According to Chinese spokesman Mao Ning, according to China's active mediation and promotion, the Myanmar military, the Kokang Allied Army, the De'ang Army and the Arakan Army have held a round of peace talks on Chinese territory. During the peace talks, the two sides reached consensus on issues such as a temporary ceasefire and the maintenance of dialogue. Although a temporary ceasefire agreement was reached, the negotiations were very short-lived, lasting only about 10 minutes. In such a short period of time, it is difficult to agree on some of the details of the ceasefire.
However, immediately after the conclusion of the peace talks, a new round of clashes broke out between the rebels and the Burmese army in various parts of northern Myanmar. Heavy fighting took place between the Arakan Army and Min Aung Hlaing in Sittwe Division, Mi Phong Township, Myau Oo Township and An Township. At the same time, there was also an exchange of fire between the De'ang army and the Burmese army in Chan State, and there were large-scale battles in Mujie, Nankan, Lashio, Kyaukmai, Guigui and Mantong.
In the battle for the stronghold of "Lai Pai Cho Saiyong" in Nansang Township, the Burmese Air Force actually used 11 sorties of Y-12 light transport planes to bomb the De'ang army by manually dropping bombs. The northern Myanmar military alliance has been the subject of criticism from many for not keeping its promises, breaking China's promises, and trying to continue fighting the Tatmadaw to gain more advantages.
However, this claim is actually problematic. This is because China has always adhered to its position of non-interference in Myanmar's internal affairs regarding the current civil war in northern Myanmar. Therefore, there is no need for either the Northern Burmese Resistance Army or the Min Aung Hlaing Army to make any commitments to the Chinese side. China's demand is simple: to eliminate the fraudulent behavior in northern Myanmar and ensure peace and stability on the China-Myanmar border. As for the content of the ceasefire agreement, China has not asked any commitment from the parties to the civil war in Myanmar.
However, I personally believe that this temporary ceasefire is only half the battle, or half the failure. Because after the end of the peace talks, there will be no large-scale exchanges of fire between the Kokang Allied forces and the Tatmadaw army in the Lao Cai area. Of course, the Tatmadaw did not evacuate Lao Cai quickly. It is clear that both sides are waiting for the next round of peace talks and preparing corresponding bargaining chips for the next peace talks.
In the Lao Cai area, the superiority of the Kokang Allied forces is undoubted, and the Burmese army does not have much advantage in this direction, so there is no need to put up much resistance. The Burmese civil war has long been a problem in Southeast Asia. And within the theater of operations of the De'ang Army and the Arakan Army, the Tatmadaw still has some opportunities. Therefore, the temporary ceasefire of the Tatmadaw can be said to be "only half stopped", and the main purpose is to continue to expand its bargaining chips in the negotiations.
If you want to better understand the process of peace talks during the Burma civil war, the best reference example is the peace talks during the War to Resist US Aggression and Aid Korea. Everyone adopted the strategy of "fighting and talking", that is, promoting the end of the war through negotiations. Basically, the first peace talks were just to show the positions and attitudes of the parties. The specific terms of the ceasefire and the bottom line of each side need to be tested through skirmishes and negotiations.
In this process, China's role is very important. China not only provides a venue and a channel for dialogue for peace talks, but can also invite them when necessary to avoid the breakdown of peace talks and the recurrence of large-scale wars.
China's efforts are expected to be seen by all parties in the Myanmar civil war. Not only does China love peace, but it also doesn't want its neighbors to be caught up in war. And, from both the land and sea lanes, Myanmar is important for securing China's overseas shipping lanes and routes, as well as for maintaining stability in Southeast Asia and the South China Sea. It is our ardent expectation for the civil war in Myanmar to cease the fighting, ensure peace and stability on the China-Myanmar border, fully understand the situation, and eradicate the wire fraud industry. I hope that all parties can work together and go all out.