The Russia-Ukraine conflict has entered its 667th day, during which a series of shocking events have occurred. However, the conflict has also revealed some thought-provoking truths. First, Western countries overestimate their own strength in the conflict. Secondly, gas cooperation between Russia and Germany has not been interrupted by the conflict. Finally, there is currently no clear winner in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and all parties have failed to achieve their goals on the battlefield. While delving into these three points, we also need to think about the deeper issues behind the conflict.
Ukraine has been counting on Western support and military assistance, but reality has proven that Western countries have overestimated their strength and determination. Ukrainian Defense Minister Zaluzhny noted that the Russia-Ukraine conflict has evolved into a war of attrition and could push Ukraine to collapse in a few years. In fact, UkrainianEconomyIt has come to a standstill and is in dire need of financial assistance from the West to keep the country running. However, with the Ukrainian army planning to recruit 500,000 recruits, the country will face greater employment pressure, further hampering development. The war of attrition between the two sides has only exacerbated Ukraine's predicament, and the West has still not shown enough determination to support it.
Despite the escalating conflict between Russia and Ukraine, gas cooperation between Russia and Germany has not been interrupted by this. On the one hand, Russia will not take the initiative to cut off natural gas**, because it is a stable oneEconomyRevenue**. Ukraine, on the other hand, wants to generate billions of dollars in revenue through gas transit fees to maintain domestic stability. And for Germany, due to the lack of its own gas **, cooperation with Russia is essential to ensure the domestic securityEnergy**Crucial. Therefore, Ukraine did not dare to undermineGas pipelines, and Russian-German gas cooperation will continue.
After almost two years of conflict, neither Ukraine nor Russia has been able to achieve their goals on the battlefield. Ukraine intended to regain the Donbas region, but Russia quickly intervened and lost territory. And Russia, despite some gains in the Donbas region, has not been able to fully control the region and has not achieved its stated military goals. European UnionSanctions against Russia against itEconomycaused a certain impact, but did not achieve the expected effect. Russia has been able to make up for lost market share in Europe through cooperation with Asian and emerging market countries. WhileEuropean UnionIn the passive support of UkraineSanctions against RussiaAt the same time, it is also limited by Russia's ability to intervene, which has an impact on its so-called "values". Finally, the United States is inThe conflict in UkraineAid will not be able to bring Ukraine to victory, and Biden will also be affected domestically in the face of next year. Therefore, the best option for Ukraine may be a ceasefire and negotiations to achieve a peaceful settlement.
The conflict in UkraineIt's been going on for a long time, but there is no clear winner at the moment. Western countries overestimated their own strength and failed to give Ukraine enough support. Gas cooperation between Russia and Germany continues, and Ukraine does not dare to spoil gas **. There has been no clear progress in the conflict as a whole, and neither side has been able to achieve its goals. ForEuropean UnionAnd the United States,The conflict in UkraineIt's just a war of attrition, for which it is impossible to intensify the blow to Russia. Therefore, Ukraine may need to seek a peaceful solution to avoid further destruction and losses.