A few days ago, the country's leaders visited Vietnam, and in the past few months, the United States ** Biden also visited Vietnam, and the two major powers of the United States and China have visited Vietnam, making this small Southeast Asian country suddenly important.
The purpose of the US visit to Vietnam is naturally to counter China, but what is the purpose of China's visit to Vietnam?Is it also to win over Vietnam?
If we interpret it this way, we will underestimate the strategic vision of the country.
On the surface, of course, China certainly has its own agendas.
First of all, distant relatives are not as good as close neighbors, and they can occasionally make trouble, but in general, it is necessary to have a good relationship. In particular, Vietnam is one of the few socialist countries, and the two sides need to support each other and follow the socialist road. The party congress is about to be re-elected, and if you don't go now, when will you wait?
Second, the first priority of China's diplomacy at present is to manage a peaceful, harmonious and stable diplomatic environment in the neighborhood. What to do?I'm afraid I have to press the *** sentence, "make more friends and less enemies". Some countries will not be able to turn the corner for a while and give time and space, but the vast majority of countries will try their best to maintain friendly relations and achieve win-win cooperation. In particular, through the meeting between the high-level leaders of the two countries, we can calmly discuss and set the direction on issues of common concern, such as how to manage the situation in the South China Sea, how to develop bilateral economic and trade relations, and how to enhance mutual trust, so as to send a positive signal of China-Vietnam friendship to the outside world, which is not only very good for the people of the two countries and neighboring countries, but also for the Asia-Pacific region and the world.
Isn't there always someone who instigates that China is showing strength at sea, let them see, isn't that what is going on!In addition, China has repeatedly stressed the need to follow the path of peaceful development, and the international community is also looking at it, and this path is not a matter of words, but a step by step approach, and the realization of peaceful and friendly coexistence with our neighbors is the best declaration that this path can be followed.
In addition, Vietnam's defense of the South China Sea is crucial for China. Vietnam has a long coastline with many natural harbors suitable for large ** moorings, which can consolidate China's sovereignty oath in the South China Sea. In addition, Vietnam has become the most convenient route for China to ASEAN countries, the Middle East and Africa, avoiding the uncontrollable risks posed by the Strait of Malacca. Therefore, the proposal to build the China-Vietnam railway and improve the railway information system in Vietnam is particularly important.
But China's good relations with Vietnam are not just aimed at Vietnam.
China will support Vietnam's development in all aspects, complete Vietnam's industrialization, and then make the whole of Southeast Asia China's backyard, and the railway network and power grid of the Indochina Peninsula will connect China and become a part of China's railway network and energy network.
New Malaysia and Thailand, which have the highest level of economic development, have opened visas to China, and in the future, the entire Southeast Asia will open visas to China, personnel exchanges between China and Southeast Asian countries will greatly increase, the number of people living and working in Southeast Asia will gradually increase, Chinese people enjoy the dividends of national development, there are more life choices, and the era of overseas life belonging to Chinese has arrived.
China's domestic industrial overcapacity, de-capacity, and the transfer of capacity to foreign countries is the general trend in the future. The best destination for relocation is Southeast Asia, so promoting Vietnam's industrialization and allowing Vietnam to compete with India is the best outcome.
Due to population and area limitations, Vietnam's future is similar to that of Japan and South Korea, and no matter how it develops, Vietnam will only be China's industrial supporting country, and it is impossible to pose an industrial challenge to China.
On the other hand, India, with a larger population than China, with an average annual birth of four times that of China, and a much younger population than China, has great potential for future development, which is destined to challenge China, and the rise of Vietnam is more conducive to the long-term development of China's economy.
With the industrialization of the whole Southeast Asia, Southeast Asian countries will support China's industry, forming a relationship similar to Western Europe and Eastern Europe, the leader of which is Vietnam, similar to Poland in Eastern Europe, Malaysia, Vietnam is the most likely country in the future of the developed country club.
In the next few years, more and more Southeast Asian countries will list Chinese as a compulsory subject in primary and secondary schools, and more and more Southeast Asian people will speak Chinese, and Chinese will become the common language of Southeast Asia, which will greatly facilitate communication between countries and will also facilitate Chinese people to travel, whether it is to live and work, or to invest or do business.
China's culture and lifestyle are increasingly accepted abroad, and Southeast Asia is the first stop and a template for checking in. If Chinese want to live a good life, they not only need to upgrade their industries and sell their products, but also need to export culture, industry and investment.
Japan and South Korea's industries are squeezed by China, and will eventually lose their competitiveness, coupled with the serious aging of the population, the economy will fall into a long-term recession, and eventually a comprehensive decline, fifteen years later, Malaysia's economic development level will be higher than that of Japan and South Korea.
According to Goldman Sachs' analysis, in 2050, Indonesia will become the world's fourth-ranked country, while Japan will retreat from the current third to the 12th, and as for South Korea, his presence cannot be found on the economic map.
In a word, the great era of Southeast Asia has arrived.