Hello everyone.
It's really pitiful for the hearts of parents all over the world, in ancient times, there were three moves of Meng's mother, and there is a phenomenon of buying a school district house.
Today I will talk to you about the cooling of the school district room.
The myth that "school district housing is always going up" has been shattered recently, and there may be more uncertainties in the future.
The once high school district housing is gradually returning to rationality.
Take the Zhujiatan community in Pudong, Shanghai, as an example;
The counterpart of this community is the famous Mingzhu Primary School, so it is called "the strongest school district in Shanghai".
In 2021, the house price exceeded 150,000 square meters.
However, the housing prices in Zhujiatan community are generally less than 100,000 yuan
There are even owners who are in a hurry to reduce each level to 80,000;
But the house has been on the market for more than 8 months and has not been sold.
Not only in Shanghai, but also in Beijing, school district housing is also falling rapidly.
For example, Haidian Wanliu School District House - 50 square meters of hummingbird home;
This community belongs to the very top school district in Haidian, corresponding to the super cow school Zhongguancun No. 3 Elementary School.
The previous highest transaction price was 10.28 million, while the most recent transaction price was only 6.17 million
In less than three years, it has been discounted by 6%.
School district housing in other districts of Beijing, although it has not fallen so much, has more or less reduced its price.
Similar situations occur in various cities across the country, including Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Hangzhou and other hot cities
The school district housing is generally in.
Compared with the high point in 2021, the decline in the housing district of Shenzhen Middle School is generally more than 20%.
The situation is similar in Guangzhou, where housing in some key school districts has fallen by more than 30%.
In the past two years, Hangzhou's school district housing is no longer so sought-after.
Recently, someone posted on social **, saying that he bought a house located in the school district of Qiushi Primary School in West Lake District at the end of 2020;
At that time, the cost was 5 million yuan, but now only two years later, the house has fallen by 1 million yuan;
It can be said that it is a miserable loss.
The list goes on.
Why is there a phenomenon of cooling down in the school district?
In fact, the main reason is that the previous ** was too hyped, and now it is just a return to rationality.
In the past few years, the school district has been outrageous;
For example, the listing price of more than 30 years old and small has reached 120,000 per meter;
What's even more jaw-dropping is that the unit price of a "school district aisle" is as high as 130,007;
There are even some bizarre cases:
For example, the listing price of a school district house with only iron shelves in Zhejiang is as high as 2.7 million, but there are many consultants with only a few iron shelves;
It's just that because it has a place in Wenzhou No. 6 Middle School, it's very sought-after.
But now it seems that these phenomena will be a thing of the past.
If you look back, the popularity of the concept of school district housing should have started in 2006.
At that time, the Compulsory Education Law emphasized the principle of proximity to school, and some parents who valued education began to buy school district houses for their children.
But at that time, most families were not very wealthy, and the real estate industry was not as developed as it is now;
At that time, although the housing price was also very high, it was not a large **.
The first wave of school district housing price increases was around 2014.
At that time, the real estate industry started to be very hot, but educational resources were scarce.
Many parents are starting to realize that buying a house is a great investment
Not only can children get into good schools, but they are also close to home and easy to pick up and drop-off.
Moreover, selling the school district house after six years can not only maintain its value, but also increase its value.
Buying a house in the school district is like saving a six-year fixed deposit, with a super high interest rate, free housing and the qualification to enter a good school.
In today's terms, it's simply true"Earn over"。
So from that time on, houses tied to good schools became in short supply, **crazy**.
But we all know that school district housing is an inherently irrational concept.
In order to stop the skyrocketing price of school district housing, the state has also tried various methods to cool down school district housing in the past two years.
The teacher rotation system should be the terminator of the ** school district room.
This system was launched in 2021 and has now been implemented in more than a dozen cities across the country
As early as September last year, Beijing fully implemented teacher rotation in all 16 districts.
Teacher rotation is also implemented to reduce the misallocation of educational resources.
In the past, there were differences in the level of education and the allocation of resources in different regions and schools.
Teachers are at the heart of educational resources;
The school with high-quality teachers has become a prestigious school.
In order to let their children enjoy the best educational resources, parents with good family conditions are willing to spend a lot of money to buy school district houses around famous schools.
Families with relatively poor economic conditions will also try their best to even borrow money to buy a house in the school district
Even if it reduces the quality of life in other areas, it is not at a cost.
However, after the implementation of teacher rotation, teachers are no longer fixed to teach in a particular school.
The house near the school that used to correspond to the top teachers may now correspond to the average teachers.
With the trial and implementation of measures such as multi-school zoning, teacher rotation system, and university district system;
School district housing prices are starting to return to normal levels;
Perhaps the concept of future school district housing may no longer exist.
In addition to being policy-related, the price reduction of housing in the school district also has a lot to do with the overall cooling of real estate;
Of course, there is another factor that cannot be avoided:
That is, the number of births is declining dramatically.
In 2016, the number of newborns in China exceeded 17 million;
But in 2022, the number is only 9.56 million.
Although the number of newborns this year has not yet been counted, experts estimate that it may be between 7 million and 8.5 million.
Of the less than 10 million newborns, more than half are second or third borns
First-born children account for only about 45 per cent.
For second-child families who already have a school district house, they no longer need to buy a school district house.
The number of newborns will directly lead to a decrease in the number of parents who need to buy a school district house.
It is not yet known whether the school district will continue to live in the future
But what is certain is that it will be difficult to go as crazy as in 2014.
Some partners have asked before whether they want to buy a school district house
I think that if there is a condition, it is possible to do the best.
Because a good school means, to a certain extent, a high-quality teaching team, a good study style and school spirit, and advanced educational resources.
These are all good for your child's development.
But from another point of view, having a school district house does not mean that a child's future is worry-free.
School district housing does not determine a child's development.
As the birth rate declines, the peak period for children enrolled in school gradually decreases after a few years.
With fewer children, resources will be less strained.
Those who have a school district house in their hands want to sell it again, and it may not be so easy.
Of course, if you're very rich and can be willful, none of this is a problem.
But for ordinary people, buying a house is something that needs to be carefully considered, and it cannot be decided lightly.