The economy fell more than expected, and the rumor of Japan s economic recovery was shattered

Mondo International Updated on 2024-01-28

Japan Q3EconomyThe data shows thatEconomy**Exceeded market expectations, a series of keysEconomyIndicators appearedNegative growth。According to the statistics released by the Cabinet Office of Japan, Japan actually in the third quarter of this yearGross Domestic ProductMonth-on-month, it decreased by 05%, a whopping 21%, exceeding market expectations. At the same time, due to the sharp depreciation of the yen, Japan's GDP has been surpassed by Germany, falling to the fourth place in the world. In addition, the third quarter of JapanGross national incomeand real workers' compensation also declined, falling by 05% and 06%。Japan's domestic demand and personal consumption have also emergedNegative growth。This series of data shows that despite JapanEconomyThere was a brief **, butEconomyThe legend of resurgence has been shattered.

Economy** Exceeded expectations, to JapanEconomyBrought a heavy blow. The data for the third quarter shows that Japan'sEconomyThe environment remains severeGross Domestic ProductThe decline exceeded market expectations, not only did growth be sluggish, but also affected market confidence more severely. This means Japan'sEconomyThe road to recovery remains long and difficult. At the same time, Japan'sGross national incomeAnd the actual remuneration of workers has also declined, which makes the wholeEconomyThe system is in an even more difficult position. In addition, domestic demand and personal consumptionNegative growthIt is also further weakenedEconomyof toughness. This situation speaks volumes about JapanEconomyThe challenges remain enormousEconomyThe myth of recovery has been shattered. The competitiveness of Japan's traditional industries has declined, and the lack of advantages in emerging technology fields has made Japan'sEconomyThe outlook is even bleaker.

There has been a clear downward trend in the competitiveness of Japan's traditional industries. According to the data, the position of Japanese companies in the global top 500 list is declining rapidly. In 1996, Japanese companies occupied 6 of the top 10 of the world's top 500 and 11 of the top 20, far more than any other country. But in 2023, none of the Japanese companies have made it to the top 10, the largest of themToyota MotorsIt is also only ranked 19th. In addition, the United States and China are leading the world in 22 and 16 of the world's 63 key industries, respectively, while Japan has only 6 industries. This shows that Japan's pillar industries are being challenged more and more. Taking the automotive industry as an example, China's automobile exports have surpassed Japan's, especially in the field of new energy vehicles. In addition, Japanese companies are facing tremendous competitive pressure in future trends such as electrification, intelligence, and connectivity. This makes JapanEconomyThe outlook for development has become less optimistic.

The decline in the competitiveness of Japan's traditional industries is a reflection of JapanEconomyA clear sign of recession. Japanese companies are gradually being overtaken by other countries on the global stage. In the past, Japanese companies used to occupy an important position in the global top 500 rankings, but with the globalizationEconomyAs competition intensifies, the competitiveness of Japan's traditional industries has begun to decline. In particular, Japan is no longer able to compete with powerful countries such as the United States and China in some important and critical industries. This decline in competitiveness is not only a gap in scale, but also a gap in innovation ability, technical level and product quality. In addition, the development of emerging technologies has further highlighted Japan's lack of competitiveness. In the automotive industry, Japan used to be the world's leading automobile manufacturing power, but with the rapid rise of China's automobile industry, Japan's position has been greatly impacted. China's automobile exports have surpassed Japan's, especially in the field of new energy vehicles, China occupies an absolute advantage. At the same time, JapanAutomotive companiesThe relatively lagging development of emerging technologies such as electrification, intelligence, and connectivity will put more competitive pressure on the Japanese automotive industry. This trend of declining competitiveness not only poses a huge challenge to Japan's traditional industries, but also means that Japan's traditional industries are facing great challengesEconomyThe outlook has become even bleaker.

Japan's competitiveness in the field of emerging technologies is relatively insufficient. Japan's research indicators have fallen out of the top 10 in the world, and Japan's innovation capacity lags significantly behind countries such as China and the United States. According to a report by the Information Technology and Innovation Council of the United States, the real innovation hubs in the world are China and the United States, while Japan is significantly more distant in this regard. Especially in recent years, the gap has become even more pronounced, with the United States and China leading in 22 and 16 of the world's key industries, respectively, compared to Japan's six. This makes Japan's competitiveness in the field of emerging technologies clearly insufficient, not only rightEconomyDevelopment is a huge obstacle and limits the ability of Japanese companies to compete in the global market.

Japan's competitiveness in the field of emerging technologies cannot be ignored. Despite the fact that Japan in the last few decadesTechnologyThere have been some important results in innovation, but in today's highly competitive global environment, Japan's foothold has changed. Japan's research indicators have fallen out of the top 10 in the world, which speaks volumes about Japan's lag in innovation capabilities. At the same time, countries such as China and the United States are leading the way in emerging technologies. Especially in the past decade, China and the United States have become true global innovation hubs. Compared with China and the United States, Japan's performance in the field of emerging technologies not only lacks innovation ability, but also has obvious gaps in industrial layout, technology research and development, and talent training. As oneTechnologyJapan's development in this area cannot be ignored. Japan's advantages in traditional industries are gradually weakening, and its competitiveness in emerging technology is insufficient, which gives JapanEconomyhas brought enormous pressure.

For the sake of stimulationEconomyRecovery, Japan** and the central bank continue to roll outEconomystimulus, but these measures will not change JapanEconomyThe sluggish recovery has exacerbated Japan's debt risks and fiscal pressures. At present, Japan is one of the most indebted countries in the world, and the size of Japan's national debt as a proportion of GDP is as high as about 260%, which is much higher than that of other countries and about twice that of the United States. Japan's fiscal deficit as a percentage of GDP is also much higher than that of other countries. This has left Japan in a predicament of heavy debt pressureEconomyWeakness and the rising risk of a debt crisis are becoming more and more apparent.

Japan's debt problem is Japan'sEconomyOne of the biggest challenges. Japan is one of the most indebted countries in the world, with a national debt of about 260% of GDP. As a result, Japan's fiscal position is very fragile and the fiscal pressure is enormous. At the same time, Japan's fiscal deficit as a percentage of GDP is much higher than that of other countries. This means that Japan is inEconomyThere is significant fiscal pressure on stimulus and domestic investment. Japan** and the central bank for stimulusEconomyrecovery, constantly rolling out a variousEconomystimulus measures, but these measures have had a limited effect, and have instead exacerbated Japan's debt risks and fiscal pressures. Japan** is stimulatingEconomyMeasures cannot change JapanEconomyThe recovery is sluggish and could create greater debt risks. This makes JapanEconomyCaught in a vicious circle,EconomyThe weakness has led to an increase in the debt burden, which in turn has weakened furtherEconomyresuscitation capacity.

Japan's aging population is a problemEconomyAnother major challenge. JapaneseDemographicsShowing a trend of aging,Elderly populationThe proportion is rising, while the labor force is shrinking. That's rightEconomyDevelopment poses a serious constraint. Elderly populationThe increase has led to an increase in the pressure on social security such as medical care and pension in Japan, while the consumption of the elderly has decreased, which has put pressure on domestic demand and the consumer market. The decline in the labor force means a shortage of human resources, which will further weaken Japan's productivity and competitiveness. In addition, the aging of the population has also affected the dynamism of innovation and entrepreneurship, limiting JapanEconomytransformation and upgrading. Therefore, solving the problem of population aging is JapanEconomyAn important task for development.

Japan's aging population is a problemEconomyDevelopment poses a huge challenge. JapaneseDemographicsThere is a clear trend of agingElderly populationThe proportion is rising, while the labor force is shrinking. This makes Japan'sEconomyIt is facing a serious problem of depletion of demographic dividend and insufficient supply of labor. Elderly populationThis increase has put tremendous pressure on Japan's social security system, such as medical care and pension. At the same time, the consumption of the elderly has decreased, which has put pressure on domestic demand and the consumer market. The demand of young people has also been restricted, which has further shrunk Japan's domestic demand market. A decrease in the labor force means a shortage of human resources, which will further weaken Japan's productivity and competitiveness. Especially in the field of emerging technologies, the supply of human resources in Japan is even tighter and cannot be satisfiedEconomyThe need for transformation and innovative development. Therefore, solving the problem of population aging is JapanEconomyThe important task of recovery and development requires reform and innovation to increase labor force participationProductivityto promote the optimal allocation of human resources.

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