First of all, to clarify, this article aims to delve into the deep-seated reasons for the continuation of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, and explicitly does not support any form of terrorist attacks and indiscriminate killing of innocent civilians. In fact, the reason why the Palestinian-Israeli conflict seems to be "unstoppable" is not simply due to the "land" and "state-building rights" issues emphasized on the field. In the objective analysis, there are three major contradictions and a profound "refueling package", that is, the "three contradictions" of history, land, and the right to exist, and the development of the "Shiite arc", which has geopolitical effects.
First, the "land dispute" is only one aspect of the complexity of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, or it is only a superficial phenomenon. Whenever the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is discussed, especially in the wake of the recent Israeli-Kazakh war, the focus on the root causes of the conflict seems to be focused on the "land" and the "two-state solution." It seems that by solving these two problems, peace can be ushered in. However, this view ignores the question of "causality", that is, why did five Middle East wars and many Palestinian-Israeli conflicts break out when similar "schemes" existed as early as 70 years ago?To put it simply, is it true that when Israel withdraws from the occupied Palestinian land, Palestine will be able to establish a state and peace will come?If it's so simple, why hasn't the problem been solved?After all, Palestine has had many opportunities for statehood, such as Resolution 181 adopted by the United Nations in 1947. However, why did Israel not establish a state before it occupied the Palestinian "territories", and why did the Oslo Accords signed in 1993 not be implemented?During this period, the "Palestinian land" was divided between Egypt, Jordan and Palestine. Why hasn't the country been founded in these 19 years?The complexity of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is far from as simple as it seems.
Second, the interweaving of "right to exist" and "historical grievances" makes it difficult to end the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. The land of Palestine was once in Arab hands, but it was not stated. The land issue is only a "façade", and the two sides do not recognize each other's "right to exist", that is, the Arabs do not accept the Jews to establish a state in this land, and Israel counterattacks by compressing the "living space" of the Palestinians. At best, the land issue is only a "beginning", and the real problem lies in the denial of the "right to subsistence" of the other by both sides. The reluctance of the Arabs to allow the Jews to establish a state in this land is closely related to the historical grievances between the two. Israel, for its part, adheres to the belief of "living on its own soil", creating a vicious circle. If peace is to be achieved in Palestine and the Middle East, a consensus must be reached on "recognizing each other's right to exist." Otherwise, even if the land issue is resolved, conflict will be inevitable. Because as long as there is instigation, there is still a possibility that war will break out again.
Third, the reason why the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is difficult to end is due to the extension of the "Shiite arc", which is a "refueling package" for the conflict. With Egypt and Jordan withdrawing from the anti-Israeli struggle, Iran has become the main force in the anti-Israeli movement. Iran is rapidly developing in the Middle East through the dominant "Shiite arc". Whether it's Allah in Lebanon, Hamas in Palestine, or the Houthis in Yemen, they are at the behest of Iran with the common goal of driving Israel out of the Middle East. However, Israel is not an easy target to be driven out, so conflict is inevitable. The Israeli-Palestinian conflict encompasses all aspects of geopolitical competition. The United States dispatched two aircraft carrier battle groups immediately after the outbreak of the Kazakh-Israeli conflict, indicating that there is a game at the international level in the Middle East. Although the Kazakh-Israeli conflict is unlikely to escalate into a major war in the Middle East at this stage, even after the ceasefire, it can only be a short-term "lull". Because in addition to the unresolved "three major contradictions", geopolitical fueling is also at work. The Middle East has always been an arena for international games, and it is impossible for strategic chips to be "idle."
Overall, the current Palestinian-Israeli conflict is unlikely to escalate into a major war in the Middle East, but even after a ceasefire, it will still be a temporary "lull". Because in addition to the unresolved "three major contradictions", geopolitical fueling is also at work. The Middle East has always been an arena for international games, and it is impossible for strategic chips to be "idle."