On Tuesday, the Shanghai and Shenzhen **low opening rebounded**, diving in the afternoon, reversing at the end of the session, and the major stock indexes collectively closed the "doji", showing a stable form.
As of the end of **, the Shanghai Composite Index edged up 005%, Shenzhen Component Index and ChiNext Index are **011% and 042%, with a turnover of 642.8 billion, a decrease of about 50 billion from the previous day.
In the industry sector, tourism, hotel and catering, shipping, Internet and semiconductors led the gains, while commerce**, real estate, warehousing and logistics, gas and heating and comprehensive categories occupied the list of decliners.
*In terms of 2726 shares, 2382 shares, 35 shares up, 20 shares down, the median rose slightly by 008%, the money-making effect is acceptable.
The net sale of northbound funds was about 2.1 billion, and the net outflow of main funds was 1646.6 billion.
Traceability perspective: After continuous shrinkage, the "ground beam doji", the weight index stocks desperately protect the disk, ** activity increased, combined with the long-term trend line (the GY line is located at 2911 points) successfully stepped back, A shares or will usher in a round of strength**.
Let's take a look at the market details
01. Three ups and three downs, the market may not move
On the time-sharing chart, the morning opened low **, 1030 before and after falling;Afternoon 13Around 40 years after the second pulse fell back to diving;In the last half hour, the Jedi counterattacked, and the three major stock indexes stubbornly turned red.
The whole tick chart is up and down, the bulls are resisting, and the bears do not have an overwhelming advantage. At the same time, even when the market fell the most, there were still more than 1,600 shares** in the two markets. Obviously, the market is likely to fall nowhere.
On the other hand, except for the two pullbacks that opened low in the morning, there was no panic on the disk. On the contrary, the traceability found that the stock index was obviously relatively large when it rebounded, which means that many funds looking forward to the double-bottom pattern are tentative**.
If in the next two trading days, as long as the market does not appear a new low, it is reasonable to expect a round of ** or a logical necessity. On the contrary, it may be necessary to be mentally prepared for long-term perseverance.
Traceability subjectively believes that the probability of being strong is greater.
02. Success is also weighted, defeat is also weighted, and the market outlook also depends on whether "GJD" continues to exert force
As we said earlier, the market has almost fallen on the time-sharing chart, which is more fully reflected at the ** level. That is, the market trend throughout the day is influenced by weights, and the small and medium-sized market capitalization is disorderly and random.
The first pulse in the morning, the bank took the lead, the brokerage followed, and the afternoon dived the brokerage firm's first work, but the bank made a force at the end of the session.
In other words, how the market moves in the future depends largely on how the weighted banks, insurance and popular brokerages go.
The banking sector was protected by the sun yesterday, and today's doji **, which was judged to be stable by individuals;The insurance sector was a doji yesterday and today, showing a combination of "double needle bottoming", which was also judged to be stable;The downward trend of the brokerage sector continues, although it closed the doji today, but the strong brokerage in the early stage obviously made up for the decline (such as a certain creation **, a certain **) that is, the brokerage sector still has inertia downward demand.
That is to say, judging from the technical trend of these three sectors themselves, the future ** will probably revolve around 2923 points**.
On the other hand, the participation of small and medium-sized ** in these three groups is low, and long-term funds such as institutions and GJD are standard all year round. At present, the public offering ** is in a critical period of the ranking war, and it is unlikely to take the initiative to rise.
Obviously, the rise and fall of the market outlook depends entirely on the mood of GJD, continue to protect the disk, and be strong, on the contrary, continue to build the bottom and grind the bottom.
03. What is the reason for the reversal of diving?
Today, jumping up and down on the disk, the overall long and short seesaw, the reason for its diving may be:
1. The behavior of northbound funds drifted, with a net ** of about 2.7 billion yesterday and a net sale of about 2.1 billion today.
2. At the end of the month, the capital is relatively tight, and the public offering must deal with the redemption tide.
3. YH net withdrawal of funds to make room for liquidity at the end of the month. Today, 119 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations, 182 billion yuan of 14-day reverse repurchase operations, 414 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations expired today, achieving a net return of 113 billion yuan.
4. Financing customers began to reduce their positions slightly and leave the market. According to the latest data, the financing balance of the Shanghai Stock Exchange was reported at 83640 billion yuan, the financing balance of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange was reported at 75681.2 billion yuan, a total of 15,932 in the two cities1.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 20 from the previous trading day6.3 billion yuan.
As for the strong "V" reversal at the end of the market, there is a high probability that it is GJD behavior, or there is corresponding data verification in the evening.
04. The shrinkage turnover is 642.8 billion, how to go on Wednesday?
Straight to the point, the source of the source believes that there is a high probability of "strong **" on Wednesday A-shares
1. The trading volume has shrunk further, and the market can still do it with a transaction of 642.8 billionThere is a high probability that it is of the nature of "land volume and land price".
2. The Mao Index, the Ning Portfolio and the SSE 50 have stabilized significantly, leaving the market with room for further growth.
3. Technically, the Shanghai Composite Index has a low of 2914 points, and there is a 9-point gap between 2923 points, and ** is significantly higher than 2923 points, and it is still a double-bottom ** combination in form. At the same time, the 60th quarter** is currently closed at 291126 o'clock.
That is, the double-bottom pattern and the long-term ** are still trustworthy at present, and the downside of the market is extremely limited.
The SSE stopped falling in 5 minutes and 15 minutes** and stabilized;30 minutes** Changyang reversal, and MACD indicator passivation divergence;The 60-minute standard bottoming rebound hammerhead line, the MACD green column is shortened, and the ** appeal is obvious.
Comprehensive analysis: The three major stock indexes hit new lows at the same time, and the market is not broken, ** or will follow, so trace the source to guess Wednesday's strong **.
The article is a collation and reflection of traceable investment ideas, and does not constitute investment advice, for reference only).