The outlook for former Trump in the United States in 2024 has received a new blow. Recently, courts in Colorado and Florida ruled separately to disqualify Trump from the Republican primary in these two states on the grounds that his alleged involvement in the "Capitol Hill**" on January 6, 2021 violated the "insurrection clause" of the 14th Amendment to the US Constitution. The two states have a total of 39 electoral votes, or 7 of the national total3%。This means that Trump will not be able to get the Republican nomination in both states and will not be able to participate in the ** election. How much did this affect Trump's campaign?
Although Trump was disqualified from the primaries in Colorado and Florida, it did not shake his approval ratings within the Republican Party. According to the latest polls, Trump's approval rating in the Republican Party is as high as 60%, far ahead of other potential candidates such as Ron DeSantis, Mike Pence, Ted Cruz, etc. Trump supporters believe that he is a determined leader capable of defending American interests against the "radical" policies of the Democratic Party, such as immigration, health care, the environment, etc. Trump's supporters also don't believe his involvement in "Capitol Hill" and see it as "politics" and "fake news" for the Democrats and **. As a result, Trump still has a big advantage in the primaries in other states and is expected to win the Republican nomination.
On the other hand, the rulings in Colorado and Florida have also sparked a lot of controversy and **. Some legal experts and Republicans believe that the courts in these two states have abused their judicial powers, violated the rights of voters and violated the principles of American democracy. They point out that the "insurrection clause" of the Fourteenth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution was introduced after the Civil War to prevent Confederate personnel from returning to public office, not to punish modern politicians. They believe that whether Trump participated in the "Capitol Hill" ** and was disqualified from the primary election without being convicted by the judiciary is a "pre-conviction" practice that is not in line with the spirit of the rule of law. They also said the two states' rulings were politically motivated to weaken Trump's influence and help Biden get re-elected. They called on the Supreme Court to step in to overturn the two states' rulings and safeguard Trump's legal rights.
Finally, the rulings in Colorado and Florida also reflect the deep problems of the American political ecology. Since 2020, the United States has been plunged into an unprecedented ** and confrontation. Trump and his supporters refused to accept the election results, alleging massive fraud and fraud, launching multiple lawsuits and even triggering "Capitol Hill" Democrats and their supporters believe that Trump is a dangerous person trying to subvert American democracy, and have conducted two ** and multiple investigations against him in an attempt to prevent him from running again. The conflict and hatred between the two parties has reached a fever pitch, with little communication and cooperation. This situation not only affects the political stability and social harmony of the United States, but also weakens the international status and influence of the United States.
Trump's disqualification from the primaries in Colorado and Florida is a microcosm of the political struggle in the United States and a hidden danger to the political ecology of the United States. The incident had some impact on Trump's campaign, but it did not change his dominant position in the Republican Party. At the same time, this incident has also sparked controversy and confrontation in American politics. Against this backdrop, the future of the United States will face more challenges and uncertainties.
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