China has issued a wanted warrant, but the situation in northern Myanmar is not satisfactory. I thought that the Bai, Wei, and Liu families had been cornered, but with China's involvement in mediating the situation in northern Myanmar, I thought that Min Aung Hlaing would hand over the key members of the Bai, Wei, and Liu families at the Kunming talks to give an account to China. However, with the passage of time, there was no news of Bai Suocheng**'s return to China, but the Burmese army** attacked Kokang again, and the Wei family armed forces and the Kokang allied forces were still exchanging fire, indicating that the other two were still active and cooperating with the Burmese army**. When China issued a wanted warrant and mediated, why did the Myanmar military refuse to hand over Bai Socheng, but continued to cooperate and protect them?
I believe that the Myanmar military may still be reluctant to give up the Kokang region, and is skeptical of China's mediation as a means of prolonging the war. They may use the ceasefire to reorganize the militia and prepare Su-30 fighters to deal with the Kokang allies. The Tatmadaw may not be ready to deliver on its commitments in the talks, as they now believe that the ceasefire talks can turn the tide. In addition, Bai Suocheng's special identity and the deep interest ties between the Bai family and the Burmese army** also made the Burmese army** not interested in arresting Bai Suocheng. In short, Min Aung Hlaing's capricious behavior will sooner or later make him suffer the consequences.
Considering the wanted warrants issued by China, will these criminals still get away with it?It's impossible. The situation in northern Myanmar may seem chaotic, but in fact there is an undercurrent, and the Myanmar military may be waiting for an opportunity, but their delaying tactics will eventually fail. How can the incident of the Burmese army's deception of China be easily ignored?As far as I know, the Kachin Army is also currently fighting, and this armed force is fully supported by the United States, and the equipment is from the United States. Unlike the Allied Forces, the Kachin Army pursued independent statehood, not mere autonomy. Therefore, the Burmese army not only offended China, but also provoked the United States.
While offending the two major powers of China and the United States, Min Aung Hlaing is both greedy and self-conscious, trying to defend the Bai family on the one hand, but hoping to quell the war on the other, which is obviously overestimating his own strength.