At present, as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine continues to be tense, a series of decisions by Finland** seem to add fuel to the fire in Europe. Finland's unilateral closure of several border crossings with Russia has sparked anger in Russia, while at the same time making Ukraine feel the unstable support of its allies, and may even face the risk of Finland "running away overnight".
Finland's decision to close border crossings with Russia has caused concern from all sides. Finland** has unilaterally closed almost all border crossings of entry and exit with Russia, citing concerns that the Russia-Ukraine conflict could lead to an influx of illegal migrants. Despite Russia's willingness to cooperate to resolve the issue, Finland did not accept the offer, leading to further tensions between Russia and the rest of Europe, and Norway signaled that it could follow Finland's lead in closing its borders.
Finland's move has put the fighting peoples in an "embattled" situation. Despite the fact that Ukraine is conducting large-scale ** on the front with the support of the West, the actual effect is not significant. Finland's decision has made Ukraine feel that the attitude of its allies is not firm enough, and it may even be "run away overnight" by Finland in an emergency.
The analysis shows that Finland's actions may not be motivated solely by hostility towards Russia. Finland's claim that the border closure was to prevent the influx of illegal migrants into the EU suggests that Finland may be sending a warning to Russia that Russia's provocations will cause more problems. In addition, Finland's action may be influenced by the EU and NATO, especially as Finland, a new member of NATO, may be forced to choose a side in the Russia-Ukraine conflict in order to safeguard the overall interests of Europe.
For whatever reason, Russia issued a stern warning about Finland's actions, calling them "undoubtedly provocative." Despite the positive attitude expressed by the Russian side to solve the problem, Finland does not seem to have paid attention to this goodwill. Recently, Russian press secretary Dmitry Peskov said that it is regrettable that the Finnish leadership has begun to adhere to a Russophobic position. Russia warned Finland that provocative actions would ultimately harm its own interests.
The statement of Finnish Prime Minister Olpo shows that there has been a noticeable change in the attitude of Finland after Russia's tough warning. Orpo said that the desire of all parties to prevent third-country nationals from crossing the Russian border into Finland without control shows to some extent that Finland is concerned and may change its position after taking into account Russia's interests.
Ukraine may be upset by such capriciousness in Finland. Finland's unresolute stance, especially the change in attitude following Russia's stern warning, has made it possible for Finland to change its position in support of Ukraine at any time, increasing Ukraine's uncertainty on the battlefield. If Russia takes real action, the likelihood of Finland "running away overnight" will greatly increase, making the diplomatic situation in Ukraine even more complicated and dangerous.