[Introduction].Winter solstice solar terms, the 22nd solar term of the traditional 24 solar terms, is also one of the traditional "four hours and eight festivals", the folk have the saying of "the winter solstice is the New Year", which is mainly affected by the winter solstice when the sun runs to the yellow longitude of 270 °, the direct sun point reaches the Tropic of Capricorn, since then, the northern hemisphere daylight time is extended, therefore, the folk have "eaten the winter solstice rice, a long line of a day" saying!Of course, the winter solstice also has the saying of "one yang sheng", which is also the sage's vision for a better life
Of course, the winter solstice solar term folk have the custom of "making up for winter", and the north is used to eating dumplings, which is naturally indispensable for all kinds of meat and eggs!Recently, affected by the low temperature and cold wave weather, domestic consumer demand is ready to move, the demand for pork cured meat in the south has also increased significantly, and the enthusiasm of residents to supplement winter consumption has also increased significantly, and mutton consumption has gradually ushered in the peak seasonIn the pig market, pig prices are lower, pork is more bleak, and in the mutton market, "polarization", in the egg market, egg prices are large in stages**119%, so, what's happening in the market?
First of all, in the hog market,Recently, the demand for pork consumption has been realized, the demand for pickled meat in the southwest market has increased significantly, and the operating rate of domestic slaughtering enterprises has increased significantly, however, due to the greater pressure on pigs this month, although the demand support has become stronger, however, the pressure on pigs has not decreased, and pig prices have shown a trend of pulling at a low level, and it has always been difficult to usher in a "unilateral" situation
According to the analysis of institutional data, currently,The price of foreign three-yuan pigs fell to 713 yuan catty, down 0 from yesterday$1,The domestic market continues the trend of the general **, the average price of live pigs is still at the bottom of the stage, and the average loss of farmers is still one or two hundred yuan!
Pig prices are under pressure, mainly due to the increase in consumption is not as fast as the growth rate of pork, due to the relatively positive slaughter of pigs, the average weight of pigs after slaughter has risen, which has further increased the level of fresh porkTherefore, in the short term, pig prices show a trend of low pulling, however, due to the low mentality of the breeding end, the sentiment of carrying the price still existsIt is expected that the pig price will still have a strong trend, but the ** space is relatively limited!
And in the pork market,According to official sources, at present, the average wholesale price of pork in the domestic agricultural product market is 2054 yuan kg, compared with the previous day**07%, pork ** performance is average, in Beijing Xinfadi market, the transaction price of white pigs is 825~9.5 yuan catty, front and rear hip tips** at 8 9 yuan catty, pork belly ** at 95 12 yuan catty, slightly 05 1 yuan Jin increase!
However, judging from the average ex-factory price of slaughtering white pigs, the average ex-factory price of slaughtering white pigs in the north and south of China is 2037 yuan kg, the price difference of slaughtering enterprises is only 611 yuan kg, although the loss pressure of slaughtering enterprises has been reduced, but, due to the strong mentality of resistance to price increases in the downstream market, it is difficult for pork to follow the rise in the terminal market
Secondly, in the lamb market,Recently, the domestic fattening sheep market trend is general, Shandong and Hebei in many places, farmers fattening sheep slaughter price in 122~13.About 7 yuan catty, goats ** in some areas are about 15 16 yuan catty, judging from market feedback,The average wholesale price of mutton in the national agricultural product market is 6408 yuan kg, ** trend is relatively stable, in Beijing Xinfadi market, the whole sheep ** in 245 25 yuan jin, boneless lamb leg ** at 32 34 yuan jin, lamb chops ** at 25 26 yuan jin!
In the author's hometown, recently, in the southwest of Shandong, rural markets are ordinaryBone-in lamb chops ** are about 30 yuan catty, and mutton ** is generally around 36 38 yuan cattyAlthough, compared with last year, mutton ** has a slight decrease of 5 6 yuan, but ** is still at a high level!
However, recently, some netizens have reported that there is still cheap mutton on the market, ** at about 19 20 yuan. It is understood that less than 20 yuan of mutton is mainly imported mutton, some e-commerce platforms have hexadized mutton, a piece of more than 20 catties for half sheep, **less than 19 yuan catty!The author understands from domestic customs dataIn November 2023, the import of mutton was at 3928.79 million tons, the amount of imported mutton is 1139547 million yuan, equivalent to 145025 yuan jin,Therefore, the cost of imported mutton is low, and the domestic mutton is showing a "polarized" trend, and the imported mutton is nearly twice as cheap as the domestic fresh mutton
Finally, at the egg market,This month's egg price decline**, due to the high temperature in the north and south at the beginning of this month, many places broke the record of the highest temperature in history, the market egg ** demand is sluggish, egg consumption has entered the "gap period", superimposed, at the end of November, the downstream centralized stocking, the market is mainly based on inventory consumption!In the middle of the year, affected by the continuous impact of low temperature and cold wave weather, the temperature in the north and south is generally low, affected by the rain and snow weather, the pressure on egg inventory in all links is too large, and the downstream goods lack good, in particular, the performance of e-commerce double 12 is sluggish, and the downstream market is mainly based on clearing inventory, and egg prices have further fallen!At present, in the domestic market, egg prices are weak and stable, and the market is waiting for a new round of good cash!
Data analysis from institutions, currently,The price of eggs in the production and marketing market hovered at 406~4.11 yuan catty, the cumulative decrease in the production area in the month was 055 yuan catty, a decrease of 119%！However, as the egg price bottomed out in stages, the first fell below the cost line, the market price mentality has become stronger, superimposed, the difficulty of egg storage is weak, the phenomenon of farmers reluctant to sell has increased, and the bottom support of eggs has become stronger!
On the demand side, recently, the downstream market has increased the enthusiasm for bargain procurement, and the egg price in some producing areas has stopped falling, however, because the New Year's Day market stock has not yet opened, the first merchant and wholesale market are relatively cautious, in particular, the egg substitution consumption is relatively strong, in the short term, the egg price or will maintain a weak and stable situation!However, with the gradual strengthening of the festive atmosphere, the "Shuangdan" market stocking support has become stronger, and the food factory has also appeared on the dip storage operation, it is expected that at the end of this month, egg prices are expected to buck the trend, however, due to the loose level of domestic laying hens, the ability of eggs is relatively stable, and the space for egg prices will be limited!
Pig prices are low, meat prices are bleak, mutton is "polarized", and egg prices plummeted by 119%, what's going on!What do you think about this?The above is the author's personal opinion, **from the Internet!