The situation in Ukraine is becoming increasingly tense, peace talks seem to have become a secondary issue, war has become the main topic, the conflict has entered a new phase, and the climax is coming: the recent drastic ** in Kyiv is a clear signal!
In addition, the direction of the war between Russia and Ukraine is actually basically clear!
On December 13, Xinhuanet reported: About 50 people were injured in a large-scale airstrike on Kyiv, the capital of Ukraine.
1. Zelensky has no new ideas, the speaker of the US House of Representatives has set a trap, but Biden does not take the bait: Ukraine's visit to the United States may be difficult to achieve its goals On December 12, local time, on this day, Ukraine's important test officially began: Zelensky met with the leaders of both parties in the US Congress and was personally received by Biden - and held a joint press conference with Biden at the White House.
So, will Zelensky be able to complete the task of this visit to the United States?
At the moment, of course, there are some gains, but probably more bitterness.
In other words, the crisis of collapse at the front is largely resolved, but the future prospects remain uncertain.
Reuters reported: When Biden met with Zelensky at the White House on the 12th, he said that he had signed an order to provide $200 million in new aid to Kyiv.
Ukraine's visit to the United States is likely to be difficult to complete the set tasks: US military aid to Ukraine may be delayed and greatly reduced in the future Some people think so: Many years later, Zelensky, who was elected, will recall the afternoon when he was still a comedian - that afternoon, he laughed at the delivery process of begging the United States in a comedy show, and the last 1% of the progress bar will never be finished. The history of Ukraine is a repeating machine.
So, is there any truth to this view?
It can be said that according to the current situation, Biden's aid to Ukraine bill may be delayed or even significantly reduced - this means that US military aid to Ukraine may inevitably be delayed and curtailed, resulting in a more difficult situation for Ukraine by 2024!
The fundamental differences and political games between the two parties in the United States are the main reasons for this.
The dispute between the two parties in the United States is not all a conflict of interests.
Zelensky has no new ideas, I am afraid that he will lose his chips On December 12, local time, after Zelensky met with important people in the US Congress, he wrote on the social platform X: "I briefed Speaker Johnson on Ukraine's achievements, including liberating half of the land occupied by Russia since 2022, winning the battle for the Black Sea, and reforming the country so that it can become self-reliant in the future." ”
Obviously, what he did not mention is this: since January 1, 2023, the front line has hardly changed, and even now Russia has basically recaptured the territory lost during the previous period in Ukraine.
Worse, this may make it clear to Americans that the achievements that Zelensky said are largely due to the commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian army, Zaluzhny. And not Syrsky, who was appointed by Zelensky as the commander-in-chief, and Zelensky himself.
In addition, it is worth mentioning that Zelensky, in introducing the meeting with the leaders of the Democrats and Democrats in the House of Representatives, in addition to the clichéd words, made a special point of emphasizing: "We discussed the primary military needs of Ukraine throughout the winter, as well as the joint ** production of Ukraine with the United States. ”
It can be said that Zelensky may be pinning his hopes mainly on the Democratic Party. This is a subtle signal. Because, will the Democrats, led by Biden, really win the election next year?That's already a big question mark. The direction of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict and the Russia-Ukraine conflict may become a key factor in crushing Biden!
And, according to the New York Times, U.S. Senator Schmidt said on social media: "We discussed Ukraine and its borders with Zelensky, but Joe Biden – the U.S. was completely not involved in the discussion of our borders." Democrats are not interested in the security of our borders. It's infuriating. ”
Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives Johnson sets a trap At the same time, on December 12, local time, Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives Johnson made a heavyweight statement on the situation in Ukraine after meeting with Zelensky and Biden:
We need to develop a clear strategy that will allow Ukraine to emerge victorious, but so far we have not had sufficient answers. From the first day I was Speaker, they didn't provide us with the clarity and detail that we had been asking for.
Biden seems to want billions of dollars, but there are no specifics, no clear strategy for winning, and no answers that I think the American people deserve.
I made it clear from the outset that our top priority when considering any additional *** options is our own *** border now is an absolute disaster, and the current Biden ** policy is responsible for this. Last week, we recorded 12,000 illegal border crossings in just one day. ”
Some people believe that Johnson is laying a trap for Biden on behalf of the Republicans!
The reason is simple, he means - "If you can come up with a solid winning strategy, instead of the previous Azov plan in June, I can agree to pass the aid bill." But you guys weren't good enough.
In that case, why stubbornly continue the war, without thinking about a timely and peaceful withdrawal and facing up to the *** of the United States?Wouldn't it be more cost-effective to spend this money on solving the border crisis than to waste it?
Do we have to wait until the situation finally spirals out of control and repeats the mistakes of the wars in Vietnam and Afghanistan?You must understand: there are more important things in the United States today than the resolution of the conflict in Ukraine, and you must recognize this!
It can be said that Johnson, Speaker of the US House of Representatives, will not be easy to pass. Because, if you say it too nicely or fail to fulfill your promises, next year ** will be used as a fatal mistake for a fierce attack.
At that point, Biden is likely to lose the election as a result. In this way, in addition to killing more people and possibly losing more territory, Ukraine will also face the fatal blow of the United States - and even more absolutely, Ukraine cannot blame anything, after all, you yourself promised to win, but in the end you lost, then you bravely admit your mistakes and bravely take responsibility.
As for the Americans, just as the United States hardly feels guilty for abandoning South Vietnam and Afghanistan, on the contrary, they feel that they should be grateful to the United States for giving them a highlight moment
War is brutal, and the fierce geopolitical game is also not warm!
So, will Biden take the bait?Obviously, unlikely. Because he is a seasoned politician with a wealth of political experience.
In fact, it is.
On December 12, local time, at a joint press conference with Zelensky, Biden said: "For Ukraine, we still have strong bipartisan support. There are a minority of Republicans who do not support the distribution of aid to Ukraine, but in my opinion, their position does not represent the opinion of the majority and the Republican Party. **Negotiations with MPs will continue on the allocation of new funds to meet Ukraine's needs. ”
Later, he added: "I will not make a commitment, but I hope we can achieve it." I think we can do that. ”
And, interestingly, he once again signaled to Ukraine that he was about to join NATO - "There are no obstacles to Ukraine's accession to NATO except time." ”
Obviously, no matter how nicely it sounds, it is difficult for Ukrainians today to get unequivocal promises from the American authorities.
Of course, this is not surprising, after all, the core strategy of the United States is to push Ukraine to weaken Russia, not to help Ukraine win. This is a very critical and subtle distinction. Although the two often seem to be the same thing.
But when the situation between Russia and Ukraine becomes more and more unfavorable to Ukraine, differences and contradictions are inevitable.
More importantly, Israel has now reminded the United States that it must distinguish between priorities and priorities, otherwise it will not be pleasant to be "kidnapped."
Of course, understanding is understanding, but from the Ukrainian standpoint, this does make people feel a little worried.
So, where will the situation between Russia and Ukraine go from here in the future?
2. Musk, the world's richest man, may have told the truth: the war situation is basically clear On December 13, local time, Musk, a well-known American entrepreneur and the world's richest man, said: If Kyiv does not start peace negotiations now, it will lose more regions.
It is reported that on the same day, billionaire David Sachs said on the social network X: "Ukraine has lost most of the Crimea, Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporozhye oblasts forever. Next, if Kyiv does not start peace talks now, it will lose the remaining areas of Kharkiv, Odessa, Kherson Oblast, and more....
In response, Musk wrote in response to Sachs's post: "I think your assessment is correct. ”
It is worth mentioning that as early as October last year, during Russia's withdrawal from Kherson, when many people in the outside world believed that Ukraine was winning and Russia was about to collapse, Musk made it clear that Ukraine could not win because it lacked the necessary resources to win.
Obviously, now it seems, he seems to be saying it!
Conclusion Various indications show that although Zelensky's visit to the United States has been fruitful, it is not enough to change the direction of the war.
In addition, the war is about to reach its climax, and the situation at the front may change significantly!
In short, the biggest loser is self-evident.
It is nothing more than how Ukraine loses more and loses less, how Russia and the United States fight and compromise with each other, and how the evolution of world geopolitics accelerates.