[Introduction].Hello everyone, today is December 18th, the sixth day of the lunar winter, less than two months from the Chinese New Year, in the domestic pig and grain market, according to the latest data, pig prices are under pressure, and the domestic market is not prosperous in the peak season, but due to the beginning of the pork pickling season, pig prices are difficult to sustain. In the grain market, the price of grain is too bad, among them, the corn "big drop", the Northeast corn continues to generally fall down, after the rain and snow in the Shandong market, the amount increases, and there is also a downward trend!In the wheat market, wheat prices are weak and stable, and the market is waiting for a new round of good cash!
So, what changes have taken place in the market?Today, how about hogs, corn and wheat, the specific analysis is here!
First, the wheat is weak and stable, and the **low position pulls!
In the wheat market, previously, the center of gravity of wheat was sharply lowered, and some companies listed below 1After 45 yuan catty, supported by emotions, ** temporarily raised, however, the market was further under pressure, wheat fell into a dilemma, and mainstream enterprises ran steadily!
Judging from market feedback, at present, in domestic wheat producing areas, mainstream enterprises have stabilized, among them, Shangqiu Wudeli, Xinxiang Wudeli, Jinan Jinshahe, wheat narrowly increased by 05 pounds, in Xuzhou Huasheng flour and Zhumadian Suiping Wudeli, wheat price 05 cents. In Shandong, Hebei and Henan, the mainstream winter wheat producing areas, milling enterprises wheat ** in 146~1.51 yuan or so!
At present, wheat ** under pressure, recently, the domestic grain storage wheat transaction price has also been sharply reduced, from the market feedback, wheat auction price has dropped nearly 9 pounds, some areas of Henan grain depot bidding out of the warehouse ** in 152 yuan catty, the market transaction is scarce, and the demand side is not confident enough to replenish the raw grain. According to the analysis of the institution, in the near future, the operating rate of domestic milling enterprises is at a low level, the operating rate of small and medium-sized flour mills is less than 37%, the raw grain inventory of enterprises is loose, and the replenishment mentality is weak
In terms of wheat, domestic imports of wheat have increased significantly, relieving a certain pressure on the market, however, due to the reduction of wheat production, the grassroots surplus grain bottomed out, the mentality of holding grain merchants to recognize the price of goods is weak, the circulation of wheat is scarce, and the amount of enterprises in front of the door is small, however, limited by poor demand, the situation of low purchase and sales, the market is mainly weak and stable!
Second, the "big drop" of corn, the market in the production area is generally first!
Recently, the corn market has been affected by pessimism, and the downstream demand has not been followed up smoothly, in particular, the corn production has increased by more than 11 million tons, the grassroots tide grain is sufficient, and feed enterprises and deep processing enterprises are cautious in building warehouses. In terms of feed, due to the increase in imported grains, the import of corn ** downgrade, the mentality of enterprises to replenish the tide grain is weak, especially in the case of the downturn in the breeding industry, the market is not confident in building a warehouse. The deep processing is mainly based on the need to replenish the warehouse, and the mentality of raising prices to stimulate the amount is not high, and the mentality of phased use and procurement is strong!
Due to the lack of demand support, the mood of grain farmers in the producing areas has deteriorated, especially in the northeast region, after the mildew of the damp grain has increased in the early stage and the temperature has dropped sharply, the mood of farmers to threshing and selling grain has become stronger!Superimposed, at the end of the year, the enthusiasm of growers to realize the increase, the grassroots tide grain is loose, the business and drying tower enterprises are affected by bearish sentiment, the hoarding mentality is not good, the corn is harvested and gone, the amount of local enterprises in front of the door increases, and the Northeast corn continues to go down!
Judging from market feedback, in Northeast China, as many as 17 corn processing enterprises such as Hailun State Investment, Longfeng Corn, and Inner Mongolia Yipin have been lowered, with a decline of 03~1.5 cents, Heijiliao area, the mainstream corn listed ** in 112~1.23 yuan catty, tide grain corn ** gradually fell below 09 yuan catty!
In the North China market, due to the rain and snow, the gradual improvement of logistics and transportation, the increase in the transfer of low-price tide grain in Northeast China, the general mentality of local farmers to sell grain, the lack of hoarding sentiment of some ** merchants, the goods are more positive, and the number of vehicles arriving in front of the deep processing enterprises has gradually increased, among them, in Shandong, the number of corn vehicles in front of the deep processing door has increased to 578 cars, the amount of enterprises has gradually improved, and the price increase sentiment of the factory has weakened
Among them, in Dezhou Fuyang and Yucheng Bowling Bao, the spot price of corn rose by 07 1 cent, in Heze Chengwu, Daze Cheng Biological, Zou Cheng Rice Neng, Zaozhuang Hengren, Shouguang Golden Corn and other 8 deep processing enterprises, the price of corn is 03 1 cent, Shandong corn spot ** in 1256~1.357 yuan catty!
Third, pig prices are under pressure to decline!
Recently, due to the southern pork marinating into the peak season, the hog market bullish sentiment is higher, the market generally believes that pig prices will usher in the seasonal trend, but, from the market feedback, after a short period of pig prices rose, in the last two days, pig prices are under pressure downward, the pressure still exists, which also limits the market higher!
At present, in the domestic pig market, the price of foreign three-yuan pigs fell to 144 yuan kg, ** down 011 yuan, pig prices showed a trend of continuous decline, with a cumulative decline of 024 yuan kg, pig prices fell in a narrow range, and the domestic market showed a situation of mostly declining!
This time, the pig price is under pressure, mainly due to the greater pressure in a short period of timeAfter all, just after the rain and snow, the rhythm of pig purchase and sales at the breeding end has recovered, the logistics and transportation have improved significantly, and the difficulty of slaughtering pig enterprises has increased sharply under the increase in the number of pigs in the societyHowever, judging from market feedback, the price reduction range of mainstream slaughtering enterprises is generally only 01~0.2 yuan, the pig price ** support is weak, and the market lacks sustainability!
At present, the bullish sentiment in the pig market is still strong, in particular, under the influence of this round of cold wave, the stagnant pork curing in the south has also heated up significantly, in some areas, the operating rate of slaughterhouses has increased significantly, and the demand for fresh white strips in the downstream market has also improved significantly, in particular, the consumption of thick pork has increased, and the large pigs in the southwest market are relatively strong, and the market support is still strong!
Personally, I believe that after a short period of pig prices fell in a narrow range, under the support of pork consumption follow-up, under the guidance of the breeding end's sentiment, pig prices may rise again, in particular, long-term losses in pig fattening during the year, pork pickling season farmers are looking forward to rising sentiment, in a short period of time, pig prices are not lacking in a sharp rise, this pig price reduction or will be a new round of pig prices in advance of accumulation!
Corn "big drop"!On December 18, pig prices were under pressure and downward, and grain prices were too bad!What's going onWhat do you think about this?The above is the author's personal opinion, **for reference only, the content is original, unauthorized, do not** or any form of washing!