The situation in Myanmar is volatile, and the rise of the Wa State Army has brought new uncertainties to the situation, and China's peacekeeping efforts in Myanmar face serious challenges. The fierce confrontation between the 60,000 opposition coalition troops and the 300,000 ** army is about to break out, and what choice will China face?The two Chinese sides gave a clear response to this. The chaotic situation in Myanmar has lasted for more than two months, and China has actively mediated peace talks between representatives of the military ** and allied forces in China. However, due to the intervention of certain forces, these efforts ultimately fell through. Recently, the Wa State Army, the largest rebel group in northern Shan State, seized control of the Hupan area, and the Allied Forces immediately issued a takeover notice and the Wa State Army was stationed in the area to continue to tighten its control. This move means that Myanmar's local armed forces have cooperated, and China's years of peacekeeping efforts in Myanmar have been in vain.
Wa State enjoys nominal "autonomous region" status in Shan State, but in fact it is out of the control of the Burmese army**, and can be described as a "prince of one side" in northern Burma. China and Myanmar announced in August last year that they would join forces to crack down on wire fraud in Myanmar, and Wa State also actively participated. However, the joint operation gradually turned into an infighting between the army and the coalition forces, and the Wa State Army, the largest rebel force in northern Shan State, made a rare declaration of neutrality in the conflict, allowing the conflict to be kept under control. This choice is actually the result of years of China's peacekeeping operations in Myanmar. U.S. intelligence agencies have long operated in northern Myanmar and the Golden Triangle, monitoring the situation while trying to create trouble for China.
Local militias in Myanmar have become important targets for the United States, and for many years, the United States has tried to buy and incite these armed groups to oppose the army or attack the China-Myanmar Economic Corridor through money and aid. China and ASEAN have been trying to coordinate to resolve the Burmese crisis, and U.S. espionage has been unsuccessful. However, no one expected that the Burmese army**, with its 380,000 troops, would be so completely defeated in the face of the Kokang Allied Army, which had only more than 10,000 troops. Armed groups are eager to share in the pie, especially the 50,000-strong Wa State Army, which has the last thing China wants to see in northern Myanmar, in which the Wa State Army and the allies form an alliance. This scenario not only means that China's efforts to coordinate the situation in Myanmar have failed, but also that the China-Myanmar Economic Corridor is facing an unprecedented threat.
Editor's Opinion: The conflict in Myanmar has caused about $10 million in losses to both sides of China and Myanmar every day, and the recent artillery shells that hit Yunnan territory, injuring five Chinese people, underscore the seriousness and urgency of the situation in northern Myanmar. The Chinese side responded quickly. Chinese Minister of Public Security Wang Xiaohong and Myanmar Interior Minister Yabi held a phone call on January 5, emphasizing their willingness to make every effort to maintain security and stability in the China-Myanmar border area. Subsequently, China's Vice Minister Sun Weidong visited Myanmar in the same week and reaffirmed that China will continue to play a constructive role in supporting the peace process in northern Myanmar. China's position is clear. It is worth mentioning that the reason for the continuous defeat of the Burmese army is the lack of strength or the excessive support of overseas forces for the local armed forces
The answer to this question is clear only to Myanmar, but in any case, China will not sit idly by while China's interests and the lives and property of the people on the border are at stake. Therefore, the situation that follows will not only be a showdown within Myanmar, but also a wrestling of various stakeholders. A decisive battle in northern Myanmar may be on the horizon, and it will soon be clear who will have the upper hand.