The Russian army gathered 70,000 people!Chasov Yar will become the center of the conflict?
Hey, guys, have you paid attention to the recent situation in Ukraine?Wow, I'm so excited to jump!I don't know if you have heard that the Russian army has gathered 70,000 people in Artemsk!Are you so shocked that you can't speak?I'm here to tell you that this is no small matter, and that this is the potential for a large-scale winter offensive
I was jaw-dropping by the news I just saw, this is an explosive headline!Big Ivan said that the goal of the Russian army is not limited to Artemsk, but is directed at Chasov Yar. Can you feel my nervousness?It's a big deal, not a joke.
So, let me give you a rough overview of this whole incident from the beginning. Listen, last week Big Ivan and a bunch of open-source intelligence experts got the sequence of battles of the Russian army around Artemsk. Let's say it's not a trivial matter, because this information is much bigger than they had previously estimated!Not to mention, these open-source intelligence experts are also powerful, and the information collected through the Internet shocked Big Ivan.
Big Ivan even suspected that the estimates of the Ukrainian army may be exaggerating the actual situation. He feels that the size of the Russian army on the Artemsk front may be close to 50,000. I think you can understand that this is definitely not a small number, but it is scary.
Then there is the analysis of the battle layout of the Russian army. Big Ivan observed that the Russian army was light in front and heavy in the rear, especially the 2nd Shock Army, oh, this army is strong, although it has not yet been put into battle, but I heard that its combat effectiveness is the strongest in the Wagner cluster, bull or not
Now for the details, don't tell me that you are not interested, the Ukrainian military observed that the Russian army has taken a number of offensive units, including the northern detachment of Akhmat in Chechnya and the Airborne Corps. It is said that the Russian army has amassed a huge number of troops on this front, up to 77,000 people. However, Big Ivan was a little skeptical, and he thought that this estimate might be exaggerated.
Heck, what a feast of strategic thinking!Big Ivan believes that the Russian army's campaign intention is not only to capture Chasov Yar, but more importantly, to force the Ukrainian army to gather in the area through an oppressive attack, and then use the firepower advantage to encircle and annihilate. This is to break the Ukrainian army's plan to replenish and consume their vital forces. Do you think that's a big move?
Big Ivan** In terms of tactics and battlefield situation, the Russian army may repeatedly fight for a target, and greatly deplete their combat power by striking at the Ukrainian countershock forces. This also means that the battle for the Raiders of Chasov Yar will be fierce and long. Wow, that's a true picture of war.
Seeing this, are you as excited as I am?Big Ivan feels that in the next six months or so, we must continue to pay attention to the progress of the Russian army in this direction. It will be interesting to see how this conflict will go. The build-up of forces of the Russian army on the western front of Artemsk is no joke. This far-reaching winter offensive is about to begin, and the concentration of forces is not only to clear a few villages around Artemsk, but also to indicate that the Russian army is expected to face Chasov Yar and further advance the depth of the offensive.
Ah, I'm a little thrilled to say that!The deployment of Bodanivka, Ivanivsk, Krischivka and other directions shows that the Russian army is ready to launch an offensive on multiple axes and build a north-south flank situation. At the strategic level, this layout presents an intention to close the entire Chasov Yar region. Wow, isn't this a bit like a movie plot?
The strategic intentions of the Russian army reveal a well-planned offensive aimed at disintegrating the Ukrainian army's rearmament and rotation plan through an oppressive offensive. By mobilizing the heavy forces of the Ukrainian army to the west of Artemsk, the Russian army intends to form an encirclement in this area, and then use its firepower advantage to carry out a large-scale encirclement and annihilation of the Ukrainian army. It's a very cunning plan, what do you say?
Judging from the information that has been made public so far, the size of the Russian army's forces on the Artemsk front has exceeded the total strength of the Wagner cluster in the same period last year. The size of five brigades, seven regiments, and 8 assault battalions of the 2nd Assault Army made up a large and powerful army. Such a scale is enough to support a campaign with wide coverage and deep extension, showing the determination and ambition of the Russian army.
Through the analysis of the territory of the battle, Big Ivan pointed out that the three possible offensive axes, the northern axis, the eastern axis, and the flank support, formed a situation of a north-south flank, showing that the Russian army's strategic plan for Chasov Yar is extremely tight. A north-south flank attack can not only quickly suppress the enemy's forces, but also make it possible to form a continuous encirclement posture in the Chasov Yar region, limit the mobility of the Ukrainian army, and then achieve greater strategic advantages.
Big Ivan's tactical prediction of the Russian army shows that Chasov Yar's strategy will not be an overnight operation. He stressed the possibility of repeated scrambles for one target, which will massively deplete the opponent's combat effectiveness by sustaining strikes against the Ukrainian countershock forces. This tactical strategy shows that the Russian army is ready to fight a long and continuous battle on this battlefield, so as to better consume the enemy's living forces. This is in line with the performance of the Wagner cluster in the Battle of Artemsk last year, and foreshadows that Chasov Yar's strategy will become a long tug-of-war.
Looking back at the timing of the Wagner cluster's campaign on the same front last year, Big Ivan concluded that the Russian army's battle in western Artemsk is also likely to continue for a considerable period of time. Taking last year's offensive as a reference for half a year, the Russian army's military operations in this area may last for several months. This timeline requires not only the flexible use of forces, but also the effective management of support and supplies to ensure sustained pressure and offensives. Therefore, Chasov Yar's strategy is likely to be a long-term battle in a military operation, and a high degree of vigilance is still required for further evolution of the battlefield situation.
After an in-depth analysis of key factors such as troop build-up, strategic intent, troop size, campaign size, battlefield situation, and campaign time, Big Ivan put forward a clear strategic outlook. The next six months or so will be a period of continuous attention to the Russian offensive in western Artemsk. The course of this conflict will emerge in the determination of the Russian army, the tenacity of Ukraine and the response of the international community. The strategy of Chasov Yar is full of uncertainties and challenges, and by continuing to monitor intelligence trends, we can hopefully have a more accurate insight into the development trend of this conflict.
Wow, what a blood-boiling battle!Big Ivan's analysis is simply a master of military decryption, allowing us to see more clearly the vastness, complexity and length of this conflict. The war is raging, the world's attention is on this battlefield, I don't know if everyone has the same tension as me. Do you want to stay tuned to this exciting conflict and see what the future holds?Thank you all for your support, and let's look forward to the final outcome of this conflict