The trend in December is almost over, and this year's big A can't find a place to praise it. In 2022, it will fall sharply, and in 2023, although the Shanghai Stock Exchange will not fall much, most of them, the trend is the same as that of the GEM, and they are falling non-stop in ** and smashing the market. After 2023, is there still a chance for the big A, which has been falling for 2 years?
In recent days, I have chatted with three or two friends, talking about next year's big A, whether there is a chance. Many people feel that the follow-up risk may be high. The reason is that there is no capital at the moment, every time the funds are sold for 100 billion, and the funds for the fall are bought into 10 billion.
In my opinion, we need to look at the follow-up trend from two points. First, after 2 years, the valuation of some sectors is very low, just like new energy, medicine and other sectors, even if they do not rise sharply, there are **. This gives next year's big A an expectation of **. Second, at present, the world is **, and if the big A falls again, it will be a bit unreasonable. There is no big downside, so it gives it a signal that next year, there will be at least a wave of opportunities to eat meat.
Speaking of one news, a number of joint-stock banks followed up to reduce deposit interest rates, and the three-year period was generally lowered by 25 basis points. This is good news for Big A. If everyone's funds are deposited in the bank, the lower the interest rate, the lower the income, and the income is not as high as expected, there will be funds, and when you see the big A at a low place, you will start to run in to invest.
It happened to be the end of the year again, and the ** liquidity risk was solved. The trend of the three ** fingers, this kind of position, there is no problem with **. You must know that the current transaction is at least 700 billion, which can already raise the weight of blue chips to a height. Although the Shanghai Stock Exchange is at 2900 points, ** and **, there are funds from the counter that can come in, and there are blue-chip weight guards, I think that 2900 points are preparing for a wave of rise.
My A-share direction predicts that the rest of December will continue to be sorted out, and at the beginning of next year, January will be the main position adjustment opportunity at the end of the year. Even if the main force does not make performance in December, it will pull a wave at the end of the year to reduce losses, and it will attract more capital investment next year.
This kind of place is bullish, which point should the Shanghai Stock Exchange look at?My view is that history may repeat itself, in October last year, it was the Shanghai Composite that reached 3,418 points, and this time the expected low rose to 3,200 points. From 2900 points ** to 3200 points, it's 400 points**, which is not particularly big**, but it's also**.
It's not over yet, whether it's 2,900 points or 2,800 points, it's a historical low. If a big A falls below 2800 points, there is no big downside, and it will not fall at all. Look at 2022** so far, 2800 points have not been encountered, and last year was still a very risky moment, 2863It started at 65 o'clock, and the transaction is not good at the moment, let alone a big fall.
To put it simply, my idea is divided into three steps, one is that there is ** near 2900 points, and it will rise to at least 3200 points. The second is that the sector that has fallen sharply is almost the first point, and the main force at the end of the year will do performance, and if it does not make performance, it will be okay to pull a wave from January to February. The third is, 2800 points and 2900 points, are technical points, and there is no risk of non-stop.
Therefore,For now, it's better to continue to be bullish and wait for **. Don't look at the trend of **, it seems that the game sector is falling sharply, as if the Shanghai Stock Exchange is not moving, it is all preparing for **, really** is coming, ** is starting to realize it again.
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