On Tuesday morning, the three major stock indexes continued to adjust, hitting new lows, and then ushered in resonance and stabilization.
At noon**, the Shanghai Composite Index edged down 002, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 005%, 024%, with a turnover of 394.9 billion, a significant decrease of 34.4 billion from the same period of the previous trading day.
In the industry sector, tourism, hotel and catering, shipping, Internet and semiconductors led the gains, while warehousing and logistics, comprehensive, real estate, automobiles and heating and gas supply accounted for the decliners.
*In terms of 2274 shares, 2820 shares, 25 shares up and 10 shares down, median 012%, the loss effect is more obvious.
Northbound funds were net sellers of 116.5 billion, with a net outflow of 61 million main funds2.1 billion.
Traceability perspective: The Shanghai Stock Exchange opened low, fell rapidly, the three major stock indexes all hit new lows, and the long-term trend line (GY line) is close at hand.
Morning Disk Observation:
1. The half-day turnover is less than 400 billion, and the full-day estimate is only 650 billion, shrinking for 6 consecutive trading days, and the volume has been compressed to the extreme, or triggering an over-fall at any time**.
2. ** and the plate is still up and down, but the strength and amplitude of the fall are significantly weaker than the previous trading day, which means that the market has not moved.
But what is more embarrassing is that the public offering ** may tear each other down for the sake of ranking. Because everyone's net worth is ugly, they are afraid that the products they manage will be stabbed in the back by their peers.
In other words, even if the market is at a new low, the demand for technology is very strong, and the required conditions are met, it may not be possible to start after New Year's Day in 2024.
So in the last few trading days, the market is likely to be pulling back and forth around 2923 points.
3. Tourism, hotel catering led the rise, because the entire tourism industry has basically recovered to the level of the same period in 2019.
At the same time, recent data from various ** tourism platforms show that the number of air tickets and hotel bookings on New Year's Day has doubled year-on-year, but this sector is embarrassed and characterized as a transactional opportunity.
4. On the time-sharing chart, 10Around 30 minutes, brokerages and banks made a slight effort, the index turned red, and ** emerged one after another, which also reflects that the market is rising, and only a benchmark sector is needed.
Then, investors may want to focus on whether "GJD" continues to exert force. If GJD continues to protect the disk, it can be expected, but on the contrary, it can only be repeated around 2923 points as the second point of traceability.
5. The liquidity is slightly tight. Specifically, YH carried out a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 119 billion yuan today, and the winning interest rate was 180%, the same as before; 182 billion yuan of 14-day reverse repurchase operation, the winning interest rate is 195%, the same as before.
Due to the expiration of 414 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase today, a net withdrawal of 113 billion yuan was realized.
In terms of financing balance, the financing balance of the Shanghai Stock Exchange was reported at 83640 million yuan, a decrease of 10 from the previous trading day$6.4 billion; The financing balance of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange was reported at 75681.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 9 from the previous trading day$9.9 billion; The total of the two cities is 15,9321.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 20 from the previous trading day6.3 billion yuan.
6. In the afternoon, how to go for A-shares?
From a technical point of view, the Shanghai Composite Index followed in the footsteps of the first and hit a new low today, so that the three major stock indexes resonated at a new low, and the primary conditions were met.
Morphologically, the morning low of 2919 points, which is only 4 points away from the last low of 2923, is still defined as a prototype of a double bottom, and unless the long-term trend line of 2911 is effectively broken, we will consider the double bottom invalid.
The KDJ and RSI indicators are currently oversold and at a low level, and the index is located in the lower band of BOLL, and the triple ** appeal is visible to the naked eye.
The 5-minute and 15-minute declines have stopped again, and they have already stepped out of the uptrend; 30 minutes in the morning is two yang and two yin, stop falling meaning; After 60 minutes of bottoming and rebounding, it will rise and fall back, waiting to choose the direction.
Comprehensive analysis: There is a high probability that the medium-term dimension will continue to build the bottom and grind the bottom, and the short-term adjustment has ended.
The article is a collation and reflection of traceable investment ideas, and does not constitute investment advice, for reference only).