2024 Top 10 Tech Trends Inventory
In 2023, the tide of technology is rushing forward.
from the rapid development of artificial intelligence.
to the hundreds of schools of thought for space exploration.
From the back of new energy vehicles.
You come and go to the semiconductor "war".
Many new technologies, new trends, new opportunities.
It is infiltrating the world more and more deeply.
In this time of innovation and change.
The new Bureau of Industry and Science is with you.
Top 10 Tech Trends for 2024.
Launched today:
How to get a head start in the commercial space sector?》
In 2023, the continuous progress of aerospace technology, the accelerated development of commercial aerospace, the expansion and opening up of the aerospace industry, and the deepening of social participation are becoming more and more obvious, bringing more possibilities for innovation and development for the global aerospace industry in 2024.
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2023 Global AerospaceIt's very lively
1.The exploration of aerospace applications is non-stop
The number of launches is growing steadily. As of December 10, 2023, there have been more than 200 space launches worldwide this year, a number that has broken the record of 186 in all of 2022. There has been a general increase in the number of space launches in all countries. United StatesThe number of launches in 2023 has already broken the Soviet record of 108 launches a year in 1982, of which private space has contributed considerably. The space launch process is moving towards standardization and industrialization. SpaceX set the fastest turnaround time at the West Coast launch pad in December, with two launches taking just 6 days, 13 hours, 43 minutes and 57 seconds. Our countryThe number of space launches completed in the whole year is approaching 70, which has become a new milestone for China's aerospace industry. This year, the Long March series of carrier rockets has been launched more than 40 times, and the total number of launches has exceeded 500. "Nine days to the moon" is no longer a dream, and the heavy weapons of the great powers are flying in array.
China's manned space flight.
Frontier space exploration has entered a "big year". The European Space Agency's Jupiter probe, Indian and Japanese lunar probes, and the American spacecraft Osiris-Rex carrying asteroid samples back to Earth have all breathed new life into space research. SpaceX's Starship has verified the feasibility of 33 engines working in parallel and "thermal separation" technology, exploring a path for the development of super-heavy launch vehicles around the world. China's Chang'e lunar exploration project, Mars exploration project, and solar exploration satellite "Kuafu-1" have also announced data or results, and the "Suzaku 2" independently developed by the private enterprise Blue Arrow Aerospace will successfully test fly in July 2023, becoming the world's first liquid oxygen methane rocket to enter orbit.
China's space station operation is normalized. In 2023, China will successfully carry out two manned missions, Shenzhou 15 and Shenzhou 16. On May 30, Shenzhou-16 was successfully launched, setting a new record for the number of humans in space at the same time, achieving 17 people in orbit at the same time, including 6 from the Chinese space station and 11 from the International Space Station. The normalized operation of China's Tiangong space station is safe and efficient, and the results are frequent. On August 18, China's National Space Laboratory was officially put into operation. As of August, the space station has carried out more than 60 experimental projects, tens of thousands of in-orbit experiments, obtained nearly 60TB of original experimental data, and sent more than 300 scientific experiment samples down.
2.Commercial space is gaining momentum
The commercial aerospace industry has entered the blue ocean. Aerospace is not only about rocket launches and space station operations, but also about commercial space industries such as satellite manufacturing, data analysis, and even services. At present, the total annual revenue of the global satellite industry is close to 300 billion US dollars, the vast majority of which comes from ground equipment manufacturing and satellite services, and the demand for commercial satellites has surged as application scenarios such as communications usher in great changes. In the third quarter of 2023, 543 of the 605 payload satellites launched worldwide are commercial satellites, most of which are communication satellites, such as the Apocalypse constellation that China successfully launched into orbit in September, followed by civilian remote sensing satellites.
Business tourism is booming. As the cost of space has decreased, space commercial tourism has gradually expanded its scale. In addition to the ax-2 Dragon crew of four people, Virgin Galactic has finally achieved suborbital space travel, and in 2023 the company will send six groups of passengers (six people each) to the edge of space, each consisting of test pilots, paying customers, honored guests and company employees. In the future, commercial space will attract more high-wealth people to try, and at the same time, commercial companies undertaking manned space launch missions will also provide new options for training and orbit for some national space agencies.
The financing chain is gradually improving. About 24% of global space deals in 2023 were Series A rounds and 12% of all global venture capital deals, suggesting that space companies will also receive more early-stage financing. In the second quarter of 2023, 91 companies in the global space industry chain received a total investment of $6 billion, and the total amount of commercial space financing in 2023 is expected to exceed that of 2022. With the acquisition of OneWeb by Eutelsat, the five countries that have received the most investment are the United States, China, Singapore, France and India. At the end of 2023, Beijing Galaxy Power ushered in a Series C and C+ financing of RMB 1.1 billion to help the research and development of "Zhishenxing No. 1".
2024 • Seize the "heavenly machine" at a lower cost
Reducing costs and increasing efficiency will be the main development trend of global commercial aerospace in 2024. Under the principle of "first come, first served" in space, seizing, developing, and making full use of space resources has become the trend of future development of all countries. Reducing the launch cost of launch vehicles has also become a goal pursued by all countries, which also means that commercial space can bring more opportunities. SpaceX officially announced that it will launch 144 times in 2024, and the Matthew effect in the commercial space field has begun to gradually appear, but whether it is rocket launch or satellite manufacturing, there has never been a de facto monopoly platform. In the new year, whether SpaceX's "Starship" can be successfully launched will be the focus of the most attention in the commercial space field.
China's commercial aerospace is expected to flourish under the guidance of policies. On the eve of the rapid reduction of the cost of commercial aerospace, China's commercial aerospace, as a latecomer, still has a large space for development, and it is all the more necessary to make use of all available forces to actively encourage emerging industries that are conducive to the development of the aerospace industry. At present, the China Manned Space Engineering Office has issued the "Announcement on the Overall Plan for Soliciting Low-cost Cargo Transportation Systems for the Space Station", and a series of measures are encouraging commercial space to launch more competitive goods and services with the help of science and technologyThe Shanghai Action Plan for Promoting Commercial Aerospace Development and Building a Highland for the Space Information Industry (2023-2025) issued by Shanghai will lead the integrated development of space information in the Yangtze River Delta region and provide strong support for the construction of a space power.
China's industrial cluster chain will be further improved. The development and growth of commercial aerospace is conducive to promoting the quality and efficiency of supporting manufacturing clusters, promoting the development of the industry and healthy competition, and will further shorten the R&D cycle and reduce manufacturing costs. In the future, a part of the public orders may be transferred to the main body of the commercial aerospace market, which will stimulate and drive the innovation and development of new technologies, and provide more aerospace services to benefit the people in the new consumer field. Relevant market players will increase the collection, analysis and utilization of satellite data, organically combine satellites with daily life Internet of Vehicles, navigation, breeding, etc., and bring more social financing to commercial aerospace enterprises, including satellite manufacturing and rocket research and development. In addition, the society's encouragement and promotion of aerospace culture will also attract more private capital, social resources and human resources to invest in it.
Looking to the future, with the continuous advancement of technology and the continuous expansion of application scenarios, the commercial aerospace field will continue to maintain a trend of rapid development. After nearly a decade of development, China's commercial aerospace industry is gradually getting better, but it is also facing huge challenges. As long as China's leading and commercial aerospace companies and investors actively grasp market opportunities and continue to expand their business areas and development space, it is believed that in the near future, China's aerospace industry will contribute more wisdom and strength to mankind's exploration of the universe and create a better future.
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Author: Liu Chenghao.
Editor: Zhao Lujie.
Compiled by: National Institute of Innovation and Development, Tongji University.
Producer: School of Politics and International Relations, Tongji University, School of Foreign Chinese, Tongji University.
Supervisor: Research Base of International Governance in Cyberspace, Tongji University.