【Author's Profile】Songuo comes from a private equity champion team, with a cumulative scale of 10 figures. With 13 years of investment experience, he is good at ** and restructuring, and is now the manager of Sunshine Private Equity.
Pessimism is as easy to contag as the flu, the market is very difficult, ** is four consecutive yin, hope is very slim, let's put it this way, it is difficult to see the big opportunity or the big bottom opportunity in front of you, then let's talk about a little positive, say 3 positive, cheer everyone up
The first one, about the bottom of **
If you look at the Shanghai Composite Index Week**, you will find that 2,900 points is the bottom since the registration system in 2019 (except for 2020, when the epidemic bottomed out by 2,900), and at other times, this bottom is still very solid.
So, looking at this position in absolute terms, the bottom is solid enough.
The second is foreign investment, We gave you a ** some time ago, talking about how severe foreign capital is, that the recent sudden change, the United States may cut interest rates in the third quarter of 2024, so, the obvious outflow of foreign capital is not as nonsensical as before, like Hong Kong stocks are falling on Monday, and foreign capital is actually **, what does that mean?Foreign capital in the medium term began to turn!
Smart money is always one step ahead, it may be a martyr, but it is indeed turning.
Third, the Shanghai Composite Index was in the red for four consecutive years, but there was a morning star on MondayIf, on Tuesday, there can be a mid-yang candle, here will be a formation of the right side of the morning star, then *** technical situation is logical. However, the lethality of the 4 consecutive yin is still very strong, and it is difficult to get up if there is no large amount of yang line, and it can only be said that the doji of Monday's gap is low, and the short-term short release is relatively large, but it is a pity that there is no volume.
We also talk about the bad ones, I think the bad ones are concentrated in 2 points: 1, you can see that there is a faint national team in the disk protection, you think about it at the bottom you can't protect the disk, that shows that the market is still very weak, now it's really a dilemma, you don't protect the disk that the small cap stocks have fallen out of the Xiang, you protect the disk everyone knows that it is not the bottom, so you can only use time to grind to consume, with time for space;2. There is also no direction at the end of the year, whether it is speculation AI applications, or traditional technology hardware, including Huawei, which rose on Monday, everyone's recognition is not very high, so there is no direction.
To sum up, the positive factors of the market are accumulating, but they are biased towards the medium-term, it can only be said that it can be summarized from historical experience, and the non-positive or bearish factors, the market has never been able to find out the bottom of the market, 4 even yin can think about it, what extreme is the market panic to what extreme, then this extreme once it transforms, it will become very fast, according to the content of our live broadcast on Sunday night, the market is likely to change on Tuesday, okay, we will wait and see on Tuesday.