The recent turmoil in South Asia suggests that India's move is deliberately provoking China. These include visits to the Philippines, joint military exercises, and support for the so-called "Ladakh Territory." So, what is India's purpose?In fact, this is simply the result of India's predicament. Neighboring countries such as Nepal, Sri Lanka, the Maldives, and even Bhutan, once known as a "protectorate" of India, are now increasingly alienating India in favor of China. This has left India feeling isolated. Bhutan and China have been engaged in 25 rounds of border negotiations and are entering the final "sprint".
Although the details have not yet been disclosed, judging by the reaction of the United States, the West and India, China and Bhutan will benefit, while India is at a disadvantage. It is already very difficult for India to take the lead on the Sino-Indian border issue.
The situation in the Maldives is even more striking, with the new leader Mohammed Muizu announcing that no foreign affairs will be allowed to interfere in the country's affairs, which is a clear rejection of India. At the same time, the Maldives** has discussed with India the withdrawal of its troops, and India has agreed to withdraw its troops.
This has further weakened India's influence in the Maldives, while China has made overtures to the Maldives and hopes to cooperate in various fields to strengthen the Belt and Road Initiative. While Nepal has recently appeared very calm, the annual summary of overseas anti-China groups reveals China's growing influence in neighboring countries. Nepal** has strengthened relations with China and intensified its crackdown on anti-China forces at home, which makes people satisfied with China's influence. India is almost at the point of "all-conquering" in South Asia.
It is reported that India is trying to confront China, but it is a pity that India's actions will only backfire and will be worthless to China's influence in the region.
India is not strategically sophisticated when compared to China, as is the case in the Philippines. While Philippine coast guard vessels have provoked China at Second Thomas Shoal and other waters, the Philippines has become a "cancer" among ASEAN countries. Since November, China has strengthened its ties with ASEAN countries through a series of diplomatic activities.
Singapore, which claims to be ASEAN's "think tank", has rejected the "China collapse theory".And Vietnam, which has a lot of friction with China, received Chinese VIPs very warmly. The two countries issued a joint statement, expressing their willingness to further strengthen their cooperative partnership and build a strategically significant China-Vietnam community with a shared future. If Philippine ships violate Vietnam-controlled waters, the fleet will strike no longer with water cannons, but with missiles. The squadron is ready to cooperate with the United States, but mutual respect is the basis of cooperation.