Author |Zhu Hualei, editor|wjx
*: Jufeng Investment Advisory, good ** application.
Brief description of the plate
The morning market showed the first intraday industry rotation in the two cities. Aviation, coal, shipbuilding, steel, petroleum, telecommunications operations, textiles and apparel, household goods, components, telecommunications operations, banking, home appliances, food and beverage, insurance, transportation equipment and other industries showed intraday activity, while media and entertainment, Internet, advertising and packaging, software services, tourism, real estate, electrical equipment, environmental protection, hotel catering, daily chemicals, building materials, diversified finance and other industries showed weakness;In terms of theme plates, PEEK materials, shipping concepts, mixed reality, national defense and military industry, pork, e-paper, large aircraft, military-civilian integration, drones, tire pressure monitoring, the Belt and Road, satellite navigation, memory chips, wireless headsets, consumer electronics, 6G concepts, industrial machine tools and other themes presented intraday rotation, and themes such as seed industry, food security, knowledge payment, short drama games, BC batteries, supply and marketing cooperatives, HJT batteries, sodium batteries, multimodal AI, AIGC concepts, and TOPCON batteries weakened.
Hot Plates
The coal industry continued to be active, with Huaibei Mining, Yankuang Energy, Shaanxi Coal, Xinji Energy, Pingmei Co., Ltd., China Coal Energy, and Jinkong Coal Industry showing intraday increases.
The concept of cross-border e-commerce continues to be active, Tianchuang Fashion has 2 boards, Guangbo shares have a daily limit, and leading shares, Jianlin Home Furnishing, Haicheng Bangda, Antarctic E-commerce, etc. have followed suit. On the news side, the U.S. consumer confidence index recorded the largest increase since the beginning of 2021. At the same time, with Christmas just around the corner, spending on online shopping on Black Friday in the U.S. this year increased by 7% year-on-year5%, and the online shopping volume of "Cyber Monday" is expected to reach 12 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 61%。
The shipping sector strengthened, with Air China COSCO rising 10%, Huaguang Guanghai, Ningbo COSCO, Haitong Development, and Jinjiang Shipping. On the news side, the person in charge of the international freight ** company said that the shipping company may eventually be forced to reroute all affected routes and ships around the Cape of Good Hope, which will consume at least 2.5 million TEUs of capacity, resulting in a shortage of available capacity worldwide. SCFI hit a 12-month high due to the turmoil in the Red Sea, and short-term freight rates will continue in the coming weeks**, and the momentum is expected to continue until the end of January.
Lithium stocks are fast, Jiangte Motor rose more than 7%, Yongxing Materials, Huayou Cobalt, Sinomine Resources, Rongjie Shares, ** Mining, etc. followed suit. On the news side, the lithium carbonate futures index main contract ushered in **, which is currently up more than 4%.
The water conservancy construction sector moved up, Qinglong Pipe Industry rose by the limit, Guanlong Energy Conservation, Longquan Shares, Lingxiao Pump Industry and so on. On the news side, Li Guoying, minister of water resources, presided over a meeting of the party group, which stressed the need to concentrate efforts on doing a good job in doing a number of practical water conservancy projects that can be felt and reached by the masses. It is necessary to solidly promote the continuation and modernization of large and medium-sized irrigation areas, accelerate the progress of the construction of large-scale irrigation areas under construction, and start the construction of a number of large-scale irrigation area projects in accordance with local conditions.
MR concept stocks have been active repeatedly, Emdoor Information has 4 boards in 6 days, China Optics has a daily limit, Silk Road Vision, Skyworth Digital, Wufang Optoelectronics, Shuangxiang Shares, Yitian Shares, Shenzhen Keda, etc. have followed up. On the news side, people familiar with the matter revealed that Apple is accelerating the production of Vision Pro mixed reality headsets in China in preparation for the launch of the market in February.
The concept of robots has moved up, Yuhuan CNC has touched the daily limit, and Xinxing Equipment, Zhucheng Technology, and Fenglong shares have risen by more than 5%. On the news side, the National Conference on Industry and Information Technology was held in Beijing yesterday. The meeting emphasized that in 2024, it is necessary to accelerate the cultivation of emerging industries. Introduce an action plan for future industrial development, aim at the humanoid robot industry, and strive to break through key technologies, cultivate key products, and expand scenario applications.
The concept of China Shipbuilding Department has moved up, China's Haiphong has risen to the limit, and Jiuzhiyang, China Shipbuilding Hanguang, Kunming Shipbuilding Intelligence, and China Shipbuilding Emergency have followed up. Soochow's research report pointed out that the mid-term adjustment order approval link was implemented at the end of November, and all aspects of the whole industrial chain of the main engine factory will benefit from it, and it is expected that there will be more and more clear order-related information in the near future. The military industry is expected to usher in an opportunity to rebound in growth and switch between valuation repair.
PEEK material concept stocks have risen sharply, Fuheng New Materials rose by more than 10%, Xinhan New Materials, Huami New Materials, Tongyi Shares, Zhongyan Shares, Zhongxin Fluorine Materials, etc. followed suit. According to the analysis and calculation of the national financial research report, PEEK materials are suitable for use in medical, automotive and robotics and other fields with high requirements for lightweight, and the domestic demand for PEEK materials has reached more than 16.7 billion yuan in 27 years.
The photovoltaic sector rose again, Zhongke Cloud Network 4 days and 3 boards, Hoymiles shares, Deye shares, Oujing Technology, Yuneng Technology, etc. followed up. According to the CDB** research report, benefiting from the commitment of the "UAE Consensus" to triple renewable energy production capacity by 2030, global PV installed demand is expected to accelerate. It is recommended to pay attention to two main lines: first, the leading companies in n-type battery technology, which are expected to lead the company through the bottom of the cycle through technology premium;Second, the leading enterprises in the integrated layout of overseas markets will benefit from the increase in concentration and overseas layout.
Policy MessagesThe central bank invested 281 billion yuan in the open market
The central bank carried out a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 40 billion yuan today, and the winning interest rate was 180%, the same as before;A 14-day reverse repurchase operation of 291 billion yuan was carried out, and the winning interest rate was 195%, the same as before. Due to the expiration of 50 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase today, a net investment of 281 billion yuan was realized.
National Conference on Housing and Urban-Rural Construction
The National Conference on Housing and Urban-Rural Construction pointed out that next year's work should adhere to the principle of seeking progress while maintaining stability, promoting stability with progress, and establishing first and then breaking down. It is necessary to adhere to the positioning that houses are for living, not for speculation, and adapt to the new situation of major changes in the relationship between supply and demand in the real estate market. Stabilize the real estate market, adhere to city-specific policies, one city, one policy, and precise policies, meet the demand for rigid and improved housing, optimize real estate policies, continue to do a good job in ensuring the delivery of buildings, ensuring people's livelihood and stability, properly handle the risks of real estate enterprises, and rectify the order of the real estate market. Construct a new model of real estate development, establish a new mechanism for the linkage of "people, housing, land and money", improve the basic system of the whole life cycle of housing from development and construction to maintenance and use, implement the construction of the "three major projects", accelerate the solution of the housing problems of new citizens, young people and migrant workers, and make efforts to build good houses and create a new track in the housing field.
Jufeng view
Overall, the market continues to show the reappearance of local rotation in the two industries in the intraday. Aviation, coal, shipbuilding, petroleum, iron and steel, telecommunications operations, textiles and apparel, household goods, components, telecommunications operations, banking, home appliances, food and beverage, insurance, transportation equipment and other industries showed intraday activity, while media and entertainment, Internet, advertising and packaging, software services, tourism, real estate, electrical equipment, environmental protection, hotel catering, daily chemicals, building materials, diversified finance and other industries showed weakness.
After the recent market adjustment, the short-term technical bottom has been ushered in. At the same time, with the recent continuous downward trend of the market, the low-level undertaking funds began to be active, and the intraday stock index rose and the market's **, highlighting the stability of market funds. However, the current market is still facing large technical resistance and capital divergence, and the market sentiment is more cautious. At present, the overall valuation of A-shares has been in the historical bottom range, and the timing of allocation value is highlighted. In addition, the recent influx of ETFs into the equity market has released a positive signal to the market. The first economic work conference at the end of the year set the tone for next year's work direction, in the "stability of the progress, to promote stability, first establish and then break" and macro policy counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustment, the policy side will continue to promote the recovery and recovery of China's economy. At present, the overall weak pattern of the market has not yet probable, and the short-term is still dominated by structural **, therefore, in terms of operation strategy, it is recommended to carry out low-buying and high-selling operations. In terms of medium-term opportunities, it is recommended to continue to pay attention to infrastructure and consumption under the expectation of economic recovery, pay attention to the market opportunities in the blue-chip sector and high-growth sectors, and in the industry sector, it is recommended to continue to pay attention to opportunities in new energy vehicles, consumer electronics, real estate, chips, food and beverage, software, communication equipment, building materials, construction and other industries.
Author: Zhu Hualei Practicing Certificate: A0680613030001
Disclaimer: The above content is for reference only and does not constitute specific operation advice, and you shall operate at your own risk and profit and loss.