1. Wang Guogang: Strengthen supervision in accordance with the law and increase penalties for violations of laws and regulations!
This is Wang Guogang, a national first-class professor at the School of Finance of Chinese University, at the 28th China Capital Market Forum (2024) on January 6. But his views have no impact on the current **, after all, he is only the advice of experts.
2. UBS**: The worst period of A-shares has passed, and it is expected that the earnings per share of the CSI 300 Index this year will be **8% year-on-year.
To be honest, when I saw other foreign investors say long A-shares, I miss the outspoken Morgan Stanley. However, the CSI 300 index has fallen by more than 40% in recent years. Can't offset the 8% increase this year?Even if it is improved by more than ten points, it will not be a problem. Treat it neutrally.
3. Li Bei mentioned the market situation at the beginning of 2024 and believed that the market had obvious ** at the beginning of the year, especially the large number of ** positions. The dramatic scene at the beginning of the new year reminds us once again that the world is full of black swans and uncertainty is always there.
However, he believes that additional funds have appeared in the market, and he has the following analysis: ETF net subscription was the largest increase in December, which has played a big role in supporting the stability of the market. For other types of institutions, whether private equity, insurance or foreign positions, the position liquidation process has been basically completed, and the absolute position level is at a historically low level.
Fourth, deepen the rectification of corruption in the fields of finance, state-owned enterprises, energy, medicine, and infrastructure projects where power is concentrated, capital intensive, and abundant resources, and risks and hidden dangers are eliminated.
U.S. Treasury yields surged overnight and the dollar. With a slight decline, the pressure on export sales weakened or even made a comeback. However, the trade in domestic "dogs" will continue and will not stop. Because of this, it is unrealistic to expect A shares to rise sharply at this time, but after a large increase the day before yesterday, it is reasonable for the stock to open slightly higher yesterday and return to the 2900 point mark. At present, what the market lacks most is "confidence", and confidence needs the next dose of medicine from the management to stop the irresponsible selling behavior of "chicken and dog".
It is not comfortable for the market to reach this level, but we have to remember that this level continued to weaken at the beginning of the year, so the probability of a big bottom this year is very high. So at this time, we need to pay attention to a few points. One is not to increase leverage. Accelerating bottoming is the deadliest, don't increase leverage;Secondly, for those who are already rooted and whose stock prices are already trading at a 70-80% discount at a higher point, don't play anymore. As long as you don't delist, just lie down and don't move. If you fight all the way, most of the next wave will come back;The last point is that the position is quite flexible, and the bottom position can remain the same. Don't rush to the ones that are still at the bottom. You must wait for a clear signal before taking action. You have food in your hands, you have food in your hands. Heart, don't panic!