Garlic, you are ruthless" This year I went crazy again.
Not only the domestic market, but also the European market has soared.
In the European market, Chinese garlic has been sold for more than a dozen yuan a catty, and it continues.
There are two main reasons why "garlic you are ruthless" is crazy again:
First, garlic in the domestic market has appeared significantly this year, driving the rise of exports.
Although the price of many vegetable basket items has been reduced this year, the price of garlic has quietly increased.
Since April this year, the national garlic has been rising, and in the second half of the year, it has risen to a high level in the same period in history.
According to data from the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural AffairsIn October, the average wholesale price of garlic in the country was 1048 yuan kg, a year-on-year increase of 557%。The reason why garlic has risen sharplyMainly, there has been a large decline in **.
Because of last year's bumper garlic harvest, ** increased, ** fell, resulting in a significant decline in the planting willingness of many growers, and the planting area alone decreased by 15%.
Add to that last winter and the beginning of spring this yearTemperatures fluctuate greatly, affecting garlic yields.
So after garlic went on the market this year, ** began to climb steadily.
In recent years, China's garlic exports have exceeded 1.5 million tons, and more than 140 countries and regions have been exported, including Southeast Asia, the European Union, the Middle East, and the Americas. And because of the high quality, it is quite popular in the international market.
However, with the domestic garlic **,Export costs are also increasing, which has also pushed up the market of Chinese garlic in the European market.
Second, the Red Sea route was blocked, and major cargo ships detoured one after another, which also increased costs. The Red Sea Route is an important shipping route connecting Europe, Asia and Africa. Since the blockage of the Red Sea route, the world has once again become a messEurope is one of the most affected regions.
Many merchant ships had to choose to take a detourNot only are the distances longer, but the time is also increasing, so the logistics costs are also higher.
Follow-up,It is unlikely that garlic will drop in price in the short term.
On the one hand, garlic has a cycle of garlic.
As a niche condiment, onions, ginger and garlic will stage a round of ups and downs every three or five years, and it is obvious that this round of upward cycle is not over.
Although domestic demand this year is less than expected, consumption is generally weaker, but due to the decrease in **, thereforeDomestic garlic will still be a tight supply and demand pattern, and the probability will remain high.
On the other hand, affected by the war,The likelihood of the resumption of the Red Sea route in the short term is extremely lowAt present, it is the New Year, which is the time when international demand is growing intensively, so the pressure on shipping is greater, and the freight rate fluctuates more violently.
In fact, not only Chinese garlic *** Indian garlic is also very obvious. Due to El Niño, the main garlic and onion producing areas in India received only 55% and 57% of the average rainfall in previous years, so garlic production declined, resulting in a significant decrease.
Especially in the Northeast region of India,Garlic** has risen to Rs 400 per kilogram, compared to Rs 40 a year ago.
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