The turning point of Ren ai Jiao is comingThe U.S. military is drawn into the quagmire of the Middle

Mondo Military Updated on 2024-01-31

HouthisArmedRecently, attacks were carried out on Red Sea cargo ships, and in order to ensure the safety of the Red Sea passage, the Houthis were attackedArmedAnd to protect the security of Israel's flanks, the United States had to form a multinational escort alliance. However, the HouthisArmedNot to be outdone, the escort alliance was not only warned, but also attacks were launched on the ships of the alliance countries. In order to strengthen the strength of the multinational forces in the Red Sea, the United States deployed the aircraft carrier "Carl Vinson" in Southeast Asia in preparation for deployment to the Middle East. This is a huge shame for the Philippines, as they have already given warnings that conflict could erupt in the South China Sea. However, the actions of the United States prove that they do not care about the problems of the Philippines.

Expansion: HouthiArmedThe attacks have attracted international attention because the Red Sea Corridor is of critical importance to the world. The U.S. coalition was formed to ensure the smooth flow of this critical waterway, while also sending a warning to Iran. HouthisArmedas well as the strengthening of the United StatesMilitaryThe situation in the Red Sea region has become more complicated and tense.

The Philippines is clearly disappointed by the behavior of the United States. The Philippine ambassador to the United States has said that the Philippines faces the most complex geopolitical challenges in the world and has adopted unconventional diplomatic means to counter the Chinese threat. However, the Philippines' concerns do not seem to have been heeded by the United States. After the news of the transfer and deployment of the US ** ship came out, the Chinese ambassador to France raised questions and asked whether the United States was really willing to clash with China for the Philippines if the Philippines decided to break the red line. The answer to this question is obviously no, and in fact it also brings us to an important strategic consideration: whether the United States is mired in the Middle East quagmire or whether to solve it for usSecond Thomas ReefWhat about the opportunity that the question provides?

Expansion: The Philippines has been trying to counter China's claims in the South China Sea through international assistance and close ties with the United States. However, the actions of the United States do not seem to be as decisive and tough as they would have liked. This has forced the Philippines to reassess their relationship with the United States and consider whether to seek other solutions to deal with China.

U.S. in Southeast AsiaMilitaryIf there is a vacuum in the deployment, it will be solved for ChinaSecond Thomas Reefand other islands and reefs. If we can take advantage of itMilitaryMeans to seizeSecond Thomas Reef, American aircraft carriers will not be able to function. Currently, the United States is in Yokosuka, Japan".Reagan"The aircraft carrier is in a state of semi-maintenance and semi-duty, and its sortie capability is relatively weak. In addition, the aircraft carrier "Carl Vinson" has been deployed to the Middle East and wants to returnSecond Thomas ReefThere will also be many difficulties. Therefore, in the absence of aircraft carrier support,U.S. militaryIt is almost impossible to use the U.S.-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty to help defend the Philippines.

However, we must also recognize the solutionSecond Thomas ReefThe problem is not just oneMilitaryIssue. In the process of making decisions, we also need to comprehensively consider factors such as international relations and the surrounding security environment.

Extension: ResolvedSecond Thomas ReefThere are many considerations involved. First, we need to gauge whether the relationship between China and the Philippines needs to be regressed across the board. If relations between the two countries do not ease anytime soon, and the Code of Conduct in the South China Sea signed by China and ASEAN does not go smoothly, then maintaining a basic relationship with the Philippines may become meaningless. Second, we need to consider whether the United States is really caught in a Middle East crisis. IfU.S. militaryThe presence in the Middle East has become an international hot spot, and we need to be careful not to make the South China Sea issue a global hot spot and affect China's international image and surrounding security environment. Finally, we also need to observe the extent of the Philippines' provocations against our country. If the Philippines increases provocations even inSecond Thomas ReefThe construction of permanent buildings, China may have to takeMilitarymeans to respond. Therefore, only after considering these issues can we make a decisionSecond Thomas Reefdecisive decision-making.

The United States is drawn into the Middle East quagmire to settle for ChinaSecond Thomas ReefThe problem provides a certain opportunity. But we have to be clear, settledSecond Thomas ReefThe problem doesn't just depend onMilitarymeans, but also need to consider a variety of factors. We should positively assess the development trend of China-Philippines relations and give careful consideration to the United StatesMilitaryThe impact of the action on the situation in the region, and closely monitor the extent of the Philippines' provocations against China. Only after a thorough weighing of various factors can we make a final decision to maximize our strategic benefits while minimizing strategic losses.

Extension: ResolvedSecond Thomas ReefThe question isSouth China SeaAn important part of the dispute. China has always advocated dialogue with relevant parties through bilateral negotiations to resolve disputes peacefully. Against the backdrop of its own development, China is also actively promoting stability and cooperation in the South China Sea, and is committed to building a peaceful, stable and prosperous South China Sea. Despite the fact that the United States is in the Southeast Asian regionMilitaryThe existence of the South China Sea issue may bring certain opportunities for China to resolve the South China Sea issue, but we should focus on the overall situation of peace and stability, cooperate with relevant parties through multilateral dialogue, and advance the settlement of the South China Sea issue in a peaceful manner. It is only through stable and sustained efforts that we can finally achieve peace and prosperity in the South China Sea.

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