According to a new report published by Reuters on December 12, it is now about 11 months before the voting day in the United States. But for his predecessor, Donald Trump, his return to the White House is more likely now than at any time since he left office.
During his tenure, Trump has been subjected twice, after losing in 2020, he tried to obstruct the peaceful transfer of power, and later faced dozens of charges in multiple criminal cases. Critics warn that he is plotting to impose ** rule.
Now, however, economic factors may allow Trump to return to the White House. National polls show Trump leading his rivals by nearly 50 percentage points in the race for the Republican** nomination. For an American** who seemed defeated and humiliated three years ago, such a comeback is amazing.
While the current Biden** claims that the current state of the economy is good, the unemployment rate is up from 6 when Trump left office3% fell to 3., which is close to the all-time low9%, the level of inflation has fallen from a high of more than 9% in June 2022 to 32%。But a large number of people believe that this is not the case. They point out that wages do not keep up with the necessities and services of life, such as food, groceries, cars, housing, childcare and elder care.
When the current Biden talks about the economy, Americans are thinking about bits and pieces of real-life affordability, not economic indicators. Polls show that voters majorally believe Republicans are better at managing the economy. While Trump will only make vague suggestions, it is not just the economy that is unsettling voters, but also a general sense of loss that comes with economic factors. Owning a home, earning a decent wage, and having access to a college education are the foundations of American life that are increasingly out of reach for many.
Polls show voters are worried about crime and nervous about migrants crossing the U.S.-Mexico border illegally. Trump, on the other hand, is very good at channeling and packaging this type of fear, while still portraying himself as an outsider to the American political system. Even if some people worry that he will not be able to govern the country, although the ** mechanism during his tenure is occasionally chaotic, it is basically functioning normally.
Trump also attacked Biden's inability to convince large sections of the public that his job-creating policies, such as the ability to make fundamental changes to their lives through massive investments in infrastructure, new energy and chip manufacturing.
Of course, the Reuters report also pointed out that all this does not mean that Trump will necessarily win, as he is still extremely unpopular in many parts of the country and among many people. If he is elected as his party's nominee, it could provoke a high turnout in the opposition camp in favor of Democrats against him. Mr. Trump's inflammatory, anti-establishment rhetoric may be disgusting to more moderate Republicans as well as independent voters. And for Trump, he will have to rely on the votes of these moderate Republicans and independent voters to have a chance of winning over Biden.
For Mr. Trump, his America-first conservative economic policies have both ushered in and lost an era. As the saying goes, success is also Xiao He, and defeat is also Xiao He. This is because expansionary economic policies tend to promote political cooperation, while conservative economic policies beggar-thy-neighbor allow economic factors to spill over into the political sphere, thus bringing the risk of political confrontation. For Trump, he is too good at making decisions in the economic field, and when economic factors spill over into the political arena and become confrontational risks, Trump seems to be a little less emboldened.