In the past few years, every time the West asks "Will Putin participate in 2024***, he always responds with a mysterious smile, making it difficult to understand his thoughts."
Once Putin the Great has made a decision, it is quite decisive!Just on December 7, the Federation Council of Russia adopted a resolution deciding to hold ** elections on March 17, 2024.
On December 8, Lord Putin officially announced that he would participate in the 2024** elections!The suspense is solved, but the next question is in what capacity will he run?
In the Russian parliament, both the ruling United Russia party and the largest of the opposition parties, Justice Russia, have expressed their readiness to nominate Putin as the first candidate. This is a real headache, which party will Putin choose?
The answer is revealed!Putin even refused to be the first candidate of any political party, resolutely announced his candidacy as an independent candidate, and even formed his own election team!This play is really unexpected!
The United Russia Party is a well-deserved ruling party in Russia, with an absolute seat advantage, but Putin's bold rejection of their nomination is simply surprising!
Some people began to speculate that a candidate of the ruling party who did not obtain "absolute dominance" actually participated in the ** election in his personal capacity, which will inevitably lead to the "variables" of Russia in 2024?
In any other country, this is a signal that the government has "lost power"!But Russia just doesn't play its cards according to the routine, Putin's move is really ruthless!
Looking back at other countries, in general, similar situations occur when the prestige of the ruling party is extremely high and the ruling party has absolute control in parliament.
However, in this new round of ** elections, the ruling party has elected new "** people" to run for election, and instead of leisurely retreating to the second line, the incumbent ** has confidently formed an election team, intending to "apply for independent candidates" with personal prestige and participate in the election.
This kind of inconsistency plot inside and outside is simply dumbfounded. In many similar election duels in countries around the world, it is rare for the old ** to win more and lose less than the "personal identity election".
Most countries always see that the personal prestige of the ** in power is high, and the ruling party has strong control in the parliament, but Russia can always give you unexpected answers.
Well, don't panic!This is not the first time Putin has run as an "independent candidate". Over the past 20 years, with the exception of 2012, when he was nominated as a candidate for the "United Russia" party, he ran as an "independent candidate" in the other four ** elections.
This also means that Putin's rejection of the ruling party's candidacy and his choice to run as an "independent candidate" is not something that is unique to this time, but his consistent style in the past 20 years.
Well, let's go back to the 2024 elections. Although Putin's "electoral future" is very bleak by some people, this time the situation is completely different from the past
At the same time that Putin announced that he would "run in his personal capacity", the Just Russia Party and the ruling United Russia Party still openly expressed their "full support" for Putin!This is simply a ruthless anti-routine!
Putin directly rejected the nominations of the two major political parties, which not only did not support their own candidates, but even openly "fully supported the independent candidate Putin"!This trick is really ruthless, and it is really not easy to play Putin.
Moreover, let's not forget that in Russia, Putin's public approval rating has always been a "metaphysics" that makes the mouth of the West unable to close.
For more than 20 years, Putin's approval rating has fluctuated between 65 percent and 75 percent, and even soared to more than 80 percent after the 2014 referendum in Crimea. Such a support rate is really amazing.
Against this backdrop, Putin's choice to run as an independent candidate was actually deliberate.
First, as an independent candidate, Putin stressed that he would run on behalf of the interests of the broadest possible range of people. Rejecting to be the first candidate of any political party, he took the initiative to downplay the party label. Putin's personal approval rating is higher than that of the United Russia party, which means that in Russia, there are more people who support Putin than those who support the ruling party, and the coverage is more extensive.
Secondly, as an independent candidate, Putin can cut off from the good or bad of "party policy". Over the past two decades, with the support of United Russia and Justice Russia, Putin has ensured the smooth flow of decrees and policies. However, Russia's development has not been smooth sailing, and economic stagnation and the lack of improvement in the quality of life have also made the population feel a sense of stagnation.
By refusing to run as a party candidate, Putin has succeeded in severing associations associated with party policies, allowing some people dissatisfied with the policies of the ruling party to still be able to vote for him.
So, despite the fact that in 2024, Putin chose an unusual independent candidacy, this does not prevent him from being elected in Russia. Russian voters, especially those with deep personal trust in Putin, will still cast their ballots in favor of the political magnate.
In this year's session when Putin answered questions from reporters around the world, a reporter asked, "What do you most want to say to yourself 20 years ago?"”
Putin's answer was: "Tell yourself twenty years ago that you should not be naïve to think that Russia and the West can merge into one."
Therefore, after 2024, Russia's ** candidate is certain, and the hostility with the West is also certain!