A shares: The reason for deep V has been found, tomorrow, ** to regain 3000 points?Can you still roll over?
Today, A-shares bottomed out and rebounded and staged a deep V reversal, but unfortunately the fly in the ointment is that the amount of energy has shrunk compared with last Friday, so what happened to the market?
Let's start with the data. The number of *** in the two cities is 3947, and the number of *** is 1246, and the long and short offense and defense are transpositioned, but unfortunately it can only be regarded as a repair after the continuous general decline.
Because the time-sharing handicap belongs to the 28 resonance type, but the amount of energy has not been enlarged year-on-year, it is still an emotional reversal rather than an incremental boost.
In terms of sentiment, there are 41 companies with a daily limit, 1 company with a down limit, and 126 companies with a decline of more than 5%.
The data shows that the relay sentiment of the tour capital has been repaired, but it is more reflected in the elimination of the fall limit, and the offensive end of the limit has not hit a new high.
In terms of sectors, today is the highlight of technology stocks, because in addition to energy and metals, traditional industries such as wine, food and real estate are all falling.
This is closely related to the adjustment of the sample stocks of the major indexes, after all, it is now clear that technology will be used as the new driving engine of economic growth.
Judging from the overall sector and ** performance, today's deep V is more event-driven, that is, the follow-up fermentation of the adjustment of index sample stocks last Friday.
Of course, the role of the disk protection team cannot be ignored, and the first buy fund is obviously more, otherwise it will not be able to go deepSecond, today, more indices and sector ETFs have significantly increased their volume and scope.
Now to answer the above question, I said before that the face of the guard team under 3000 points, because the mouth cannon can't protect the plate, only real gold ** can do. As for the question of whether to build a bottom, the answer is no, the three major criteria I mentioned before have not been met, so just continue to treat it as a reversal. There are three main reasons for this:
First, foreign investors sold a net of 325.9 billion, and domestic institutions sold 12.5 billion yuan. From the perspective of the capital curve, foreign capital once sold more than 10 billion funds today, and the net sale was 325.9 billion;
The net selling of domestic institutions throughout the day was still as high as 10 billion, at least the two mainstream funds did not show signs of returning to long.
As for the behavior of the disk protection team, my judgment is still based on passive undertaking and **, rather than actively seeking offense. Judging from the behavior of the central enterprise technology ETF and the tail brokerage in the market, it is still mainly based on stealing chickens, after all, the blockbuster meeting has just ended, and it is still necessary to have a face, otherwise how can it be embarrassing. Next, look at the continuity, there is no continuous increment, don't talk about bottoming.
Second, capital and institutions are still competing for the right to speak and dominate the market. Since September, Huawei's main line has basically been dominated by tourist capital, and the participation of the main force of institutions is not high.
But there is obviously a bit of a divergence here, according to the past practice, today should be a day of emotional highlight, but unfortunately the market is not behaving like this.
On the contrary, since last week, institutions have begun to build a swing trend around some large tickets, which is a direction in which some of the sectors and varieties that have changed one after another last week.
The disadvantage is that the subject matter and the trend of the Chinese army need more funds to follow the trend, and what is obviously lacking at present is the funds
In the end, the technical bottoming criteria were not met. I talked about the three major standards of C5 wave + structure and time over the weekend, none of them have been met so far, and the large amount of Changyang is a sign of capital change, and today this castration version of the shrinking Zhongyang has experienced many times, but unfortunately it has not changed the trend. So according to the rules, if the standard is not enough, continue to wait.
In summary,Tomorrow, it should be noted that after the shrinkage, it is customary to prevent the trend of rising and falling tomorrow!As for the event-driven rebalancing of major index sample stocks, after last Friday's late rush and this morning's active rebalancing, it has basically been digested, and how high it can be tomorrow will be to watch how strong the continuous buying of the disk team can be, and there will be no chase above 3000 points!
After washing, a new high follow-up
Some Zhuang stocks have risen to a certain extent in the early stage, but have not yet completed the increase target, and the stock price is greatly affected by some sudden factors.
On the daily chart, there are obvious head characteristics, but the stock price has not fallen without looking back, and after stabilizing, it will soon completely recover the previous decline, and can also hit a new high.
There has been a certain increase in the early stage, and it is obvious that the main force has intervened in the operation, but the increase is not large, and the main force only has limited profit space.
In the process of a sharp pullback, the volume shrank rapidly. After consolidating at a relatively low level, it can quickly recover its losses, and the stock price returns to near the previous position.
Such a trend is often the main force to take advantage of the *** or negative factors homeopathic washing, the early high is not the main target level, and the stock price is still expected to expand upward after the end of the wash.
The "top" formed when washing the dishes is not the real top, and the main force smashes first and then pulls, intending to wash the dishes, rather than trying to get out and escape. In operation, once such ** breaks through the previous high, it means that a new ** is about to begin.
Look for dark horse stocks from the shrinkage
1. Shrinkage**.
After some ** appear at the bottom, they begin to rise in an upward channel**, and as the stock price moves to a relatively high area, the trading volume gradually decreases.
The shrinkage of these ** reflects that the main force of these ** has gathered a large number of chips in their own hands through the absorption and washing at the bottom, so the more the stock price goes up, the smaller the trading volume will be.
In the case of such **, you can buy dips in its ascending channel, and there will be greater gains.
Second, the shrinkage is sideways.
The characteristics of the shrinkage sideways are that after a round, it began to move sideways at a high level, and the volume shrank sharply compared with the bottom of the market, and the stock price continued to move up and gradually approached, and there were few rumors about the ** in the market, which was not noticed at all.
The main force of this kind of ** usually has a huge position, and there is no chance to ship at all, and the sideways is waiting for the opportunity to launch a magnificent main rising wave.
The volume is reduced to the limit and then the volume is increased
*After a long period**, the amount can decrease to near the historical bottom average. **The amplitude is getting smaller and smaller, and the trading is light and no one cares.
When the main force enters the market, the amount can be gradually enlarged, or even a huge amount. It indicates that there may be a major force involved in the stock, which should be of special concern to ordinary investors.
As shown in the chart below, the stock hit 15After the first wave of 77 new lows, the first wave of ** fell back, and at this time, the volume can decline again to near the average of the new low. The main force enters the market at the black frame, and the amount can be enlarged. After a period of continuous volume, the main force began to rise, and finally rushed to 3236 yuan high, doubled.
*At a relatively low level, the pattern constitutes a bottom technical pattern such as a double bottom and a round bottom. Suddenly, one day there was an upward gap and a high opening, accompanied by the effective amplification of the amount of energy, indicating that the main force was intervening in the stock.
As shown in the figure below, after the formation of a double-bottom technical pattern, the upward gap opens high, and the volume can be amplified. After breaking through the double bottom neckline, the trend is no longer hesitant and relaxed**.
"Spread your wings and fly high".
On December 13 and 14, 2012, the "Dapeng spreads its wings" form was formed. From the graph above, we can summarize.
The characteristic of the wings and flying high strategy is that it must have a medium and long yin and a medium long yang, and the formation of this form must be that the later long yang completely engulfs the long yin.
Of course, if the pattern appears after a continuous **, then after two days of **, such a **combination will be formed. It is clear that if the pattern appears after a succession, then you should dare.
Investment insights
Doing the best trading is closely related to human nature from beginning to end. Novices who have just entered the industry, with the mentality of having a play, experience the pleasure of small gambling;
After tasting the sweetness, I saw that there was an opportunity to make quick money in the transaction, and my desire drove greed
After many years of ups and downs, what traders are most eager to prove is their inner recognition needs: to prove to myself that I can control my trading life, and to prove to others that my strength can stand the test. Different stages have different needs, and these are all inner needs.
* Trading is the best place to explain and interpret human nature, and it makes human nature undoubted. Freedom enough to release all constraints and allow humanity to do whatever it wants. If you want to know yourself deeply, you might as well come to the ** trading to test the waters.
There are several things in human nature that are worth **. Desire, challenge, conquest, proof, and along with greed and fear, the eternal things in the financial trading market.
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