Min Aung HlaingRecently, he violated the peace talks agreement signed with the Kokang allies and brazenly provoked another conflict, which has raised questions about the strength behind him. To find out, we should look back at the China-Myanmar borderNorthern MyanmarThe evolution of the situation in the region and in Myanmar. Recently,Min Aung HlaingAssigned aircraft carried out indiscriminate bombing of Lao Cai city in the middle of the night, causing many civilians**. The surprise attack was carried out at night to conceal the true purpose of the operation, and as a result, the important town of Lao Cai was left in ruins. This operation clearly demonstratedMin Aung HlaingWar has been declared on the Kokang Allied Army, and war has officially begun. Prior to that,Min Aung HlaingHis most elite unit, the 88th Division, had been mobilized to the Kokang area with the intention of eliminating the Kokang Allied Army. Min Aung HlaingWhy did they insist on starting this war, why did they ignore China's persuasion to promote peace talks, and completely overturned the peace talks agreement signed earlier?What kind of confidence does he have behind him?This article will analyze from three aspects.
Min Aung HlaingFirst of all, it is believed that the Kokang Allied Army has only more than 10,000 people, and there is no decent base area, and there is no area that can support them. And he himself has the most elite troops and the most advanced RussiaAir ForceEquip. He firmly believes in his current oneMilitarystrength, the Kokang allies could not compete with him. In fact, the Kokang Confederates did not have anti-aircraft firearms andMissiles, withMin Aung HlaingThere is a huge disparity in strength compared to the army, which isMin Aung HlaingThe first confidence.
Min Aung HlaingKnow your ownMilitaryAdvantage, with this confidence, he believes that victory can be achieved on the battlefield. He gathered the main forces toNorthern Myanmararea, iron-hearted to recapture the Lao Cai area, and even the wholeNorthern Myanmararea, completely drive out or eliminate the Kokang Allied forces. His ambition shows that he believes in himselfMilitarySuperiority can destroy the opponent and ensure victory.
Except for itselfMilitaryStrength,Min Aung HlaingIt is believed that even without the support of China, he can still find the support and help of other great powers to provide him with what he needsEquip. This is his second confidence.
Min Aung HlaingIt is possible to become dissatisfied with China and begin to alienate China. It is possible for him to look for new countries to support and hope that these countries will be able to provide the support he needs, including:Equip. Although we can't say for sure which country it is, howeverMin Aung HlaingHe firmly believes that as long as he can gain the support of other powers, then his power will be consolidated.
Min Aung Hlaingthink, as long as he can uniteAung San Suu Kyi, and let her support the army associated with him, then the Naypyidaw region is relatively safe. In this way, he can concentrate his firepower against the allied forces in the Kokang region, and as long as the allied forces in the Kokang region are eliminated, he will be able to firmly control the Kokang region, so as to gain greater confidence. It isMin Aung HlaingThe third confidence.
Min Aung HlaingRightAung San Suu KyiHave faith that she can support him and master the army associated with him. He believed that by working together, he could solve the problems in the Kokang region and then deal with the arming of other civilian lands, or consolidate his power by pacifying or surrendering. Such a plan and confidence makesMin Aung HlaingBelieve in yourself to achieve your goals.
In summary,Min Aung HlaingWhen it comes to provoking conflict, it has three major confidences. First of all, he believed in himselfMilitaryThe strength can crush the Kokang Alliance, and he is confident that he can win the war. Second, he believes that even without China's support, he can seek the support and assistance of other powers to further consolidate his power. In the end, he dependsAung San Suu KyiI believe that through her assistance, we can solve the problems in the Kokang area and gain greater confidence.
These emboldenings make:Min Aung HlaingHe did not hesitate to offend China, insisted on provoking conflicts, and regarded dealing with the Chinese community as the primary goal of ensuring the stability of his own regime. This also raises our concerns about theMin Aung HlaingHe risks alienating China and seeking support from other countries. However, no matter how emboldened he is, we should bear in mind the importance of maintaining regional peace and stability, and strive to promote all parties to resolve their differences through peace talks and avoid escalation of conflicts. Only through cooperation and mutual trust can true peace and development be achieved.