After the release of the latest poll data, the situation in the election of the leader of the Taiwan region has once again appeared in suspense, and the support of the originally leading "Lai Xiaopei" combination and the Kuomintang "Hou Kangpei" combination has reached a tie, both of which are 31%. Compared with the poll at the end of last month, the support of "Hou Kangpei" has increased by 2%, while the support of "Lai Xiaopei" and the People's Party's "Ke Yingpei" has remained unchanged.
Similarly, in the "legislator" election, the KMT still maintained its leading position. According to the poll results, 31% of respondents said they would vote for the KMT's non-district "legislator" candidate, while *** received 26% support and only 9% for the People's Party. In addition, 29% of respondents said they would vote for the KMT's regional "legislator" candidate, while *** received 23% support, and the People's Party only supported 9%.
As for the remaining third, respondents said that they had not yet made a decision.
It is really surprising that the support of the "Hou Kangpei" combination can tie with "Lai Xiaopei". On the one hand, ** obviously occupies the advantage of administrative and ** resources in the election campaign, but on the other hand, Hou Youyi's lack of rhetoric has always been a shortcoming of his campaign. It wasn't until Zhao Shaokang joined that this problem changed.
Of course, the reason for the rise in the polls of "Hou Kangpei" is not only this, there are several other factors worth noting.
In recent days, Ma Ying.
9. Hong Xiuzhu and other important figures of the Kuomintang came forward to criticize the hypocrisy and shamelessness of the Kuomintang and strengthened the momentum of "Hou Kangpei" and attracted a part of the middle votes.
In addition, the majority of Taiwanese voters are very worried about "going to war". Therefore, in terms of choice, some people are more inclined to support the Kuomintang, which advocates dialogue with the mainland and ensures peace in the Taiwan Strait, or the People's Party, which focuses on young voters. Their reluctance to support the fact that they keep shouting for cross-strait dialogue, but constantly denying the "92 Consensus," can be seen from the latest poll data.
According to the poll data released by the "United Daily News", among the age group between 40 and 59 years old, "Hou Kangpei" is 8 percentage points ahead of "Lai Xiaopei" with 38% support.
Among voters under the age of 40, the People's Party holds a whopping 43% of the vote. Compared to last month's poll, "Hou Kangpei" is becoming increasingly popular among younger voters.
It should be noted that the groups in which the Kuomintang and the People's Party have an advantage in age are all groups that are eligible for military service and go to the battlefield. This shows that the "*** policy" has made many people, especially those who meet the age of military service, feel the crisis of war, so they are more willing to vote for political parties that are relatively moderate in cross-strait policy. Recently, there is a news that has attracted much attention, and the Ministry of Commerce issued an announcement saying that the Taiwan region has constituted a barrier to the mainland.
The Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council also expressed support for relevant departments to investigate Taiwan's ** barriers and consider taking corresponding measures in accordance with relevant regulations. Some Taiwan** believe that the mainland's identification of barriers to Taiwan means that the Cross-Strait Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA) may be terminated. Whether or not the election of political parties can be achieved in this election will be the key to the mainland's decision on whether to terminate the ECFA. It may contain the meaning of smearing the mainland's interference in Taiwan's elections, but it is undeniable that the conclusions of the mainland's ** barrier investigation did have an impact on Taiwanese voters. They are worried that *** will continue to push "*** will lead *** to a difficult situation and harm their own interests."
Therefore, they chose to support the Kuomintang (KMT), which adhered to the "92 Consensus," or the People's Party, which had a flexible stance. However, polls can only be used as a reference and cannot determine the election results, especially at present, *** and the KMT are evenly matched, and who wins and who loses cannot be accurate**. In addition, one of the factors that may play an important role at the moment is Hon Hai founder Terry Gou. He has not appeared in public since the KMT's primary election, if he can put aside his personal grievances and announce his support for "Hou Kangpei", the KMT's polls may be able to surpass *** As for the mainland's attitude, it may not be time to make a move, we can wait and see.