As ASEAN has become China's largest partner, China can be said to take great care of ASEAN countries, and has always wanted to have good relations with ASEAN countries, and everyone has made the cake bigger. But the ruler is longer, and the inch is shorter. Looking at the big fat meat of China's economy and market, some countries have started to think crookedly. If you compare the 10 ASEAN countries to a class, there are good students and bad students. Myanmar and the Philippines are undoubtedly the best among bad students. One engaged in electric fraud, specializing in the money of Chinese, felt that the waist was faster than the high-speed rail, and finally made the economy a mess;One touched porcelain in an attempt to engage in political blackmail against China, and finally made his agricultural products no market, inflation climbed, and public resentment boiled. Compared with these two "crooked melons and cracked dates", among these Chinese neighbors, only Vietnam looks like a normal "three good students": the economy is good, the political situation is stable, and the money is positive. As a result, Vietnam is also exceptionally popular, and several major powers have co-opted it.
In September this year, Biden visited Vietnam, which elevated U.S.-Vietnam relationsIn November this year, the President of Vietnam visited Japan to elevate Vietnam-Japan relations to the highest levelLarge commercial orders have also found it, and Nvidia is going to open a factory ...... VietnamOf course, the United States and Japan are not interested in Vietnam mainly because of its good economic development momentum, but because of their status as China's neighbors, they want to drive a wedge in Vietnam to deal with China. Vietnam is also very smart, and no matter whether the United States and Japan are true or false, they will not refuse to come. This diplomatic card is played exquisitely, and it takes more time than the third brother of India!At this time, China's top leader will also leave for Vietnam, what kind of signal is this?Rong Ping believes that good relations with Vietnam must be one aspect, and on the other hand, it should be underestimated by people like Myanmar and the Philippines, that is, what kind of country is worthy of China's friendship?China's top leader has not visited any ASEAN country since the Philippines met China in the South China Sea and the civil war broke out in Myanmar, and this visit to Vietnam is also the first visit to an ASEAN country since the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China. Everyone knows that the significance of the first visit is very important, and it shows that they attach great importance to this country. Why Vietnam?Historical reasons, social system reasons are one aspect, and more important is the judgment made on the situation around China. China and Vietnam are both socialist countries, with similar national conditions and people-to-people ties. Vietnam has always regarded China's economic development as an object of Xi learning and imitation, and has achieved very good results, and is an excellent student among ASEAN countries.
China crossed the river by feeling the stones, and Vietnam crossed the river by touching China. Since 1986, when Vietnam imitated China's "reform and opening up" and started "reform and opening up", its GDP has increased more than 40 times in 37 years, and its GDP growth rate has been among the top in the world in recent years. It can be said that Vietnam's diligence and progress are in stark contrast to the unscrupulous and opportunistic nature of Myanmar and the Philippines. China's top leader's visit to Vietnam has two special international backgrounds: the Burmese civil war and the Philippine encounter in the South China Sea. It is also through the visit to Vietnam to send a signal to Myanmar and the Philippines about the difference between being an enemy of China and being a friend of China. In early October, the local armed forces represented by the Kokang Allied Army launched a military operation against the Burmese Army in the name of cracking down on wire fraud. And Min Aung Hlaing's army, unable to win, actually led the civil war in northern Myanmar to a "war of aggression supported by foreign forces" and pointed the spearhead at China. Before the Chinese leader's visit to Vietnam, in response to the Burmese civil war, there were two movements in the squadron: First, the Chinese People's Liberation Army Army held an actual combat exercise on our side of the China-Myanmar borderSecond, the Chinese Navy paid a four-day goodwill visit to Myanmar and conducted joint exercises with the Myanmar Navy. These two actions show the Myanmar side that China will not interfere in Myanmar's internal affairs and is willing to give the Myanmar army a chance to "turn over a new leaf", but if the shells fall into China, the Chinese People's Liberation Army will not be soft to safeguard the personal and property safety of our citizens. Now China wants 10 ringleaders of the wire fraud in northern Myanmar just to tell Min Aung Hlaing not to try to rebuild the wire fraud industry and not to try to be the umbrella of the wire fraud group again.
If Myanmar can learn Xi from Vietnam, follow the right path, and make serious money, then China will still be willing to handle relations with Myanmar. As for the Philippines, China's handling method is different, because compared with the northern Burma wire fraud, the Philippines is engaged in political blackmail, and China will not interfere in Myanmar's internal affairs, but with the Philippines, we will have to clean up sooner or later. This is because it is a matter of China's territorial and sovereign integrity. In the past few days, the Philippines has been extremely restless, first intruding into Scarborough Shoal and then Ren'ai Jiao, and daring to send fishing boats to ram into our coast guard vessels. Some people will ask, the Philippines has been so tossed for more than half a year, why have we kept refraining from cleaning it up?Actually, we've been cleaning up Xiaofeizi. From January to September this year, the bilateral import and export volume of goods between China and the Philippines fell by 16% year-on-yearFrom January to August this year, the total value of China's imports from the Philippines fell by 20 percent year-on-year6%;In the third quarter of this year, the value of Philippine agricultural products fell by 12% year-on-year, of which the decline in the Chinese market accounted for a large amount. Now that inflation in the Philippines is high, and prices related to ordinary people's lives such as oil prices and rice prices are soaring, many people are dissatisfied with Marcos**. In order to divert domestic contradictions, Marcos frantically hyped up the South China Sea issue, and repeatedly dispatched fishing boats and ** to Ren'ai Jiao and Scarborough Shoal to meet porcelain, in an attempt to please the American father and obtain so-called economic benefits. As everyone knows, the Philippines has more to gain than it loses by doing so, not only touching China is tantamount to hitting a stone with an egg, but also ruining its own export market, and finally falling into a vicious circle of inflation and death.
China will not shoot this fly to death at once, because whether to grab it or not to grab it is within China's control, but choking the fly's foraging channel can make it collapse. The point is that there is no so-called "bullying the small with the big" in the international community. Vietnam and the Philippines face each other across the sea, and the Chinese leader's visit to Vietnam is also a warning to the Philippines that the road of attempting to engage in political blackmail by means will not work. Economic and trade cooperation will certainly be one of the most important topics for Chinese leaders to visit Vietnam. This visit is also for countries like the United States and Japan that have bad intentions toward China, that Vietnam is a neighbor that China cannot move away, and that the United States and Japan's attempt to sow discord between China and Vietnam will not succeed. This year, Vietnam has just experienced the withdrawal of investment from the United States and the West, and the US interest rate hike has led to the sale of a large number of VND assets by foreign investors, which is five times that before the US interest rate hike, with 1,200 trillion VND funds. In the first half of this year, Vietnam's GDP growth rate was only 372%, well below expectations of 62%。This is the worst growth rate in the first half of the year in Vietnam in the past decade. The divestment of the United States and the West is believed to be the initiator of all this. Don't look at the United States** Biden's visit to Vietnam has improved US-Vietnam relations, and Japan has also wooed Vietnam to improve Japan-Vietnam relations, but the body of the United States and the West is more honest than ever. The purpose of co-opting Vietnam is to deal with China, and the withdrawal of investment from Vietnam is actually cutting leeks, and capital will not talk to you about political feelings. And China's investment in Vietnam is growing. From 2020 to 2022, the total amount of Chinese investment in Vietnam was 24$600 million, 29US$200 million and US$2.5 billion (investment growth has weakened in 2022 due to the impact of the new crown epidemic). In the first seven months of 2023, the total amount of Chinese registered investment funds in Vietnam is already close to the annual average of previous years. From January to November this year, China's direct investment in Vietnam was about twice as high as in the same period last year. Although the United States and the West are trying to win over Vietnam, this year's divestment turmoil should make Vietnam understand the reality of the United States and the West. And China's friendship and support for Vietnam as always, is also a reassurance to this neighbor who cannot move away, who is the ultimate way out for Vietnam's economy. Only by establishing good relations with China can Vietnam stabilize its economic fundamentals and have room to dominate the international arena. If we listen to the slanderous rumors of the United States and the West and oppose China, Vietnam will definitely suffer. Of course, as far as Vietnam is concerned, handling its relations with other countries is not black and white, either/or, and it is Vietnam's own business to choose which country to be friendly with. China will certainly not interfere in Vietnam's internal and foreign affairs.
As for Min Aung Hlaing in Myanmar**, the signal we gave is very clear, there is still the possibility of continuing friendly exchanges in a timely manner, and China will not support those local armed forces in northern MyanmarAs for Marcos in the Philippines, our attitude is also very clear: stop the reckless behavior of trespassing on the reef, do not hit the stone with an egg, and do not attempt to engage in political blackmail, which is a dead end;As for Vietnam, our attitude towards improving relations between the two countries is consistent, especially at the economic and trade level, the two countries have a broad space for cooperation, and we hope that Vietnam will not make the so-called choice between the United States, the West and China. ASEAN is very important to China's economic development, but we will adopt different strategies for different countries, and if necessary, we will adopt the tactics of favoritism and defeat, and give full play to the great wisdom of Eastern philosophy to safeguard our national interests.