Global Storm International relations in chaos

Mondo International Updated on 2024-01-31

The turmoil in the Middle East continues, with strange phenomena and madness emerging over time. On the evening of December 24, local time, the Israeli army carried out an airstrike on the Maigazi refugee camp in central Gaza, killing at least 70 civilians. This was followed by an Israeli airstrike on the Syrian capital, Damascus, on December 25, in which Mousavi, a senior adviser to Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in Syria, was killed. Subsequently, Iran's state-run television confirmed that Mousavi was the commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and a comrade-in-arms of the late former commander of Iran's Quds Force, Soleimani. In addition to military operations, Israel is constantly whitewashing itself on **. Recently, a rumor about "China's refusal to rescue an Israeli cargo ship in the Red Sea" has been widely spread abroad in an attempt to smear China's image. Previously, the Israeli Embassy in China also frantically hyped the so-called "Chinese-Israeli mixed-race girls"** also to create the false impression that China "will not rescue" the hostages. Israel is the most militarily powerful country in the Middle East, and since its independence, Israel has maintained a dominant position over neighboring Arab countries for most of the time.

At the same time, Israel is also going its own way in the United States and other Western countries, installing Jews, influencing the foreign policy of these countries, and grasping the dominance of the world. In general, the country, which has created countless civilians for decades, is trying to purify its image on a global scale. However, although Israel can play left and right on the field, he cannot change the actual situation in the region through a war of words. The Israeli bombing of Iran's top IRGC adviser could have cost him enormously, and Iran's chief declared afterwards that Iran's retaliation against Israel had entered the countdown. Iran seeks retaliation against Israel, with two main military means. First, they could launch a military strike directly against Israel, albeit unlikely. Mr. Trump ordered a drone strike that killed Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commander Soleimani, but Iran did not retaliate on a large scale. The reason is that there is a huge gap between Iran and Israel in terms of military strength, and it has been under US sanctions for a long time, and the overall national strength is difficult to support a large-scale war. Therefore, even if there is an assassination similar to Mousavi this time, Iran is unlikely to retaliate violently.

Second, Iran can also retaliate by creating trouble for Israel and the United States. Although this approach may not sound as drastic as a direct military strike against Israel, it can be equally retaliatory. To give a simple example, several of Israel's current troubleshooting armed groups, such as Allah in Lebanon, Hamas, and the Houthis, are mainly supported by Iran. Just as the United States is good at using ** people in warfare, Iran is also capable of doing it. This Israeli action against the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) will bring even greater chaos to the Middle East. Iran is unlikely to launch a direct military strike against Israel, but it will step up its support for the Houthis and Hamas. Recently, the Houthis have continued to launch attacks on merchant ships in the Red Sea, which has caused a lot of trouble to the United States. Mousavi's death will undoubtedly anger Iran, which also means that it will be difficult for the Houthis to reach a rapprochement with Western countries in the short term. For Israel, this is not a big deal, after all, they have been fighting against the Islamic world for many years. However, it should be noted that this is not necessarily in the interests of the United States.

The United States faces the serious challenge of Houthi attacks on the Red Sea trade routes, and to effectively respond to this threat, the United States may need to take more drastic action, including a ground invasion to eliminate the Houthis completely. However, with the United States currently struggling to withstand the pressure of a large-scale ground war, Israel's actions could exacerbate the Houthis' hostility towards the United States and Israel and make the United States even more awkward. In addition, before the outbreak of a new round of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the United States was actively promoting the establishment of diplomatic relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel. If the two countries can normalize relations, the United States will not only prove that it is still a key mediator in the Middle East, but will also be able to maintain relative stability in the region and have more energy to turn to the Western Pacific to meet the Chinese challenge and have more room to deal with Russia. However, the prospects for a Saudi-Israeli rapprochement are uncertain at the moment, and the hatred between Israel and the Islamic world will grow deeper whenever this conflict ends. The United States wants to devote its main energy to dealing with China, but it is trapped in the Middle East and cannot devote itself to it. The United States does not want to see the Middle East descend into chaos, because it will distract it.

As can be seen from this question, Israel and the United States have not always been able to form a consistent strategy, and there are differences between the two. The Middle East, rich in resources, is plagued by strife and has not been able to achieve true peace since the founding of Israel. From China's facilitation of the resumption of diplomatic relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran to Hamas's attack on Israel, the relative peace period of the past six months has been highly appreciated by the international community. It turns out that the contradictions in the Middle East are not irreconcilable, but to resolve them, it is first necessary to solve the problem of US intervention. Over the past few decades, the Middle East region has been plagued by conflicts and tensions. These contradictions involve many aspects such as religion, politics, territory and resources, and have brought great suffering and distress to the local people. However, these contradictions are not irreconcilable. In fact, the Middle East region is rich in history and cultural traditions, offering the possibility for different religions and ethnic groups to coexist and prosper. Many people hope that a peaceful solution to the conflict can be found in order to build a stable and prosperous region. However, US interference has cast a shadow over this process. The United States has long pursued its own interests and political agendas in the Middle East, supporting some countries, confronting others, and even intervening militarily.

Such interference not only exacerbates the contradictions within the region, but also makes it difficult for all parties to cooperate in good faith and find ways to solve problems. Therefore, in order to resolve the contradictions in the Middle East, it is first necessary to exclude the interference of external forces. Only when the countries and peoples on the ground are able to negotiate and resolve issues on their own initiative can a situation of peace and stability be truly achieved. At the same time, the international community should respect the sovereignty and independence of the countries in the Middle East and provide them with impartial support and assistance, instead of interfering in their internal affairs. Only in this way can the Middle East region move towards a peaceful and prosperous future.

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