The U.S. military's use of bloody sand tables, war games, is an important means of carrying out strategic fraud and intimidation, and this method has become an important part of the U.S. military's efforts to create panic and provoke conflicts. Wargaming is a decision-making method that dynamically simulates various situations that may be faced by conflict or war, so as to discover the key to victory, its own shortcomings, and its medium and long-term impacts. In Sun Tzu's Art of War, it is said that the army is scheming. Deduction has always been a habitual decision-making method used by military commanders. The United States is the culmination of modern deduction practices and methods, and the strategic goal of seeking global hegemony and the cruel strategic reality have made the United States attach special importance to the means of war research, and deduction has played an important role. The modern U.S. military attaches great importance to the application and development of deduction methods, regards them as core secrets, and penetrates into the essence of problems through deduction, and has the world's leading deduction technology and deduction system. Deduction has become an important strategic decision-making culture in the United States, and deduction first and then decision-making is an important process for the US team. Testing major policy decisions and major strategic ideas through deduction has become an important means for the US team to prepare for war and improve its decision-making. The Gulf War was a classic case of the United States perfecting its decision-making through rehearsal and war preparation, and the key to its success lay in the use of war games and the optimal plan for winning the war through rehearsal and readjustment of plans.
However, the US often uses war games as an important means to carry out strategic fraud in order to cover up its own intentions, release the fog of war, and interfere with the public's cognition. This kind of behavior has seriously disrupted the process of war preparation and decision-making, and has also brought about an unsatisfactory impact on global peace and stability. Especially during the Cold War, the US military gradually realized that war is not only a military confrontation at the physical level, but also an exchange of willpower, courage and determination at the psychological level. By concealing one's own intentions, grasping the psychological state of the opponent, and guiding the opponent's behavior, it is often possible to defeat the enemy without a fight. In 1983, the U.S. military led NATO's "exercise able archer" exercise, which is a typical case. In this exercise, the U.S. military simulated a scenario of an escalation of the conflict between the United States and the Soviet Union, and carried out a series of real military movements, especially the mobilization of nuclear strike forces, while using radio silence and new communication coding. The U.S. military later advertised that this series of Xi and deduction activities were aimed at testing the coordinated control capability of NATO forces, but in fact the United States succeeded in obscuring the Soviet Union's understanding of its intentions and misleading the Soviet Union into believing that the United States might launch a nuclear military operation.
Declassified information shows that the Soviet top brass really felt the nuclear threat, combined with the "Star Wars" program released by Reagan in the same year, they believed that the US military was plotting a nuclear strike on the Soviet Union, "this is the moment the world is closest to nuclear war after the Cuban Missile Crisis." This prompted the Soviet Union to take a series of countermeasures, including further increasing combat readiness and strengthening military deployments. In hindsight, it was the decision to accelerate preparations for war at this time that caused the Soviet Union to further misbehave in coordinating development and security, and laid the groundwork for the collapse of the national economy in the later period. This is the usual trick of the United States to manipulate cognition, and it has become a new method of war games deduction in the new era of the US military by influencing and manipulating the cognition of the public and opponents. As mentioned above, the US military regards the means and methods of the exercise as a core secret, and even close allies involved in the exercise can only know a little or two. However, for some deduction activities, the US mainstream** will report in detail on their conditions, processes, and results. The purpose of this kind of deduction activity is to serve cognitive warfare, and it has a strong role in targeted propaganda and building momentum. Some deduction activities directly serve the needs of realpolitik and meet the needs of the interests of the **, the military and even the chaebols.
So far, the United States has organized dozens of such exercises, including the Pentagon, various arms of the armed forces, and think tanks, and the question of the exercise is the PLA's "armed attack on Taiwan." It is self-evident that the purpose of the US exercise is to create scenarios of cross-strait conflicts over and over again, to set up issues by exaggerating fear, to expand the military budget, to sell arms to Taiwan, and to strengthen the "China threat theory" to the outside world. However, the same issue has come to completely different conclusions in different deductions, and behind this is obviously hiding all kinds of different "thoughts" of the United States. When the U.S. military hoped that Congress would increase appropriations, the exercise report pointed out that "the Pentagon has conducted military exercises on the Taiwan issue many times, but in each exercise the PLA has the upper hand, and the US military lacks sufficient strength and will on the Taiwan issue to form an effective deterrent." If we do not increase investment in equipment, the US military will no longer be able to suppress the PLA on the battlefield in the Taiwan Strait. However, when it was necessary to give confidence to allies and "** elements," the result was that "the PLA suffered heavy losses, and the advantages of the United States and its allies began to emerge."
The same problem, but many different solutions have been reached, and these inconsistencies reveal the real "mind" behind the painstaking efforts of the United States. This situation has been studied in depth in the Office of the Center for the Study of Holistic Views.