A bearish!Retail investors are ready for a critical moment for A shares!

Mondo Education Updated on 2024-01-19

Introduction**Volatility has always been a topic of keen concern, especially in times of market downturn, when people's emotions tend to be more sensitive. When the market goes to the bottom, most people will become desperate and choose to be bearish, while a few will seize the opportunity to make profits. There is no exact secret to investing, but one thing is certain, most people do not dare to invest against the trend, their attitude is always to make a profit, afraid of short-term losses and dare not enter the market, let alone take proactive measures to deal with market fluctuations. However, it is not easy to make a profit, especially in the face of various negative news in the market and changes in the investment environment. At this moment, A-shares are ushering in a critical moment, the market will have 2,167 billion yuan of reverse repurchase due, and tight funds may have a negative impact on **. However, not all news is absolutely accurate, and the key is to pay attention to the flow of northbound funds, because the Shanghai Composite Index is more affected by northbound funds and will not be affected by ** sentiment. Therefore, we believe that there will not be an overall bull market in A-shares, but only a local **. For investors, the key is to find their own rhythm and find an investment strategy that suits them, only in this way can they make more profits.

First, the market situation will usher in a particularly critical moment next week, because the market will have 2,167 billion yuan of reverse repurchase due, which will lead to tight funds, which will have an impact on the market. Judging by the current reverse repo rate, the market is very pessimistic about this, and it has been more than 3 points ** before Friday**. Therefore, the bearish sentiment expected by the market is more obvious. However, the actual situation also depends on the flow of northbound funds, because the Shanghai Composite Index is more affected by northbound funds than sentiment. Therefore, we cannot simply judge the trend of the market with this negative news. It should be noted that the A** market is no longer suitable for most investors, and only by finding the right rhythm and having patience can you make a profit in the market. And the right rhythm is not easy to find, because it takes a lot of time to wait, and only by firmly waiting for the opportunity to come, can you seize the volatility of the market. Xiaofan spends 80% of the time waiting every year, and if you can maintain the same rhythm, then you will definitely be better in **. Most of the time, we just need to take ownership and wait for the time to come.

Second, the negative factor is not the only factor in the market, and the negative news of funds is the real negative factor. Therefore, if you simply withdraw funds without large-scale launches, the market will still be affected by sentiment in the short term. And now the market is at the key level of 3000 points, which is also an important point for investors to pay attention to. In my opinion, there is a possibility that the market will hit the bottom, so you should be brave enough to cover your position. If you have idle funds in your hands, then don't panic, you can reduce your position around 3080 3090 points, and then gradually bring back the funds in batches below 3050 points to deal with the market's **. According to the current situation, the fluctuation range of the A** field may fluctuate back and forth around 3050 points, using this as the central axis, with the upper distribution and the lower sucking. For me, I would be heavily exposed to the index, and my position is positively correlated with the index. If you hold **, don't pay too much attention to the Shanghai Composite Index. Different investment strategies are suitable for different people, and if you invest in theme stocks or speculation, it doesn't make much sense to pay attention to the Shanghai Composite Index. The key is to develop your own strategy based on your individual's investment style.

3. Investment thinkingWhen investing, we can't simply focus on the trend of the index, but also need to think and analyze according to what we hold. As a quantitative strategy investor, I focus more on the analysis of the index, because the rise and fall of the index can be quantified. Everyone needs to judge whether or not to apply my point of view according to their own situation. The short-term trend is very difficult, so we only need to grasp the general direction, reduce positions when the long white candle is long, and increase the position when the long black candle is long. If there is no long white candle or long black candle, but the **pattern has changed, and the small white candle is slow**, such as 3090 points, although there is no long white candle effect, you can still reach the target. Similarly, the movement around 3000 points may be reached, although there is no result of a long black candlestick. This is just my personal opinion and has no basis for investment. Finally, thank you again for your support and attention, and I hope to be the first to notify you in the next update. However, please keep in mind that investment is risky, and you need to be cautious when entering the market.

Summary: The A** market will usher in a critical moment, because the 2,167 billion yuan reverse repurchase that is about to expire will make the funds tight and have a certain impact on the market. However, our expectations are not simply bearish, and we still believe that the market has a chance to bottom**. You need to be prepared to make a margin call at a key position and be patient to wait for the right moment. The right rhythm is very important, and only by finding the right rhythm can you seize the opportunity to make profits in the market. However, investors need to keep in mind that my opinion is only based on the analysis of the index and cannot be used as an investment basis. Investment is risky, and you need to be cautious when entering the market. I hope that you can stay calm and rational in the investment process, and formulate appropriate investment strategies according to your own situation and risk tolerance, so as to obtain better investment returns.

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