What kind of crisis is behind the changing international situation and the frequent conflicts in many places around China?
At present, the international situation is volatile, and conflicts around the world are becoming more and more intense. According to Bloomberg's authoritative research, there will be 183 regional armed conflicts around the world in 2023, the highest number recorded in nearly 30 years. In addition to known hot issues such as Palestine and Israel, Russia and Ukraine, conflicts in India and Pakistan, Central Asia, Myanmar and other places have also broken out one after another. This series of changes has made the security situation in China's neighborhood a matter of great concern, and it implies a deeper crisis.
i.The contradictions between India and Pakistan have resurfaced, and India has taken risks and speculated.
Tensions between India and Pakistan have risen again. India's Supreme Law abrogated Kashmir's autonomy, triggering a strong backlash in Kashmir. By doing so, India is trying to assimilate Kashmir as a "temporary provision". This decision is bound to provoke a larger conflict, and India is likely to take this opportunity to take a tough stance on the border issue and provoke China.
ii.The dispute over water resources in Central Asia, a potential military risk.
Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have been involved in a dispute over Afghanistan's advancement of the Kushtepa Canal project. The project has sparked fears in neighbouring countries** that it will lead to irrigation water shortages. Analysts believe that the competition for water resources could turn into a violent conflict, affecting the stability of the Central Asian region. In particular, the issue of sharing the Amu Darya River could become a potential military risk that would affect the security of China's western border.
iii.The civil unrest in Myanmar is a test of China's security in the southern, southwestern and western borders.
The situation in Myanmar is chaotic, with warlords, ethnic armed forces, criminal groups and other forces competing in the country's civil war. The United States, India, Russia and other countries are also involved. China has a border with Myanmar that stretches for more than 2,000 kilometers, and the chaotic Myanmar poses a serious threat to China's southern, southwestern, and western border security. It also underscores the importance of close ties with Russia, a neighbor to the north, and Putin recently said that China and Russia will cooperate in all areas, including military technology.
iv.How is China responding to multiple border crises?
In the face of multiple conflicts in the surrounding region, China needs to adopt a calm and decisive response strategy. On the one hand, through diplomatic channels, we should enlist international support and expose the complex forces behind the conflict. On the other hand, it is necessary to strengthen communication with neighboring countries and promote the peaceful settlement of disputes. At the same time, maintain a high degree of vigilance, enhance military precautions, and ensure the security of the national border.
v.Conclusion: Stabilize the surrounding area and seek peaceful development.
At present, the uncertainty of the international situation has brought multiple challenges to China. Through rational diplomacy and restraint in military strength, China can better safeguard and create favorable conditions for peaceful development. Stabilizing the surrounding situation is a top priority of China's foreign policy and the cornerstone of achieving national prosperity and stability.