Recently, the Philippines' provocative actions in the South China Sea region have triggered an escalation of the situation in the South China Sea. In the early hours of December 10, the Philippine Coast Guard attempted to force its way into the waters of Second Thomas Shoal, sending a four-boat supply convoy. This provocation is of a vile nature, and what is particularly concerning is that the Philippine Commission has openly stated that it will send 40 supply ships organized by "civil society spontaneously", adopting the despicable means of shielding civilians.
The Philippines' provocation is not an isolated incident, and countries outside the region have followed suit, hyping up the South China Sea issue and trying to intervene and muddy the waters of the South China Sea. This group of extraterritorial countries includes the United States, the United Kingdom, Australia, France, Japan, etc. These countries have tried to create a stepping stone on the South China Sea issue through various means, such as joint maritime exercises and public statements, to provide a pretext for them to create chaos in Southeast Asia. The Philippines has been in constant contact with these extra-regional countries prior to the provocation, planning a long-planned operation. Since the end of October, the United States has been hyping up the South China Sea issue, and even called for triggering the so-called "red line" of the US-Philippines mutual defense treaty.
On November 25, the Philippines and Australia conducted the first round of joint maritime exercises in the South China Sea. After Japanese Prime Minister Kishida's visit to Manila, he announced that Japan and the Philippines are preparing to sign a "reciprocal access agreement" in the military field. France has also stated that it plans to send ** to the South China Sea in the future to conduct joint patrol missions with the Philippines.
The Philippines' actions have been supported by foreign forces, especially members of the "QUAD" groups such as the United States, India, Australia and Japan. This also makes it possible for the Philippines to become a "fifth party" in addition to the "Quad" and join this strategic alliance. However, in reality, the expectations of these countries may be disappointed.
The Philippines' provocative actions were hatched after ventilating with the United States, Japan, Australia, France and other countries, with the intention of creating opportunities for foreign forces to intervene in the South China Sea. Immediately after that, the United States and the United Kingdom jumped out and tried to label China as undue by making irresponsible remarks about China through the completely illegal "South China Sea Arbitration Case".
Japan followed suit, announcing that Marcos Jr. would travel to Tokyo this Friday to participate in the commemoration of the 50th anniversary of ASEAN-Japan exchanges, and take the opportunity to discuss the South China Sea issue with ASEAN. The EU has also expressed concern about China's alleged "provocative and dangerous behavior" against Philippine vessels in the South China Sea.
This series of actions shows that some countries have taken an increasingly aggressive stance on the South China Sea issue and are trying to join the list of makers of South China Sea affairs. But on the practical side, these countries may be disappointed in the face of China's counterattack.
At present, China has formed a consensus on cooperation with ASEAN countries through a round of diplomatic mediation, and upgraded diplomatic relations with Vietnam. China's assertive assertiveness and countermeasures have made it difficult for some countries to do so in the South China Sea.
The Philippines' move is actually charcoal roasted on a fire, and countries that hope to brush up their presence in the South China Sea will not really lend a helping hand while gaining popularity. For example, despite the constant references to the U.S.-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty, the U.S. did not really intervene when the Chinese Coast Guard ship took action against a provocative Philippine vessel, and the "mutual defense" was just empty talk.
At present, China has completed a round of shuttle diplomacy and formed a consensus on peace among the countries in the South China Sea. If the Philippines continues to encourage countries outside the region and destabilize the situation in the South China Sea, it may face the possibility of China teaching a harsh lesson. China's diplomatic strategy and consensus on cooperation with countries in the region have provided strong support for maintaining peace in the South China Sea.