Corn is an important food crop and feed raw material in China, and its fluctuation has an important impact on farmers' income and breeding costs. Recently, there have been big ups and downs in corn**, which is surprising and confusing. What exactly is the reason for the drastic change in corn **?After New Year's Day, is there still room for corn?Let's break it down.
According to the report of Netease News, in November, corn was mainly fluctuating, especially in the northeast region, affected by snowfall, corn grain sales were not smooth, farmers' enthusiasm for selling grain was reduced, and the circulation of grain sources in the market was not smooth, and some enterprises were mild. At present, in the Heilongjiang region, some enterprises are generally 095 yuan or so, 14 moisture corn spot ** in 118~1.21 yuan catty.
However, with the adjustment of the long and short game in the market, the corn market has "changed its face", the price of enterprises in Northeast China has increased, and the corn market has "risen". According to the analysis of pig friend Baba, this is because the Northeast corn autumn grain production is expected to be higher, in October, the Northeast corn concentrated on the market, due to the warm temperature, poor demand follow-up, corn ** sharply lower. Entering November, affected by frequent snowfall, the difficulty of corn storage has been reduced, but the loose fundamentals of grassroots surplus grain are difficult to reverse, and with the gradual dissipation of rain and snow, the risk of selling pressure on grassroots grain sources is concentrated, and the market has a strong bearish sentiment in December.
On the other hand, recently, the Northeast corn has continued to strengthen, and the increase in the range of some deep processing before and after is about 180 200 yuan, and the tide grain of some enterprises has increased from 083 yuan jin gradually rose to 0About 95 yuan, the price increase of enterprises is higher, and the enthusiasm to continue to raise prices is weakened, in particular, there is a risk of corn selling pressure after the demand, and the demand side is mainly cautious to build a warehouse, and the performance of corn demand is weak.
Judging from the current situation, it is unlikely that corn will rise after New Year's Day, and there is even a risk of it. This is because, according to the law of previous years, from December to March of the following year, most of the time for the concentrated sale of grain in Northeast China, according to the research of institutions, in the past three years, in December, the average scale of grain sales by grassroots farmers in Northeast China is equivalent to 22% of the corn output in Northeast China, which shows that in December, the risk of concentrated grain sales of corn in Northeast China is higher.
It is understood that due to the fact that after the Spring Festival this year, the Northeast grain went on the market, and the corn continued to decline, and continued until April, the enthusiasm of farmers to sell grain after the year may not be high, which will also exacerbate the risk of corn selling pressure in December.
Therefore, based on the market long and short game, with the Northeast corn ** gradually higher, into December, by the weather changes, the grassroots grain mentality gradually strengthened, corn ** concentrated, although, the demand side is expected to concentrate on the library, but, by the downturn in the breeding industry, pig production capacity to speed up, demand follow-up or divergence, the corn market is likely to have a downward trend.
The change of corn is a reflection of market supply and demand, and it is also a combination of factors. As farmers and breeders, we should pay attention to the dynamics of corn, reasonably arrange our own planting and procurement plans, avoid blindly following the trend, reduce costs and improve profits. At the same time, it is also necessary to pay attention to the risks of the market, do a good job in grain storage and moisture-proofing, and ensure the quality and safety of corn.
That's all I wrote for you, I hope it will be helpful to you. If you have any other needs, you can continue to chat with me. Thank you for using and Happy New Year's Day!
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