Pig cycleIt is an economic phenomenon that refers to the cyclical pork ** change cycle of "high prices hurt the people, and low prices hurt farmers". Specifically, when the pig price is **, farmers will expand production capacity, that is, the number of pigs slaughtered will rise, which will further promote the increase in slaughter, the supply of pork will increase, and the number of pigs will decrease;However, when farmers observe a decline in pork, they will reduce production capacity, reduce pork supply, and pig prices will rebound, and so on and so forth.
Pig cycleFeatures:Includes:
1. Circular trajectory
The cyclical trajectory of the pig cycle is generally "high meat price - large increase in sow inventory - increase in hogs - meat price ** - large number of sows eliminated - pig ** decrease - meat price **".
2. Causes
The causes of the pig cycle are the unstable production and output of pigs, the low degree of standardized feeding, and the aggravation and fluctuation of diseases. In addition, the production of pigs has the characteristics of long cycles and difficult to change on the way, so the cycle of pigs repeats itself.
3. Cycle length
Each round of pig cycle is mostly 3-4 years, generally with the pig price beginning to rise as the starting point of a cycle, through the upward period, high oscillation period, downward period and bottoming period.
4. Catalyst factors
Each pig cycle has catalyst factors, including seasonal demand recovery, swine fever, epidemics, policies, etc.
5. Core variables
The number of fertile sows is one of the core variables in judging the pig cycle.
For more information on the pig cycle, it is advisable to consult the relevant literature or consult an agricultural expert.