Finland Sweden is about to join NATO? Cautious optimism!

Mondo International Updated on 2024-01-29

Only one step is left for Finland and Sweden to join NATO.

On the 5th local time, Finland, Sweden and NATO member states jointly signed the "NATO Accession Protocol" at NATO headquarters, indicating that the "NATO North Expansion" is expected to become a reality. Until then, Finland and Sweden will participate in NATO activities as "invited countries", but the timing of becoming "full members" is still uncertain.

Not a simple process.

Finland and Sweden face a key condition in the process of joining NATO - recognition of the Kurdistan Workers' Party as a terrorist organization and the extradition of 73 *** to Turkey However, the specific extradition time has not yet been determined, because it requires the coordination of the Supreme Courts of the two countries, and there is no subordinate relationship between ** and the courts, and there is uncertainty that cannot be **.

Turkey's position.

Turkey's tough stance is worrying. Although a "tripartite memorandum" was signed with Finland and Sweden at the NATO summit in Madrid, expressing support for NATO expansion, this support is not a "gratuitous" gift. Erdogan made it clear that Turkey will not submit the NATO protocol to parliament if Finland and Sweden do not fulfill their responsibilities.

Lessons from history. Turkey is worried about the capriciousness of Western countries in their handling of affairs. Turkey, which once participated in the development of the American F-35 fighter and invested a lot of money, was kicked out of the project by the United States due to the introduction of the S-400 anti-missile system from Russia. This is a lesson from history that requires Finland, Sweden, and the NATO-dominated United States to be careful not to backfire due to political changes.

A breakthrough in NATO's northward expansion.

Despite all the uncertainties, NATO's northward expansion has still ushered in a breakthrough. Recently, it was reported that NATO may set up a military base in Finland near the Russian border, which has raised concerns in Russia. The mayor of Lappeenranta, Finland, even openly appealed for NATO to set up a military base in the city, less than 200 kilometers from St. Petersburg, Russia's economic center and the second largest city.

Russia's response.

In the face of a potential threat, Russia's Putin has a clear attitude. The accession of Finland and Sweden to NATO does not worry Russia, but if NATO deploys troops or bases in Finland and Sweden, Russia will have to respond in reciprocal terms. Russian press secretary Dmitry Peskov also admitted that the Russian side has made the necessary plans.

The arrival of a new commander.

Against this backdrop, NATO's Supreme Allied Command in Europe welcomed a new commander on July 4 – Cavalli, an Army general from the United States. His familiarity with European affairs, his rich experience in military command, and his deep knowledge of Russia have undoubtedly injected new strength into NATO's operations in the European region.

The intentions towards Russia are obvious.

Cavalli's résumé shows that he is very familiar with European affairs, has extensive experience in military command, and is well versed in Russian affairs. NATO's decision to expand its rapid reaction force from 40,000 to 300,000 shows NATO's firm will in the face of Russia.

Europe will become a battlefield of "three wars"?

As the situation develops, more and more people are beginning to worry about whether NATO will go to war with Russia, plunging Europe into a "third war". Germany plays a pivotal role in this process and faces enormous risks. The recent large number of military discharge applications received by the German Federal Office for Family and Civil Social Affairs shows that the Germans are surprised by the development of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and are full of worries about a possible direct military conflict with Russia.

Germany's armament adjustments.

Germany announced that it would establish a large military force on a permanent basis, including 15,000 soldiers, a regional naval command, 60 aircraft, and 20 naval regiments. This force will be integrated into the NATO Rapid Reaction Force and will be designed to complement NATO operations.

Potential military conflict.

In the event of a military conflict between NATO and Russia, Germany will bear the brunt of the conflict. Schutte, head of the operational command of the Bundeswehr, said that the risk of a military conflict between Germany and Russia is high. As a result, the German Federal Office for Family and Civil Social Affairs is likely to continue to receive more requests for discharge, while the German team may lose some of its soldiers first.

Epilogue. The entire process of NATO's northward expansion is full of twists and turns, and unknowns, especially when it comes to sensitive issues involving Russia. How to balance the interests of various countries and avoid intensifying contradictions is an arduous task in international relations at present. The accession of Finland and Sweden has significantly changed NATO's strategic landscape in the Nordic region, which means that the whole of Europe will usher in a more critical moment.

This article provides an in-depth analysis of the complex process of Finland and Sweden's accession to NATO, as well as the political and geostrategic considerations involved. The author skillfully combines the practical challenges of international politics, historical experience and the current situation to present an international issue that has attracted much attention. Here's a review of the article:

First of all, the article introduces the accession of Finland and Sweden to NATO, highlighting the key issues in it, namely the recognition of the Kurdistan Workers' Party and the conditions for extradition. This gives the reader a deeper understanding of this complex international political situation. At the same time, the article's attitude towards Turkey and its reference to the lessons of history express concern about the interweaving of various factors in international relations.

Secondly, the author's concerns about Russia and the corresponding response are also fully demonstrated. Russia's tough stance in the face of the possibility of NATO military bases in Finland and Sweden, as well as its plans in the face of potential threats, underscore the reality of tensions in the region. This scenario reveals the sensitivities of all parties in international relations and their urgent concern for their own security.

The article also shows NATO's strategic layout in the face of the Russian problem by introducing the resume of the new commander of NATO's Supreme Allied Command in Europe, Cavalli. Cavalli's familiarity with European affairs, extensive military experience, and deep knowledge of Russia have infused NATO with a well-rounded leader who embodies the country's intent and determination to confront potential threats.

In addition, the article reveals the real threats and perceptions of security issues faced by European countries by mentioning Germany's armament adjustment after the NATO summit and the surge in applications for the retirement of German people. Germany's role in this process is particularly prominent, especially in the expansion of NATO's rapid reaction force, highlighting Germany's importance in maintaining stability in the European region.

Overall, this article clearly presents the international political situation and geostrategic relations in front of readers through in-depth analysis. The article uses detailed facts and reasonable inferences to enable readers to better understand the positions and considerations of all parties in the process of NATO's northward expansion, and provides a useful reference for in-depth understanding of the international political situation.

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