Two years of conflict between Ukraine and Russia are escalating, and the current situation shows that Ukraine is untenable. According to Russia, Putin can achieve a conditional victory in the war next year. At the same time, we need to be prepared for what happens next to Ukraine, the European Union, Russia, and the United States"Endgame"Review and reflect. In this article, we will ** UkrainianEconomyCollapse, RussiaEconomyThe success or failure of sanctions is China's role in it.
The conflict between Ukraine and Russia is considered a war of the people. Among them, Ukraine is being used to deplete Russia's national power in order to achieve the suppression of its macro development. And Ukrainian'sEconomyAnd the collapse of the war capability, also made NATO furtherTo the eastExpansion is possible. However, Russia showed strong resistance and was directly involved in the geopolitical conflict. In order to counter Russia, the United States and the European Union have adopted various sanctions, the most important of which are financial sanctions against Russia, such as removing Russia from the SWIFT system and freezing Russia's foreign exchange reserves. However, these sanctions did not deal a fatal blow to Russia as expected. Despite the shut-off of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline, Russia's GDP still fell by 2 in 20221%。But surprisingly, Russia managed to surviveEconomyon a major blow.
This is thanks to China's participation and assistance. China has a huge industrial capacity and is involved in almost all sectors, so as long as there is demand in Russia, China can provide the products it needs. In addition,China and RussiaThe geographical location of the border and the advantages of land transportation make it more convenient to travel between the two countries. China also needs Russian oil, gas and mineral resources, thereforeChina and RussiaThe complementarity of resources and industry has been realized.
Thanks to China's involvement, Russia has successfully withstood the effects of Western sanctions. Although the withdrawal of Western companies left gaps in the Russian market, these gaps were filled by both native Russian and Chinese companies. China and Russia**Rapid growth, with a growth rate of more than 30%. Hence the West's against RussiaEconomyThe sanctions strategy failed.
InMilitaryfront, Ukraine is not able to confront Russia. Since the Russian occupationCrimeaand the Donbass region, the Russian army has entered a strategic defensive phase and has not expanded the area of its occupation, but it is not easily abandoned. The Ukrainian army is faced with an impenetrable line of defense and Russia'sMilitaryAdvantage. The Ukrainian army lacks modernequipment and training, which cannot effectively fight Russia.
Plus UkrainianEconomyThe situation is getting worse day by day, such as the national debt crisis, high inflation,Povertyetc., it is difficult for Ukraine to provide its army with sufficient resources and support. Ukraine's military faces problems such as inadequate training, inadequate equipment, and low morale. In this case, it will be difficult for Ukraine to continue fighting Russia, which may finally win the war.
InInternationalIn terms of influence, Ukraine's position on the global stage is also gradually declining. While Western support for Ukraine remains, Ukraine has much more to lose against the backdrop of further escalation of the conflictInternationalIn the tank. At the same time, Russia's influence in the region is growing. PassedThe conflict in Ukraine, Russia showed the world itsMilitarystrength and a firm attitude, which helps to elevate its position inInternationalStatus in the transaction.
In general, UkrainianEconomyCollapse, plus RussianMilitaryThe superiority and China's support indicate that Russia may finally be thereThe conflict in Ukraineto achieve victory. This will have significant implications for Ukraine, the European Union, Russia, and the United States, and could change the geopolitical landscape of the region.