Kissinger set off another storm and discussed the possibility of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict triggering a "third world war", and history proves that it is "better to settle it sooner rather than later". The turning point between Russia and Ukraine has arrived, and the time for negotiations has come, Kissinger proposed a new international structure in Europe, praising Russia's historical role.
First, warn the world: the conflict between Russia and Ukraine may trigger the "Third World War" Kissinger used the "Sarajevo incident" as an example to emphasize that it led to the outbreak of World War I. He warned the West that the wind rises at the end of the day, and any subtle changes in the situation could become a fuse. Kissinger pointed out that leaders who foresaw the situation in the world after World War I might not be blindly involved in war.
Second, the lessons of history: An early settlement of the conflict is conducive to the peace process, Kissinger used World War I as an example, emphasizing that it is "better to settle the conflict sooner rather than later", and explained that Britain, France, and Germany began to consider the prospect of peace only after paying a heavy price. He secretly criticized Hyundai** for putting personal and political party interests above peace, and called on all parties to start negotiations in a timely manner to avoid the deepening of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine**.
Third, the time has come for negotiations: Russia and Ukraine can peacefully settle the conflict Kissinger believes that the Russian-Ukrainian conflict will be suspended in winter, and Ukraine has partially thwarted Russian aggression. He advocated a negotiated peace, proposing the demarcation of a ceasefire line along the pre-conflict borders and the return of annexed territories by Russia. Kissinger again proposed a referendum to settle the dispute, but it must be subject to international supervision.
Fourth, building a new international structure: Russia remains indispensable in Europe, and Kissinger disagrees with the West, arguing that Russia makes a decisive contribution to the global balance and the balance of power. He opposes the "dismemberment" of Russia and advocates the establishment of a new international structure in Central and Eastern Europe, in which Russia continues to play its role. This view challenges the West's belief that the international balance is maintained by weakening Russia's national power.
Kissinger discussed the depth of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and called on all parties to be cautious and avoid a repetition of history. His recommendations cover both the lessons of history and the current international landscape. In the current tense international relations, how to calm the conflict, promote the peace process, and build a new international structure are all urgent issues before all parties.
Kissinger on the Russia-Ukraine conflict: a wise historical perspective.
Kissinger's in-depth views are particularly valuable in the context of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and his discourse is not only rich in history, but also full of keen insight into the current international situation.
First of all, Kissinger's view that the Russia-Ukraine conflict may trigger a "third world war" has triggered my thinking about history and reality. By invoking the "Sarajevo Affair" and the resulting World War I, he reminds us that the lessons of history cannot be ignored. As he argues, if Europe's leaders had seen the post-World War I world situation clearly, they might not have been involved in that cultural suicide. This makes me wonder if the current international community can learn from history and handle the Russia-Ukraine conflict in a more sensible way.
Second, Kissinger's historical lesson that "sooner rather than later" to calm the conflict is also thought-provoking. By describing the efforts and consequences of the Anglo-French-German battle of Verdun during World War I, he reminds us of the importance of seeking a peaceful solution to the conflict as soon as possible after the outbreak of the conflict. This is in stark contrast to the current situation in which the conflict between the parties in Russia and Ukraine is constantly and rising. Kissinger's view calls on all parties to start negotiations in a timely manner to avoid more unnecessary **, and this rational and pragmatic attitude is worth learning from.
Third, Kissinger believes that the time has come for negotiations on the Russia-Ukraine conflict, especially in the context of the suspension of the conflict in the winter, and that all parties can seek to achieve peace through negotiations. He made specific recommendations for post-conflict negotiations, such as the demarcation of a ceasefire line along the pre-conflict border and the adoption of a referendum to resolve the issue, provided that it was subject to international supervision. These proposals reflect Kissinger's pragmatic thinking on conflict resolution, emphasizing that a peaceful settlement reached through negotiation is the most desirable way.
Finally, Kissinger's view of building a new international structure, and especially his view of Russia's indispensable role in it, stands in stark contrast to the current Western view of weakening Russia's national power. His views call on Central and Eastern Europe to restructure international structures in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, emphasizing Russia's active role in it. This unconventional approach offers the international community a new way of thinking about resolving disputes through cooperation rather than confrontation.
On the whole, Kissinger's views not only contribute to historical wisdom, but also provide useful suggestions for the rational handling of current international affairs. His arguments are not only thought-provoking, but also useful for all parties seeking a peaceful settlement of disputes. Perhaps, as he put it, it would take more reason and cunning to avoid "falling into sleepwalking into war."
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