Recently, according to a report by the global network, after the mediation of Qatar and Egypt, "Hamas" and Israel are conducting intensive negotiations on issues such as a ceasefire and the release of hostages. It is worth noting that Israel offered to exchange a ceasefire for a week in exchange for dozens of hostages, but "Hamas" rejected this offer and said that Israel must cease fire before hostage exchange negotiations. "Hamas" rejected Israel's proposal. If the ceasefire talks are successful, it will be the second ceasefire agreement reached between the Palestinians and Israelis since the outbreak of the latest conflict.
Previously, the two sides had reached a temporary ceasefire agreement for seven days, after which "Hamas" hoped to use Israeli prisoners of war in exchange for Israel to extend the ceasefire, but Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu refused. Therefore, immediately after the expiration of the ceasefire agreement, Israel began its offensive in southern Gaza. During the more than two months of fighting in Gaza, "Hamas" occupied favorable terrain and caused the Israeli army to suffer considerable losses, but once humanitarian aid to Gaza is cut off, it will have a serious impact on the lives of the local people. Therefore, it is clear that "Hamas" is more desperate for a ceasefire agreement. Gaza is in the grip of a humanitarian crisis.
As for Israel, despite repeated pressures and good offices by the international community, Israel has hardly made concessions on the ceasefire issue thanks to the support of the United States. Why, then, did Israel suddenly change its tune recently and take the initiative to negotiate with Hamas?In short, Israel does not currently have the capacity to fully occupy Gaza, except for the demands of the families of the hostages at home. Despite unconditional military assistance from the United States, today's IDF is no longer the formidable army of Rabin's time. So far, the Israeli army has achieved little in Gaza, but has been dismantled by many "Hamas" tanks with their bare hands. The Israeli army has suffered heavy losses in Gaza.
However, as Israel expresses its willingness to de-escalate the situation, Hamas should be more active in negotiating with the Israeli side. However, "Hamas"** rejected the Israeli proposal, mainly because the Palestinian-Israeli situation has taken a new turn. In addition to this, the previous incidents of Israeli forces manslaughtering hostages in Gaza City have invisibly put considerable pressure on Netanyahu. In addition, the current support operations of Allah in Lebanon and the Houthis in Yemen in northern Israel and the Red Sea region have also attracted the attention of Israel and the United States. In particular, the Houthi attack on Israeli ships in the Red Sea has caused great repercussions internationally.
In the case of escalating situations, more ships are likely to choose to avoid the Red Sea and the Suez Canal waterway. At that time, the pressure on Israel will only increase. In addition, Israel is very dependent on shipping, and the merchant ships passing through the Red Sea account for nearly one-third of Israel's total value. If the U.S.-led coalition is unable to resolve the issue of Houthi attacks on ships in the short term, the implications for Israel will be enormous. Currently, the Yemeni Coast Guard conducts patrols in the Red Sea. It seems that "Hamas", of course, also wants a ceasefire in Gaza as soon as possible. However, unlike the temporary ceasefire proposed by Israel this time, "Hamas" prefers to reach a comprehensive ceasefire with Israel in order to achieve internal unity in Palestine.
There have been some discussions between the United States and Israel about the post-war management of Gaza. The United States is more inclined to support the "Fatah" takeover of Gaza, while Israel wants to expand its territory again. However, judging by the statements of the members of the Politburo of "Hamas", "Hamas" does not intend to give up control of Gaza even after the war ends. Netanyahu apparently disagrees with this, because if the Israeli army ultimately fails to defeat Hamas, then Netanyahu's prime minister position may be threatened.