Even in blue-green oppositesTaiwanOn the political stage, the election campaign on the island is still hot. In 2019TaiwanThe election of regional leaders has attracted much attention, and Chinese professor Zhu Zhiqun**Lai QingdeDefinitely elected. Lai QingdeThe term of office will determine the long-term governing landscape of ***. IfLai QingdeTo win, Chinese mainland and the United States must be prepared to be in power for a long time. Zhu Zhiqun believes that his strong international propaganda ability and clear sense of the bottom line are his difficult opponents, and so is the support of young people on the islandLai QingdeAn important factor in being elected.
AsTaiwanThe ruling party has always had strong international propaganda capabilities, catering to the policies and discourse of the United States and the West, and has received widespread support. This allows *** to speak out better and rally support on the international stage. At the same time, ** is also very clear about the mainland's bottom line, and tries to avoid touching the red line that can be used to use force. AlthoughLai Qingdeand other *** people from time to time to release some provocative remarks, but they also have a very pragmatic side and will not easily cross the bottom line of the mainland. Lai QingdeIndicates that it will continueTsai Ing-wenand will not become a "troublemaker". This cautious policy of implementation has made it possible to be able toto maintain stability and avoid the possibility of war.
** With its excellent international advocacy ability, it has won wide support in the international arena. They are adept at using rhetoric and policy interpretation to meet the expectations and interests of the United States and Western countries, and have won the recognition and support of these countries. By skillfully packaging their image and messaging, they can create a strong image at the international level and give their voice more weight in the international community. That's for themTaiwanOn the political stage, a "new."Taiwanimage", also increasedTsai Ing-wen** policyExecution
At the same time, he also very shrewdly grasps the bottom line of the mainland and tries to avoid touching the red line of the mainland. They have shown a certain degree of steadiness in the course of their administration and will not easily provoke the mainland, so as not to trigger cross-strait conflicts. AlthoughLai Qingdeand others often make some provocative remarks, but they also understand that an overly radical approach will givePoses a greater risk. As a result, they will somewhat converge their expressions in order to maintainThe steady development of the .
Professor Zhu Zhiqun, a Chinese American professor, believes that young people on the island will play a key role in next year's election. After decades of policy and education in Chinese mainlandTaiwanYoung people have developed a tendency towards "natural independence", and they are more inclined to do soGreen Campor White Camp. Although more and more people are disappointed with ***, they are not turning to supportKuomintangKuomintangIt is regarded as a foreign political party, with the word "China", giving people a sense of "original sin", and is back in powerTaiwanFaced with great difficulty. It is precisely because of the lack of support from young people,KuomintangDifficult to beat***
There's no denying it,TaiwanThere has been a great change in young people's attitudes and perceptions towards politics. With the influence of policies and education in Chinese mainland, they gradually formed a tendency towards both green and white. Young people consider themselves to be the generation that has been ** since childhood, and they are more inclined to pursue the path of "independence" than to maintain close ties with the mainland. This has also led to young people being interested inKuomintangof distrust and unsupport, thinkKuomintangIt represents the "power of the mainland" and is contrary to its own ideas.
However, this dissatisfaction with *** does not automatically turn to the rightKuomintangsupport. KuomintangInTaiwanIt has been in power for many years in history, but in recent years it has lost control over the hearts and minds of the people. They are considered obsolete parties and are no longer able to be representedTaiwanThe interests and expectations of young people. At the same time,KuomintangThe image is also deeply affected".Ninety-two Consensus"And".One country, two systemsIt is impossible to effectively respond to young people's demands for "** consciousness." Therefore,KuomintangSupport among young people is relatively low.
Chinese professor Zhu Zhiqun thinksLai QingdeElection will have a range of implications. First of all, he will continue to maintainTsai Ing-wenThe route will not goThe road of "making trouble" makes itRelatively stable. Second, a long-term stay in power will mean that the mainland needs to have long-term contacts with it to deal with Taiwan affairs. And if the mainland and *** are unable to establish the necessary exchanges and communication,It's bound to go further and further.
Lai QingdeIf elected, he will continue to do soTsai Ing-wenThe line of governance, promotedTaiwanTowards a more "independent" direction. During his election campaign, he said he wanted to win more support on the international stage and continue to strengthen itTaiwanRelations with external countries. This stance may arouse opposition and concern from the mainland, but it will try to avoid going to the brink of a cross-strait war. They understand that only by maintaining relative peace with the mainland can they better consolidate their position.
However, the mainland should be aware of the situation with *** long-term ruleNew challenges will be faced. The mainland needs to be prepared for continuous communication with the mainland so that it can actively respond to all possible situations. Only by maintaining relatively close interaction with the two sides of the strait can we better reduce the probability of large-scale cross-strait conflicts. At the same time, while sticking to its principles, the mainland should also have a certain degree of flexibility in order to better handle the situationTaiwanrelationship issues.
ExpectedLai QingdeIf elected, ** will continue to pushTaiwanTowards a more "independent" direction. This will be rightBringing new challenges, the mainland needs to be prepared for long-term exchanges and communication with China. While sticking to its principles, the mainland should also have a certain degree of flexibility so that it can handle the matter better。And for the mainland, inThe dominance and initiative of reunification are entirely in the hands of the mainland, and perhaps the mainland will not adopt the method of reunification by force in the short term, but it can be restrictedTaiwaninternational space and economic development to make it in a difficult situation, and finally realize the reunification of the two sides of the strait.