Since the implementation of the first housing reform in 1998, ChinaRoom ratesAfter a long period of rapid**, it did not end until the first half of 2021. National averageRoom ratesFrom 2,000 yuan in the past, the square meter ** to the highest 110,000 square meters, an increase of 55 times. Especially in first-tier citiesRoom ratesIt has risen from 3,000 yuan to 6-70,000 square meters at the peak, an increase of 20-30 times. Many earlyInvestmentsMultiple setsPropertyThe family has now achieved financial freedom and has become successfulInvestmentsHe who.
However, since the second half of 2021, China's real estate market has seen an obvious adjustment trend, especially after entering March 2023, the adjustment trend is more obvious. From January to November this year, the whole countryCommercial housingThe sales area is about 121.2 billion square meters, down 233%；Commercial housingSales are about 1186 trillion yuan, down 266%。At the same time, in November, the average second-hand residential property in Baicheng was 15,400 yuan square meters, 056%, which has been the month-on-month ratio for 19 consecutive months, and the year-on-year decline has expanded to 321%。large and medium-sized cities across the countryRoom ratesAll showed a general downward trend.
In the face of the current adjustment trend of the real estate market, many people can't help but wonder: from next year, should I buy a house orSell your homeWhat about it?Bulls believe that the real estate market has been adjusting for two years, coupled with frequent favorable policies, next yearRoom ratesThere will be a retaliatory **, so it is possible to buy a house next yearproperty marketoutsole. However, bears believeRoom ratesIt is already on the high side, exceeding the income level of local residents in the coming yearsRoom ratesThere may be a gradual return to residential properties. In this case, the high positionSell your homeMonetization is probably the smartest option.
On this issue, Cao Dewang, a well-known entrepreneur, also gave his own advice: if you have a surplus house in your hand, you should sell it as soon as possible, and it is dangerous to wait. He doesn't think real estate is a good fitInvestmentsIf you choose to invest in the real estate market now, the benefits are not proportional to the investment. And the current state of the real estate market makes choosing to enter the real estate market as dangerous as a moth to a fire.
1.Real estate surplus: According to the latest data released by the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, China has 600 million houses. Even if an average of 5 people live in each house, it is enough to accommodate 3 billion people. Of course, these 600 million houses are also includedSmall property rightsResettlement housing, rural buildings, etc., but even so, China's ** is still seriously excessive. Data shows that 96% of households in the country have at least one setCommercial housing, and 415% of households even own more than twoCommercial housing。In the case of a real estate glut, count on next yearRoom ratesA big rise is not realistic.
Purchasing powerDecline: After 3 yearsPandemicThe impact has caused many people to lose their incomes or even lose their jobsBuying a houseThe capacity has been greatly weakened, and it is difficult to afford the current oneHigh house prices。Nowadays, buy a 90-square-meter unit in a second- or third-tier cityCommercial housing, at least 1.5 million to 2 million yuan, equivalent to the income of local residents for more than 20 years. And buy the same area in the first-tier citiesCommercial housing, at least 6 million yuan is needed, which is equivalent to a family's income for 50-60 years. In addition,PandemicAfter that, more and more people are more rationalBuying a house, will be based on itselfEconomystrength to decide whether or notBuying a house, and no longer as impulsive as in the pastBuying a house
3.Fermentation of regulatory policies: Since 2016, China has introduced a series of real estate regulatory policies, especially in first-tier cities, with greater regulation and stricter implementation, aiming to curb themRoom ratesSoon**, realized"Housing is not speculation"。In 2021 alone, a total of 650 real estate regulation policies were issued in China. The effect of many years of regulatory policies is continuing to ferment, a large numberInvestmentsPeople who speculate on real estate have withdrawnproperty market, ImprovedBuying a houseThe group is in a wait-and-see mode. Therefore, looking forward to next yearRoom ratesThe idea of another surge is no longer realistic.
To sum up, there are multiple sets in handPropertypeople should strike as soon as possible, willPropertyMonetize and seize the opportunities you have now. The future of the real estate market is still uncertainInvestmentsneed to be treated with caution. PropertyIt's just a way of asset allocation, not a risk-free and unlimited profit tool. IndividualsInvestmentsDecision-making should be based on comprehensive consideration of one's own situation and market conditions, and make rational and prudent choices.