In 2024Federal ReserveCut interest rates5 times the message is inInternational marketThere was an uproar, and all kinds of ** and speculation came one after another. At the same time, however, there is a behind-the-scenes force quietly operating, and what they know is not what we know. In this article, we'll take a look at the truth of this news from multiple perspectives and reveal the real motivation behind it.
According toINGBreaking the news, 2024Federal ReservewillCut interest rates6 times, the news appears very specific and unambiguous. It is worth mentioning that exceptINGIn addition, financial institutions such as Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are also **Federal ReserveIt will be in 2024Cut interest rates。In contrast, the U.S. institutions are for:Cut interest ratesThe timing and magnitude are relatively conservative, while the European institutions are more aggressive. This difference is mainly due to different understandings of the actual situation in the United States and the mentality of the people. U.S. institutions are more indigenousEconomysituation and the mentality of the population, while the European institutions prefer to passCut interest ratesto alleviate their ownEconomyIssue.
Institutions in the United States are in**Federal ReserveCut interest ratesis relatively conservative, mainly because of the current United StatesEconomic growthThe situation is better. According to the latest data, the GDP growth of the United States in the third quarter reached 52%, creating oneEconomyMarvel. This makes it difficult for some institutions to understand why there is".EconomyThere is a significant cooling". They may think that the currentEconomyThe situation does not need itCut interest ratesto stimulate, and maybe even thinkCut interest ratesIt may pose unnecessary risks. By contrast, European institutions are more worried about themselvesEconomyIssue. Over the past few years, EuropeEconomic growthFatigue,DeflationThe risk has always been there. Therefore, they want to pass even moreCut interest ratesto stimulateEconomyand alleviate their ownEconomyIssue. They are for:Cut interest ratesIt may be relatively aggressive, but it also has some rationality.
Federal ReserveChairmanPowellIn recent years, he has repeatedly stated thatCut interest ratesStillIt's too early。This statement showsFederal ReserveInternal forCut interest ratesThe discussion has not yet begun, and perhaps even the relevant schedule has not yet been determined. This indicates whether the dollar isCut interest ratesThe decision was not madePowellIt is decided by the big capitalists and the big chaebols behind it. These people may only look at their own interests, and do not take into account the feelings and feelings of the American peopleEconomydevelopment.
Federal ReserveChairmanPowellIn recent statements indicatesFederal ReserveInternal forCut interest ratesThe discussion of the issue has not yet begun. This is related to:INGbroke the newsCut interest ratesThe plans are far from the showFederal Reserveinternal divisions and struggles. Some even speculated,Federal ReserveEach of the seven members of the board of directors has their own forces behind them, and they meet before they meet, then make decisions, and then hand them overPowellThey took to the stage to perform. This statement may be an exaggeration, but it also hints at whether the dollar isCut interest ratesThe complexity of the decision-making mechanism and the struggle of interests behind it. The big capitalists and big chaebols behind these may only care about their own interests, and do not think about the life and death of the American people and the United StatesEconomydevelopment. Their influence may be much greater than we think, and it may be rightFederal Reserve's decisions have an impact.
Over the past few months, we have analyzedThe US dollar raises interest ratesCut interest ratesThe core logic. InThe US dollar raises interest ratesof the cycle, the United StatesEconomyThe key to sustaining growth is:Fiscal deficitsincrease. However, ifFiscal deficitsUnable to continue to increase, then the United StatesEconomymay face recession pressures at this timeCut interest ratesIt becomes a reliefEconomyMeans of pressure. However, 2024 is also a ** year, and in general, the United StatesInterest rate policyIt will be moderate to avoid influencing voters' voting choices. This givesFederal Reservebrings more complexity.
The US dollar raises interest ratesCut interest ratesThe core logic is the United StatesEconomyof the seesaw. On the one hand, the United States has raised interest rates to control inflation, and maintainedEconomySteady growth. On the other hand, the United States ** passedFiscal deficitsThe increase to stimulateEconomy, make sureEconomyAbility to keep growing. Over the past few years, the United States has passed highFiscal deficitsto stimulateEconomy。This model makes AmericanEconomyIt has been able to maintain growth to a certain extent, but it has also brought financial risks. IfFiscal deficitsUnable to continue to increase, then the United StatesEconomyIt is possible to fall into a recession. At this time,Cut interest ratesIt became a kind of lighteningEconomymeans of recessionary pressure. However, 2024 is the year of **, and in order to avoid influencing voters' voting choices, the United StatesInterest rate policyIt is usually kept mild. This givesFederal ReserveThe decision adds more complexity that can lead to:Cut interest ratesThere is a gap between the ** and the actual decision.
Looking back at the whole article, we can see that for 2024Federal ReserveCut interest ratesThere is a great deal of controversy and uncertainty. Institutions in the United States are relatively conservative and those in Europe are more radical, reflecting different perceptions of the reality of the United States and the mentality of the population. However, no matter what kind of **, it is necessary to take into account the struggle and the influence of interests of the forces behind the scenes. Finally, 2024 as the ** year, may be rightFederal ReserveThe decision has had an impact and increasedCut interest ratesUncertainty. Therefore, for 2024 the dollar will notCut interest ratesWe need to maintain a certain degree of caution and make a more comprehensive analysis and judgment based on various factors.