property marketIt has been in the doldrums for some time in the past, however, there have been some positive signs recently, which has given the market a glimmer of hope. According to the real estate report released by Zhongtai**, the transaction volume of first-hand houses in 58 key cities in November decreased by 1 compared with the same period last year9%, butSequential growth133%；The transaction area also showed 47% year-on-year growth and 324%.Sequential growth。And 15 key citiesSecond-hand housingVolume, on the other hand, increased by 35% year-on-year3%，Sequential growth17%；Transaction area increased by 32% and 1., respectively3%。Although the year-on-year growth rate of new homes has declined, butSequential growthThe obvious rise indicates that the market is improving. And according to GuangzhouCentral PlainsThe data shows second-hand residential properties in NovemberNetsignThe number of units hit the second highest level of the year. The emergence of these data has injected a certain amount of confidence and expectation into the market, which is of positive significance for the recovery of the real estate market.
Further observation of the transaction situation in first-tier cities can be found that the second-hand in ShenzhenCommercial housingVolume increased by 106%, the transaction volume of second-hand commercial housing increased by 086%。Shanghai'sSecond-hand housingResidentialNetsignThe number of transactions increased by 12% month-on-month, while second-hand residential properties in BeijingNetsignamountSequential growth178%, an increase of 167%。Especially in Beijing, in NovemberSecond-hand housingThe volume exceeded 120,000 sets, which means BeijingSecond-hand housingThe liquidity of the market is normal, and the hot and cold conditions of the market are also within the normal range. Although the year-on-year ratio has injected confidence into the market, we should not be too optimistic. However, these data undoubtedly indicate that the market has shown positive signs and provide a reference for the introduction of subsequent policies.
Inproperty marketIn the context of the recovery, the discussion on real estate policy has also heated up again. EconomyScientistsRen ZepingThere have been calls for a total cancellationproperty marketPurchase Limit. He believes that now is a good opportunity to lift the purchase restrictions, and it is time to return to marketization. Because the purchase restriction policy is contrary to the basic law and trend of population migration, it will inadvertently hurt the reasonable demand for rigid demand and rigid reform. Previously, most cities across the country have lifted the purchase restriction policy, leaving only first-tier cities and some second-tier cities that have not been canceled. Although the market has been waiting for policy feedback, the first-tier cities have remained determined and seem to be still waiting and seeing.
Currently, first-tier citiesSecond-hand housingThe improvement in trading volume has brought to the market a discussion about whether first-tier cities should lift purchase restrictions. Ren ZepingI think that now is a good time to strike while the iron is hot and boostproperty marketof the real warming. However, whether to lift the purchase restriction still needs to take into account various factors, and it is necessary to weigh the interests of all parties and formulate policy measures that can balance market demand and real estate risks.
in the discussionproperty marketWhen it warms up, I often focus on itRoom ratesAbove. However, I thinkproperty marketThe real indicator of warmth and coldness is notRoom ratesbut the change in volume. LikeRen ZepingSaid,Second-hand housingAsproperty marketThe performance of November's data may mean that the demand for previous savings is gradually released. Changes in market demand andproperty marketIt's the improvement in volume that matters. Room ratesAlthough statistically it is still in the market, the volume of the volume has brought new confidence to the market.
ForBuying a houseWhether to buy a house should be considered more by the city, location and developer. Althoughproperty marketIt's starting to pick up, but we don't have to focus too muchRoom ratesInstead, we should pay more attention to our own strength and accurate judgment of the housing market. For rigid needs and improvementsBuying a houseIfRoom ratesIf the threshold and cost of buying a house are moderate, then in the general trend, the decision should be based on a full investigation of the city, the location and the developer.
Currently,property marketThere are signs of recovery, but we should not be too impatient to draw conclusions. The recovery of the market will take time and steady development. Tier 1 citiesSecond-hand housingThe improvement in trading volume may be a bellwether for the market to recover, but it is necessary to continue to observe and monitor the dynamics of the market. ** According to the actual situation of the market, appropriate policy measures should be formulated to guide the healthy development of the market.
Personally, I thinkproperty marketThe warming up is a positive sign that heraldsEconomyThe steady recovery and the market's confidence is restored. With the recovery of the real estate market, the related industrial chain will also be drivenEconomyDevelopment provides more opportunities and impetus. At the same time, you should also be vigilant and avoidproperty marketRisks and problems caused by overheating. Only by maintaining the stable and healthy development of the market through reasonable regulation and control can we achieve thisproperty marketLong-term virtuous cycle and sustainable development.
All in all, signs of recovery are emerging, but we still need to remain calm and prudent. The increase in trading volume and the recovery of the market provide a reference for the introduction of follow-up policies, but measures should be formulated according to the actual situation of the market to avoid the potential risks caused by excessive relaxation of purchase restrictions. ForBuying a houseshould pay more attention to the factors of the city, location and developer, and make decisions based on their own strength and market judgment. property marketThe recovery is a positive signal, but the stable and healthy development of the market still needs to work together with the market.