Although fighting between Israel and Hamas continues, the current situation suggests that Israel will undoubtedly emerge victorious.
Russia's dilemma in the Palestinian-Israeli war
With Israel's victory in the Israeli-Palestinian war, Russia will inevitably face a series of challenges.
Israel: Russia's new adversary
After Russia's military operation in Ukraine, Israel was once seen as a friendly country to Russia. The relationship stemmed from the liberation of Jews by the Soviet Red Army in World War II, the support of the USSR when the UN Security Council adopted Resolution 181, and the Soviet aid to Israel in the First Middle East War. Despite the fact that the USSR supported the Arab camp in the subsequent wars in the Middle East, Russia and Israel maintained some kind of emotional ties after the collapse of the USSR. Thus, even at the beginning of Russia's military operation against Ukraine in 2022, Israel did not provide military assistance to Ukraine. However, with Hamas's attack, Israel made it clear that Israel would make Russia pay for it after winning the war because of Russia's support for Hamas's ** against the Jews.
Neglect of Russia's interests in the Middle East
Israel no longer respects Russia's interests in the Middle East. In 2015, Russia intervened in the Syrian civil war because Syria has Russia's only military base in the Middle East and is vital to Russia. In the past, Israel would notify the Russian side when bombing targets inside Syria, but recent actions have deviated from this track.
Israeli military aid will arrive in Ukraine
Israel is small, but its military technology is superior. Israel's "Iron Dome" system is a technology designed specifically to defend against rockets, and Ukraine has repeatedly requested Israeli assistance. Ukraine's request for military aid is expected to be responded to by Israel after the war in Gaza. Russia's predicament may not stop there, because the new round of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict was initiated by Hamas on its own initiative, similar to the coup d'état in Niger, which may be a hidden card for Russia. The playing of this card has not changed the situation, and Russia is still mired in the war in Ukraine.
The future of Russia
Russia's predicament in the war in Ukraine is likely to be exacerbated by Israel's victory. Hamas's provocation may have been one of Russia's tactics, but it did not give Russia an advantage. As the situation develops, Russia may find itself with fewer and fewer cards in its hand, which may be the most annoying thing it will ever face.