukraine**, providing it with military and economic assistance, as well as political and diplomatic support, in an attempt to preserve Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity, but also to prevent the expansion of Russia's influence in Europe.
However, in 2023, Western and NATO support for Ukraine has shown signs of weakening, and Western and NATO support for Ukraine has not achieved the desired results, but has instead led to a tough response from Russia and increased tensions in the region.
Not only has Russia not relinquished control of Crimea and eastern Ukraine, but it has also deployed a large number of troops on the Ukrainian border, threatening military action if Western countries and NATO continue to supply Ukraine with ** and personnel.
Russia has also used its influence in the Middle East and North Africa to establish strategic cooperation with Turkey, Iran, Syria and other countries, forming an anti-Western camp and increasing the security risks of Western countries and NATO in these regions. The support of Western countries and NATO for Ukraine has also been questioned and opposed within Ukraine, leading to internal ** and turmoil in Ukraine.
Although Ukraine** ostensibly accepted aid from Western countries and NATO, it did not carry out political and economic reforms as they demanded, but instead used this aid to consolidate its own power, suppress the opposition and civil society, and weaken democracy and the rule of law in Ukraine.
At the same time, Ukraine did not respect the public opinion and culture in eastern Ukraine, and forcibly promoted the priority of the Ukrainian language and the Ukrainian church, which intensified the confrontation between the east and west of Ukraine, and made the ** forces in eastern Ukraine more resolutely demand union with Russia. Therefore, the support of Western countries and NATO for Ukraine, not only did not increase the cohesion of Ukraine, but on the contrary exacerbated the ** and chaos in Ukraine.
Western countries and NATO's support for Ukraine has also been constrained by their own economic and political constraints, which have prevented them from continuing to provide adequate and effective assistance to Ukraine. Both Western countries and NATO are facing a severe economic crisis in 2023, due to the ongoing impact of the pandemic, as well as the energy and food sector that has led to a slowdown in their economic growth, an increase in fiscal deficits, and an increase in social discontent and activity.
As a result, they can no longer provide Ukraine with significant economic assistance, but can only provide some symbolic military aid as a show of support for Ukraine.
At the same time, there are also political differences and contradictions between Western countries and NATO in 2023, due to the imminent end of Biden's term in office, and the unity within the European Union has also been affected by Brexit and France, which has led to differences and frictions in their positions and strategies towards the Ukrainian crisis.
As a result, they can no longer provide Ukraine with unified and coordinated political and diplomatic support, but can only take some ambiguous and weak measures to show their concern for Ukraine. Ukraine's "financiers" - Western countries and NATO, for various reasons, have already shown signs of "cutting off supplies", which has made Ukraine lose important external support and fall into an even more difficult situation.
Western countries and NATO also need to conduct effective communication and consultation with the Russian side through diplomacy and negotiation, and seek a peaceful and compromise solution, instead of using sanctions and threats to exacerbate and prolong conflicts and wars.
The international community and regional organizations need to engage and mediate multilaterally, enhance their responsibilities and influence, and provide Ukraine with an environment and guarantee of peace and stability. The international community and regional organizations need to actively follow and participate in the resolution of the Ukraine crisis, provide the necessary humanitarian and security assistance, and safeguard the rights and well-being of the Ukrainian people.
The international community and regional organizations also need to uphold the principles of international law and international order, safeguard Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity, oppose Russia's aggression, support Ukraine's peaceful and peaceful dialogue approach, and promote a peaceful and compromised solution to the Ukrainian crisis, instead of supporting Ukraine's violence and confrontation to contribute to the continuation and deterioration of the Ukrainian crisis.
The way out of the Ukraine crisis lies in the joint efforts of Ukraine**, Western countries and NATO, the international community and regional organizations to seek peace and compromise solutions, rather than violence and confrontation, through internal reform and adjustment, external cooperation and coordination, multilateral participation and mediation, to achieve peace and development in Ukraine and maintain peace and stability in Europe and the world.
The Ukraine crisis is a complex and sensitive issue that involves the interests and demands of many parties, and there is no simple or easy solution. The terms of peace given by Russia, although ostensibly aimed at ending conflicts and wars, are in fact intended to safeguard its own interests and influence, are unreasonable and unacceptable.
The real way out of the Ukraine crisis requires the joint efforts of Ukraine, Western countries and NATO, the international community and regional organizations to seek a peaceful and compromised solution through internal reform and adjustment, external cooperation and coordination, multilateral participation and mediation, rather than violence and confrontational means, to achieve peace and development in Ukraine and maintain peace and stability in Europe and the world.