The only way to change the political landscape of the world today is war, In order to deal with the encirclement and interception of the United States and Europe, Russia launched a military operation against Ukraine, and for a time the Russian-Ukrainian conflict attracted the attention of the world, and then people found that Japan's retired major general Yoshiaki Yano turned outThe outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict was predicted as early as 10 years ago.
Another ** of Yoshiaki Yano's is that China and Japan may go to war in 2025, when Japan will be the next Ukraine. Is there really a war between China and Japan?Why did Yoshiaki Yano say the prophecy that Japan would inevitably be defeated by China?
If you want to know whether Yoshiaki Yano's prediction about the war between China and Japan is accurate, you only need to look at his prediction about the conflict between Russia and Ukraine to roughly know whether this person is talking nonsense or some real material.
In all the important wars in history, there are people who have made accurate ** beforehand。This kind of ** for the future situation is mostly based onA deep understanding of the current situation。There are traces of the development of events, such as the covetousness of modern Japan for China has never disappeared, and with the increasing decay of the Qing Dynasty, Japan's aggression has also stepped towards the land of China.
The outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022 also has the influence of various factors, more than a decade ago, Yoshiaki Yano said in the Japanese journal "Military Studies".If Ukraine puts its plan to join NATO on the table, it will inevitably intensify the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and Russia will use this as a reason to send troops to Ukraine. At that time, NATO will provide Ukraine with military strength to support Ukraine in its fight against Russia, and the war will drag on into a long-term phase.
Looking back from the current perspective, the current trend of the Russia-Ukraine conflict is basically the same as Yoshiaki Yano's, but it is still difficult to make a decision on whether the war will continue for a long time. There is no doubt that Russia has not reaped much benefit, and it will be a failure to stop now. And Ukraine has the support of NATO, and it is impossible to be defeated for a while, but the Ukrainian top level wants to take this opportunity to get more Western aid. As for the Russian-Ukrainian soldiers who died in the war and the low-level people who lost their homes due to the war, who cares?
Russia and Ukraine can be described as siblings, and there is no blood feud between the two countriesThe collapse of the Soviet UnionSpeaking of. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, these Eastern European countries have fallen into the arms of NATO, Russia and Ukraine are no exception, both brothers have had a period of closeness to the West, but the United States does not want to take a few more junior brothers, but wants to use Ukraine to further strangle Russia.
Under the constant prodding of the United States, Russia and Ukraine have gradually turned against each other, which is like an ancient Chinese saying"Two peaches kill three soldiers". There is only one place that can be accepted by the United States and receive Western assistance, and after the United States threw this tempting bait, it watched Russia and Ukraine kill each other from the sidelines, fanning the flames from time to time.
In order to integrate into the West, Ukraine has done everything it can to curry favor with the United States. Seeing that its little brother "defected" and even "betrayed" its own interests to the enemy, how could Russia not be angry. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, NATO's continuous eastward expansion has seriously threatened Russia's living space.
At the same time, the United States and Europe also know that they can't be stupid enough to really provoke Russia, so they have been using itJoin NATOThis bait hangs on Ukraine, so that it can only see the carrots in front of it but not eat them, and willingly be the vanguard of the United States and Europe against Russia.
In this way, as long as the relationship between the United States, Russia, and Ukraine is sorted out, thenThe outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict is inevitable, it is only a matter of timeYoshiaki Yano is not a soothsayer, but a military strategist who carefully observes the international situation.
As a retired major general of the Japanese Self-Defense Forces, Yoshiaki Yano released another astonishing prediction, he **When the conflict between Russia and Ukraine reaches a stalemate, China and Japan will go to war by 2025。What is the basis for this prophecy?
It is very likely that the Russian-Ukrainian conflict will reach a stalemate at present, unless Russia retreats and declares the operation failed, but it will inevitably lead to further invasion by NATO, and the probability of Russia defeating Ukraine is still a glimmer of possibility when the conflict first broke out in 2022, and now the hope is getting slimmer.
In Yano's view, this is the perfect opportunity for China to take advantage of the fact that the United States is focused on Europe and start a war with Japan. However, Yoshiaki Yano did not understand the situation, and China wanted to send troopsRegain the largest island of our country, why a war with Japan. Yoshiaki Yano's explanation for this is this.
In Yano Yoshiaki's hypothesis, the cause of the battle between China and Japan wasDiaoyu Islands。Chinese fighters"Active**".Shot down Japanese fighters, followed by our country"If you are wrong, you will be wrong".Before Japan could react, it sent troops to occupy Okinawa, and a major war broke out.
Yoshiaki Yano's "Simulation of China's Capture of Okinawa, Japan in 2025" released by Yoshiaki Yano has caused a heated discussion. Yoshiaki Yano's remarks that war between China and Japan would break out over the Diaoyu Islands were ridiculed by many Taiwan military experts after they were introduced to the Taiwan region. If the mainland wants to fight, it will also attack Taiwan first, and you will stand on the side of Okinawa. These experts even bluntly said: "This major general probably has a problem with his brain, how can China and Japan go to war over the Diaoyu Islands?"”
Among other things, Yoshiaki Yano's idea is quite interesting, and in his opinion, Japan has no power to fight back against China. Yoshiaki Yano envisages that our military will be able to control Okinawa's air supremacy within 12 hours and destroy the Air Self-Defense Forces in Kyushu and Okinawa, and then Japan will carry out missile strikes on Japan's major military portsCompletely destroy the naval and air forces of Japan.
The remnants of the Japanese fleet fighters were powerless to resist and could only flee to the second island chain, at which time our army could send land forces to land in Okinawa, Japan, and at the beginning of the war, the United States had no time to react so that it could only admit the reality of Japan's defeat and choose to avoid war with China and withdraw its garrison in Okinawa, Japan.
Yoshiaki Yano believes that in the Sino-Japanese conflict in 2025,Japan is not even as good as Ukraine, and it was completely crushed by our army. If this remark came from China, it might make people think that it was the bold delusion of some patriot, but if it came from the mouth of Major General Lu Zi of Japan, it can't help but make people wonder whether the situation mentioned by Yoshiaki Yano is really possible
As a country that has committed heinous crimes in history, Japan's post-war transformation was not thorough, and it was constantly given to Japan by the United States out of consideration of its own interests"Untie".caused.
Under the leadership of the United States, Japan began to carry out political, economic, and educational development"Democratization" reformsThe newly enacted constitution stipulates that Japan will forever renounce war and the means of warfare, and the emperor system has been abolished in political reform, but the existence of the emperor has not been abolished.
As a result of the Korean War, Japan became a bridgehead for the United States to contain China and the Soviet Union in East Asia. The fascist soil of Japanese society has not been thoroughly developed, which has also led to the rise of Japanese right-wing forces after World War II with the take-off of Japan's economy. This group of right-wing forces denied Japan's aggressive nature in World War II, refused to reflect on the war, and once again advocated Japanese nationalism and nationalism.
Japan's right-wing advocates denying history, expanding armaments, and making JapanReturn to a "normal state".It has even embarked on the slogan of a political, economic, and military power, and is a political force that cannot be underestimated in Japan. With the increasing tension in the international situation, the United States provoked the Russia-Ukraine conflict in Eastern Europe, so China, which is also a competitor of the United States, is also very likely to face provocation and suppression by the United States.
Japan's role in Asia is the next UkraineJapan, as a pawn planted by the United States to balance and consume China in East Asia, is very likely to realize the reunification of the motherland in China.
First, at the critical juncture of national rejuvenation, it took the initiative to provoke a conflict with China at the instigation of the West.
Through Japan's continuous expansion of military spending, continuous revision of the pacifist constitution, and continuous purchase of attacks, Yano Yoshiaki judged that Japan is becoming a Ukrainian-style role, and Japan's ambitions have been exposed, which is the basis for Yano Yoshiaki ** China and Japan will inevitably break out into war, and at the same time, Japan's military strength is far inferior to China, which is the reason why Yano Yoshiaki pessimistically believes that Japan will be defeated in the Sino-Japanese conflict.
Japan's retired major general predicts that China and Japan may go to war in 2025, when Japan will become the next Ukraine. This is by no means alarmism out of nowhere. What is the basis for Yoshiaki Yano**?Is it really possible for a Sino-Japanese war to break out in the future?
Yoshiaki Yano is based on several points. One is:The rise of right-wing forces in JapanIn the eyes of the Japanese people, although Japan's economy ranks third in the world, it is politically and militarily short. In order to ensure Japan's ***, it had to go deeper with the United States.
Japan has been following in the footsteps of the United States in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, whether it is the United States sanctioning Russia or aiding Ukraine, Japan has contributed money and efforts, and it looks loyal. However, the United States and Japan seem to be "fathers and sons", but in fact, they each have ghosts. The United States hopes to use Japan to contain China, and Japan hopes to make the United States continue to loosen Japan's restraints in the name of containing China.
It is matched by the rise of right-wing forces in JapanJapan's defense and military spending has soared。Japan's overall military budget has been steadily increasing throughout the past decade, but in 2023 Japan's military spending has skyrocketed, from 53 trillion yen increased to 682 trillion yen,The increase reached 26%.Such a large increase in military spending inevitably makes people suspect that Japan is trying to do something.
In the face of the ridicule of Taiwanese experts, Yoshiaki Yano threw out his new arguments. That is, Taiwan is too small to act as the Ukraine of East Asia. With Taiwan's size, I don't know if it will be able to survive a day under the attack of our army, and because the war lasts too short, even if the United States wants to intervene, it will not find a chance.
Taiwan Province is to China what Chechnya is to RussiaThings inside of us, what qualifications does the United States have to meddle?So far, the United States has not dared to break out into a direct conflict with Russia, but has adopted the method of ** people to slowly strangle, so it is conceivable,If the United States wants to target China in East Asia, it is impossible for it to go to war with China in person, so Japan has become the best pawn to contain China.
Ukraine is very stretched, and it is all thanks to NATO to hold on hard in the back to barely reach a draw with Russia. In the face of China, which is much more powerful militarily than Russia, Japan may end up worse than Ukraine. Whether or not Japan is willing to serve as cannon fodder for the confrontation between China and the United States, will it dare not listen to an order from the United States?
Therefore, we must not laugh at Yoshiaki Yano's **, but should think carefully about this Sino-Japanese war hypothesis put forward by the Japanese. Yoshiaki Yano is pessimistic about Japan's prospectsIn fact, it is also the other way around exhorting the Japanese not to easily provoke a war with China, which Japan cannot afford to lose.
But Yoshiaki Yano only considered the ideas of Japan and the United States, but did not understand itChina's foreign policy。From the perspective of our country, first of all, our country has been pursuing what we have been pursuingA national defense policy of active defenseIn 23 years, when the United States and Japan greatly increased their military spending, China's military spending increase still remained restrained, and there was no intention of competing with the United States. This shows that China's strategic determination is extremely deep, and it will not rush to fight an unprepared war like Russia.
Russia's way of launching a surprise attack on Ukraine is not our style. Yoshiaki Yano's fear that the dispute between China and Japan over the Diaoyu Islands and its affiliated waters would lead to war is safe to sayThe probability of it happening is extremely small。China advocates the use of peaceful means to resolve their differences, let alone take the initiative to invade other countries.
Therefore, the China envisaged by Yoshiaki Yano to take the lead in causing a conflict did not hold true from the beginning. Second, it is impossible for the United States to be indifferent to the outbreak of conflict between China and Japan, unlike Ukraine, a pawn that comes and goes when called and has not yet been accepted by the United States and EuropeJapan is very important to the United States and has great strategic value in the United States' Asia-Pacific strategy and the first island chain plan against China.
Not to mention the fact that China and Japan acted separatelyThe world's second- and third-largest economiesOnce China and Japan go to war, the global economy will be much more affected than during the Russia-Ukraine conflict. In other words, in the era of global economic integration, no matter which country China has a military conflict with, the global economy will be big, and no one should think about it.
Is the United States willing to curb China's development at the cost of destroying Japan?Japan's size and importance are not comparable to those of Ukraine. Therefore, if the Sino-Japanese war really breaks out, the scale of the war will be difficult to estimate, and the United States will not be able to stand alone.
At that time, it may not be the Sino-Japanese war, but the third world war, will the United States dare to provoke the third world war?That's what we need to think about.